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Exactly what we need to be able to win and if you have a poll that predicts a democratic wave that's going to show something different than what's actually happening on the ground so i think we're in good shape and the reason why we've been able to mobilize republicans so much is precisely because of the contract you talked about. people understand what has made florida successful. we have had limited government. we have had a pro-business climate and a low tax environment. that allows us to drive investment from higher tax states and i think we're poised to do better than ever maria. you know...

Asked you to pick one, too. usually what we do a lot of times is gravitate toward the familiar. i know ohio because that's where i'm from. you are from new jersey. let's go to the northeast. you picked there is one, two, three, four toss-ups in new jersey at the moment that we consider to be a coin flip. you picked new jersey 11 just west of new york city. why this one? >> one, it's my district. the republican candidate is very attractive. he is a tax cutter, he has endorsed the tax bill, a lot of republicans in blue states were a little afraid to do because of the salt deduction but in many w...

Lot of blue states is very punishing for people. and lost the salt deduction, people paying a lot more in taxes every year. could that push him over the edge? he is fighting that. >> menendez is so acutely defined by his negatives and the corruption scandal, what he is offering as a positive or alternative is not resonating with voters. this is a referendum -- >> for hundreds of tax increases. >> in new jersey, voters and the thought of new jersey voters, new jersey is democratic blue. >> they don't like bob mendez in new jersey. >> they get credit.

People that were here when they were young, they didn't make decision, sympathy, if it's about other kinds of issues like family separation, i think it works for the democrats this way, but i agree when you have a caravan trying to bump-rush the border, that's a different kind of immigration issue and i think it plays in different districts. do i think there's a danger. i look at my district, the competitive suburban district, classic swing district in new jersey where jay weber is facing very attractive democratic candidate, he would have been helped by vigorous case of the economy because op...

Issues, if it's about dreamers, people that were here when they were young, they didn't make decision, sympathy, if it's about other kinds of issues like family separation, i think it works for the democrats this way, but i agree when you have a caravan trying to bump-rush the border, that's a different kind of immigration issue and i think it plays in different districts. do i think there's a danger. i look at my district, the competitive suburban district, classic swing district in new jersey where jay weber is facing very attractive democratic candidate, he would have been helped by vigorou...