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Say, elizabeth warren who does best with liberal voters and best with highly engaged activists. so what happens if biden does lose iowa? is it over for him? not necessarily. the next state up is new hampshire. that's just eight days later. and if he turns things around and wins it there, that would undo all of the damage of an iowa loss, and it would set him up to dominate in nevada and especially in south carolina. those are the states where biden is already polling a lot better. the problem for biden, though, is that if he loses new hampshire, because imagine how it would play out. he is run...

52 delegates up for grabs. if you look at the map, not necessarily the big get, but many who are watching at this hour are registering at 1% or 0, not even registering at this moment to south carolina voters. >> there is still a lot of time, but because it is the third or second primary but the third state up, it is essential as a springboard to show where you stand. because of that fact you mentioned, the six out of ten primary voters are african-american, it will say who is the candidate who wins south carolina, it's the one who has the bulk of african-american votes. that is something that ...

The lack of corroboration has come from in terms of the additional testimony that's been provided. and, you know, i'm cautiously optimistic. i think most republicans on the hill are cautiously optimistic this will get done. >> bill: but up the four undecided voters. three republicans and joe manchin. you try to evaluate this. we got a clue yesterday from flake and collins. they said the investigation was thorough. murcowski gave very little signal. i would say manchin gave very little signal as well. he is in a state up for reelection that 40 some odd days that went to president trump two year...

Going after democrats who are legitimately vulnerable in 2018. that's frustrate d a lot of members of leadership. now to have president trump discard their strategy for the debt ceiling, for the continuing resolution in favor of something that nancy pelosi and chuck schumer wanted, embarrassing paul ryan in particular because paul ryan had gone out that morning and called the strategy ridiculous and unworkable, he didn't have a lot of goodwill built up on capitol hill before the incident. it's difficult to see which republicans will want to go to the mat for president trump after all this. >> ...

Anything about the environment. >> absolutely. but i think that there are enough republican candidates there. a run-off state. if they force a run-off, and that democrat suddenly looks more competitive than any democrat ought to be in a statewide race in alabama, that i think may be the thing that really fillips. democrats only have nine targets in the senate. one of them being alabama of theon one state up, nevada, that hillary clinton carried. the next vulnerable one is jeff flake in arizona which trump carried by 4. the next is ted cruz in texas which trump carried by 9. the remaining six s...