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Between israel and palestine. i think there's more likelihood of real internal protests within israel. we saw that this summer. i don't see that translating into major movement in any peace process. >> the change would have to come from israel, not just an american election. not going to be a huge amount of external involvement. >> fine on the israeli domestic environment. internationalally it is not a winner in this environment. you talk about presidential elections. you're not going to run on let's keep the peace treaty, run on let's support the arab streak. if that's true in egypt, also pla...

harvard physicist. a look at the way your mind works and doesn't. fascinating conversation with nobel prize winner daniel kahneman. a big birthday but an awkward time to throw a big birthday bash. i'll explain. first my take. it's the start of the new year and we will do predictions on this show. i thought i'd try my own hand at some before asking others to risk their reputations. and in the spirit of keeping myself honest, i'm going to look back at what i said and wrote in "time" magazine at the start of last year and see how i did. it's always risky to stick your neck out and h...