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Alan You can flag a comment by clicking its flag icon. Website admin will know that you reported it. Admins may or may not choose to remove the comment or block the author. And please don't worry, your report will be anonymous. Big fan of (fellow?) poker-playing statistician fantasy sports writers! Quick question: Don’t fantasy players have to be a bit cautious about using z-scores as a shorthand for value across categories? Just for a hypothetical example, suppose 90 percent of draftable pitchers had a projected 4.00 ERA. A starter with a 3.80 ERA is just a little bit better, but might ha...

Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system in 2019. Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction le...