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Caucusgoers in iowa. he's trying to convince them to maybe change their minds and support him. they're going to start actually voting there very soon. soledad o'brien is joining us from clive, iowa. it looks like a pretty big event over there, soledad. they're just sitting down. did they just do the pledge of allegiance? >> they just did the pledge of allegiance. very big event. they were estimating 1200 people would be here. i think that estimate is accurate. they just literally officially have gotten under way. christy taylor at the mike right now. she's the person that runs the caucuses. tw...

look at what we call the bottom four right now. we see newt gingrich, the governor rick perry, michele bachmann, jon huntsman. he's technically there even though he didn't campaign really in iowa. he's spending all of his time in new hampshire. presumably he'll come in last. he won't drop out because he's doing all of his campaigning in new hampshire. but remember, this is very early right now. it's sort of coincides, this top tier w the most recent polls we saw, not only our cnn/time poll, the "des moines register" poll, an nbc/marist poll. these are the three individual, the top ti...

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>> i think it looks really bad for the president to get on his plane and fly to hawaii. i love the guy, support him, blah, it looks bad. go to camp david. if boehner and these guys are going to push you to the last minute, then fine. the republicans' main talking point is that barack obama doesn't show leadership. so if he gets on a plane and he goes to hawaii, it's like he's running away from it. optically, it looks bad. >> you hear people saying that. you just guaranteed he's going. the last thing the president likes, it makes him crazy to hear the press tell him where he can and can't go on...

>> it's predictive for the rest of, it's not predictive for ron paul. ron paul is not going to do well otherwise, even though he does well there. >> he does have a tight new hampshire ground game, we're hearing. >> but doesn't he have the same newt gingrich problem that you can be poll-driven, but if you don't have a substantive organization behind you to push you forward, you're dependant upon the news of the day. >> ron paul is the best-organized candidate in iowa. he's the only candidate who has an actual traditional iowa caucus operation. he's a well-funded candidate because he's got a pas...