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Goldman: Stocks to correct - MacroBusiness


MacroBusiness
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More grist for the growth scare mill from a new Goldman note:
11 point Checklist – Consensus client feedback for a quick equity risk reduction into potentially lower buy demand into Jackson hole. The consensus feedback seems to be calling for a -5% correction, which really gets to -4%. This is a recap of the talking points about to hit your inbox this week. I think this morning’s rally gets faded as buy tickets are completed early in the day. “Selling rallies” is the new dynamic vs. buying dips.
1. Weak Seasonals – Since 1928, we just exited the best two-week period of the year. Friday’s option expiry ended the best seasonal period of the year. August seasonals are not market friendly and trend lower all of August, for the 4th worst two-week seasonal period of the year. Today you are here and Jackson hole is the low point of this chart. Since 1950, there have been 19 times in 72 years that the S&P is up at least >10% through the first half of the year. The median return for August specifically, following a strong 1H is typically down -51bps, before rallying higher.

Mo-yolo , John-flood , Current-global-equity-passive , Stock-calls , Single-stock , Gamma-unwinds , Option-expiry , Jackson-hole , Vol-control , Call-ratio , Risk-parity

Entering The Worst Seasonal Period Of The Year, And 10 Other Reasons Why Goldman Braces For An August Correction

Entering The Worst Seasonal Period Of The Year, And 10 Other Reasons Why Goldman Braces For An August Correction
zerohedge.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from zerohedge.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Mo-yolo , John-flood , Scott-rubner , Jackson-hole , Current-global-equity-passive , Stock-calls , Single-stock , Vol-control , Call-ratio , Risk-parity , Total-systematic

Day trading guide: 2 stock recommendations for Monday


Day trading guide: 2 stock recommendations for Monday
SECTIONS
Last Updated: Apr 18, 2021, 01:23 PM IST
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Synopsis
The index has retraced about 61.8% of the previous decline, and needs a decisive breakthrough above 14,700 to continue its recent rally, according to Amit Trivedi.
ETMarkets.com
A decisive breakthrough above the 14,700 mark is required for the Nifty50 index to continue its recent rally, writes Amit Trivedi.
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The Nifty50 index ended higher for a straight third session, however, after marking the day’s high at 14,698, it failed to cling on to higher levels. After a two-day rally, momentum in the index seems to be stalling near the 14,700 zone. Eventually, the Nifty formed an indecisive candle with a comparatively large upper shadow. It has retraced about 61.8 per cent of the previous decline. Hence, the index requires a decisive breakthrough above 14,700 to continue its recent rally.

Bharti-airtel , Bank-nifty , Nifty-media , Stock-calls , Dr-reddys-laboratories-ltd , Stock-ideas , Nifty-50 , Trading-ideas , Stocks-to-buy , Day-trading-guide , Bharti-airtel-ltd , Stock-picks

Escorts, Schneider Electric: Two stocks that Vaishali Parekh is bullish on


BUY ESCORTS | CMP: Rs 1,267 | Target: Rs 1,420-1,450 | Stop Loss: Rs 1,200
The stock has witnessed a decent correction, bottoming out near the trendline support zone of 1200 level. The trend is currently indicating a trend reversal to improve the bias. The chart looks attractive with the RSI also improving the bias and indicating a trend reversal to signal a buy. We suggest to buy and accumulate this stock for an upside target of 1,400-1,450 keeping the stop loss of 1,180.
BUY SCHNEIDER ELECT | CMP: Rs 96.50 | Target: Rs 114-120 | Stop Loss: Rs 90
The stock has corrected well from the peak levels and is now consolidating. It has made a double bottom formation pattern near 90 levels to form a strong base and has picked up momentum to improve the bias. The RSI too has indicated a trend reversal to signal a buy and we anticipate further upward movement from here on. We suggest to buy and accumulate this stock for an upside target of 114-120 keeping the stop loss of 90.

Prabhudas-lilladher , Stop-loss , Markets , Stocks , Stock-calls , Stock-tips , Stocks-to-watch , Investment-tips , Investment-strategy , Market-news , Market-update

SBI Card, SPARC: Top stock picks by Vaishali Parekh of Prabhudas Lilladher


BUY SPARC | CMP: Rs 152 | Target: Rs 175-185 | Stop Loss: Rs 138
The stock has witnessed a decent correction from the peak of 194 levels and has currently bottomed out near 140 levels, indicating a trend reversal to improve the bias. The chart looks attractive with the RSI also improving the bias and indicating a trend reversal to signal a buy. We suggest to buy and accumulate this stock for an upside target of 175-185 keeping the stop loss of 138.
BUY SBI CARDS | CMP: Rs 974 | Target: Rs 1,100-1,140 | Stop Loss: Rs 920
The stock has witnessed a decent correction from the peak of 1139 levels and has bottomed out near 920 levels indicating a trend reversal to improve the bias. The chart looks attractive with the RSI also improving the bias and indicating a trend reversal to signal a buy. We suggest to buy and accumulate this stock for an upside target of 1100-1140 keeping the stop loss of 920.

Prabhudas-lilladher , Stop-loss , Markets , Stocks , Stock-calls , Stock-tips , Stocks-to-watch , Investment-tips , Investment-strategy , Market-news , Market-update

Bet on these diagnostic stocks for up to 19% return as Covid-19 cases flare


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Nifty outlook and weekly stock picks by Vinay Rajani of HDFC Securities


Nifty in a Choppy trend; Markets expected to remain stock specific
Nifty has been trading in a choppy trend for the last six consecutive weeks, where rallies are sold in to and dips are getting bought in to. Sell on rallies and buy on dips kind of strategy has been playing out in the current market scenario as far as benchmark indices like Nifty and Bank Nifty are concerned. However primary trend of the Markets is bullish as short term moving averages are trading above medium to long term moving averages and Nifty has been holding higher tops and higher bottoms.

Fortis-health , Bank-nifty , Godrej-industries , Fortis , Research-analyst , Vinay-rajani , Senior-technical , Derivative-research-analyst , Markets , Stocks , Stock-calls

Top trading ideas by Anand Rathi Shares: Buy LIC Housing Finance, HDFC Life

Read more about Top trading ideas by Anand Rathi Shares: Buy LIC Housing Finance, HDFC Life on Business Standard. In the past couple of sessions, the stock of LIC Housing Finance has consolidated near the previous high, indicating strong hands accumulating the counter at higher levels

Osho-krishan , Anand-rathi-shares , Markets , Stocks , Stock-calls , Stock-tips , Lic-housing-finance-share-price , Lic-housing-finance , Laurus-labs-share-price , Laurus-labs , Hdfc-life-share-price

Bull Spread strategy on Dr Reddy's Labs by Nandish Shah of HDFC Securities


Bull spread Strategy on Dr Reddy's Labs
Buy DR REDDY'S MARCH 4,600 Call at Rs 182 & simultaneously sell 4,800 Call at Rs 106
Lot Size: 125
Cost of the strategy: Rs 76 (Rs 9,500 per strategy)
Maximum profit: Rs 15,500 If Dr Reddy's closes at or above 4,800 on March 25 expiry.
Breakeven point: Rs 4,676
Rationale:
-- Long build-up was seen in the Dr Reddy Futures’ where we have seen 4 per cent (Prov) rise in the Open Interest with price rising by 1 per cent.
-- The stock price has broken out on the daily chart where it closed above 200-day EMA with higher volumes.
-- The stock price has formed double bottom around 4,380-odd levels

Dr-reddy-labs , Nandish-shah-is-technical-research-analyst , Open-interest , Nandish-shah , Technical-research-analyst , Markets , Derivatives-trading , Derivatives , Derivative-strategy , Indian-oil-corporation-share-price , Indian-oil-corp

Short-term trend in Nifty bearish, stay stock-specific: Vinay Rajani


Despite the recent recovery from the last week's low, Nifty is still having bearish formation of lower top and lower bottom formation on the daily charts. Unless Nifty closes above 15,180, trend would be considered bearish. However, the trend of midcap and smallcap stocks has been strong and stock specific bullishness is likely to continue. Supports for the Nifty are seen at 14,760 and 14,638.
Stock recommendation:
BUY Torrent Power (390) | Target: Rs 420 | Stop-loss: Rs 370
The stock registered new all-time high in February 2021 by surpassing the multi-month consolidation. Volumes went up significantly during the price breakout. Power sector, too, has been outperforming for last one month and the trend is likely to continue in the coming days. The stock price is forming higher tops and higher bottoms. Besides, the stock has been trading above all important moving average parameters. Indicators and oscillators like RSI, MACD and DMI have turned bullish on short term charts.

Research-analyst , Vinay-rajani , Senior-technical , Derivative-research-analyst , Markets , Nifty-outlook , Nifty , Stock-calls , Stock-tips , Stocks , Stocks-to-buy