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Behind us, everybody said, or 50% believe the worst is behind us. what stands out to me, if you look at it, you sort of want to say which state of these three is probably the most vulnerable for the president of his leads? clearly it s florida. florida seems to be the least optimistic of those three. yeah. that s the one that s probably on the edge the most for president obama s re-election chances. ultimately. in all of these states, you identify, in the high 40s. what his approval rating is. high 40s. he s getting as he did in the nbc/ wall street journal poll pretty much what his approval rating is again. a referendum among the incumbent. if it s that, this thing is about as close as it can get. lee, we did running mate tests. seemed to me, two seemed to make a difference, moved it more than a point, if you will. jeb bush in florida made it basically a tied race. probably if you just went by excellent to good voters. 47-45 but probably even closer if you did your likely voter ....

Doesnt Move , President Obama , Approval Rating , High 40s , Wall Street Journal , Running Mate Tests , Jeb Bush , Voter Model ,