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Of the middle class or having everybody pay their fair share. that's what's at stake. >> let's talk about single women. single women it seems to be -- let's take a look at all women. we've got a new usa today gallup poll that came out today. men are about ten, they favor romney by about ten. women favor the president by 16. if you just put those two sets of numbers. look at those two sets. you say obama win the election because women are 52% of the electorate. >> at least 52% of the electorate. but we need women to come out and vote. they support the president by double digits but we need them...

I would say, though, i think it's easy to forget this, but i would say this election will not be decided on foreign policy. this election will be decided on the economy, what you've seen in the last three or four weeks in national polling in the great state polling that nbc has been a part of. you've seen that advantage that mitt romney had on who is better able to handle the economy. you've seen it either shrink or disappear. he just cannot win this election unless he can build a real statistical advantage to say look, president obama hasn't gotten the job done, my background, my experience a...

Of state polling that we've donend others have done, president obama has slightly expanded his electoral vote lead over romney. it is now 243 for obama, 191 for romney, 104 still up for grabs. we moved iowa out of the toss-up column and in lean-obama. the president is now up 50% to 42%, matching what we had been hearing on the ground. in colorado, the president has a smaller lead but he still hits 50%. 50%-45%. in wisconsin the president is also up by five points, 50%-45%. joining me now, director of the maris poll. lee, we were in the field in the middle of the curfuffle of 47%. we did see ...

Sophisticated consumers of state polling and want to know our party ids. explain which ones were more democratic in '08 and which ones less democratic. >> pretty much spot on. we're seeing right now in each state within a point or two mirroring what the turnout was by party in each state in 2008. it's something we look at very closely for indication of enthusiasm, that gap really evaporated. so we're seeing now an electorate that looks more like '08 than '04. obviously that's why obama, these numbers are playing his way at the moment. >> florida slightly less democratic than '08 exits, ohio a ...

What's in your wallet? alec jr? it was a gift. it's time now for the big three. today's topics, advantage obama? explainer-in-chief. and this week's must-reads. my big 3 panel, hogan giddily. former senior adviser to the hillary clinton for president campaign, doug hadway. president of hadway communications. real clear politics reporter erin mcpike. hogan, i'll begin with you. as i want to read something from an article in this weekend's "politico" which quotes, the romney campaign while pleasantly surprised by obama's lackluster prime time performance says the post convention bounce they ho...