Page 6 - Second Midterm News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Who else was paying attention to the story? who was paying attention to the jobs report on friday which is a magnificent report and should have been talked about all weekend. 15 other things were talked about. >> bill: you're making the case he's doing everything and you can't make it as a party if that's the case. >> what i'm saying is you have to do other things. the president alone can't -- you can't have the false assumption of a massive landslide. i worked for reagan. he was a star and won in a landslide. he lost 27 states in the first midterm and the senate in the second midterm. bill cl...

Safe republican seats. this is an 11-point plus in the cooke partisan report and that's the best in the business. it's a race we should have won and trump carried by 20 points and we should have won it. >> bill: tim murphy, the republican, force to resign. he ran uncontested 10 years or maybe longer and trump wins the campaign there. >> midterms are always different you get 50% to 60% in a presidential race and 40% in a midterm. it should be a warning sign. >> bill: a warning to republicans or the white house? >> a warning to both. trump alone can't carry the republican base. he carried the re...

Six senate seats of the house, nancy pelosi would go on to become speaker. 2010 is many year for president trump. 46% obama. lost 6 senate seats and 63 seats in the house. republican capture the house. hold it to this day. so look at the 46 for president clinton and obama, those were first midterm. president trump will step in the clal about 46% approval rating well below president obama and a little above george bush in second midterm. easy for the democrats to get it back? no. but republicans what they hope is speech can be part of a building block for the president to move up from 40 to 41 ...

To be in place for the out of power party, they are, for now, taking shape for democrats. take you through some of the keys. you mentioned the generic ballot, usually a very good predictor. right now, that's one of the warning signs. here's another one, the nature of midterm elections. these things historically favor the party not in power. these minuses are the losses, the house seats lost by the white house, by the president's party in past midterm elections. it's basically the rule that the white house party loses seats. the question is just how many. keep in mind, the only two exceptions h...

Extenuating circumstances. '98, picked up five seats in second midterm, impeachment was going on. 2002, bush's republicans picked up seats, year after 9/11 with the country still in shock. extraordinary circumstances. otherwise the rule is out of power party tends to pick up seats. democrats would need 24 to get the house next year. something else to keep an eye on, president's approval rating. when you see big losses, not normal but big, corresponds with a president who is not doing well in the polls. 2010, barack obama at 45% on election day approval. republicans took back the house, 63-seat...