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affair. >> it was pretty simple. it wasn't complicated. i was aware that he was married, and i was also aware that i was involved in a very inappropriate situation, relationship. >> ginger white on the affair she claims she had with herman cain. she also showed waga cell phone records showing 61 calls for tex messages she claimed were from cain's private cell phone. >> we've never worked together, and i can't imagine anyone phoning or texting me for the last 2 1/2 years just because. >> cain upstaged his accuser's announcement when he appeared on the cnn "situation room" before she s...

Changes to the map tonight. >> almost there erin. at first looks like it's moving donald trump's way but then looks can be deceiving. this is our new cnn electoral map. secretary clinton at 272. donald trump at 179. here is difference from just yesterday. yesterday we had florida leaning democratic and nevada. we've taken those of way because of the new polling that. drops clinton down to just above 270. so if you think for trump a ha. let me show you new state polling out this evening that says not so fast. donald trump is counting on iowa. he says in just about every salespeople he's winning...

You used to calculate this, professor? >> the princeton election consortium uses entirely state polls, state polls are the most accurate of the polls that are available to polling analysts in the u.s., and so what we do is we take each state, take the available polls for the last two weeks, actually a little bit shorter period now, calculate a median, so arrange them in order and calculate the median of those polls, figure out the possibility from that of who's ahead in either state, in each of those states, and then take that and compound that across all 56 races. there are 56 races that dete...

Winning by 17% two years ago in arkansas and mitch mcconnell winning by 13%. nothing predicted to anything that close to that kind of landslide. i learned, trust the real clear politics average and campaign on the issues. >> what do you think was, i hate to take you down a rabbit hole you don't want to go down but why was the race underpolled? why was mitch mcconnell underpolled? >> i think state polling is more difficult than national polling. i've tried to clear it up. the bigger the sample, the bigger it is to model a turn out. every six years on an off year is a real bust. but cotton won b...

Nominating convention because that was the last time the republican party went to their nominating convention without having a clear nominee. the reason i say this reporting is unintentionally hilarious is because what do you mean no clear nominee? look at the national polling. if there's one thing the national polling and this early state polling shows right now, it's there's a clear nominee. republicans at the upper echelons of the republican party may purport to have mixed feelings about donald trump. republican voters really don't. they have less mixed feelings about him than they ever had...