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The big swing elections in big wave elects in the midterms and found the party that wins midterms takes between 66 and 80% of the seats that are considered up for grabs if you take 70% towards that loaned and take a look at this. what this would say republicans are going to take somewhere between 56 to 65 seats in the house of representatives. these numbers are constantly changing. the cook people told me they are going to have another number out tomorrow that is going to differ. this number of 70% seems to be a good rough thumb whatever number of vulnerable seats there are i think republicans...

Because when you get out into some of the social issues, they're land mines. and a lot of independents coming from places like ohio, parts of west virginia, you hear that. people again and again and again talking about their pocketbook issues. and those are the things that swing elections particularly in close states. also you're right about intensity gap. that's been a huge issue for the democrats. just for months and months and months. democrats just sort of shrug and say i don't care so much about this. >> they have to get those minority voters out there. >> they have to get the people who ...

Teeth in it and the republicans who are pushing for a bill that has virtually no teeth in it. and it's sort of a race to the bottom. this ad, it will help, but who is -- and who are they trying to go after? who are they playing to? that's the other piece of it i don't understand. >> mike barnicle, what's so interesting is, we've been saying on this show, at least i have for a year and a half, that if barack obama goes too far left, it's going to hurt him with independents and others in swing elections. i think this may be the case where barack obama going left helps him with populists. i mean,...

That wiretapped their political enemies. so don't give me that and advice for the democrats? he left that party in shambles if i was a democrat i would say no thanks. >> dana: president obama is out there on the campaign trail he wants to ginn up the liberal base the democrats. president trump is on the campaign trail because he wants to gin up the conservative base. but, at some point does president obama risk overshadowing the next generation of democrats because barack obama is not on the ballot he will never be on the ballot again. when he is not on the ballot democrats haven't done that w...

Aim at each other. did you watch the debate? they are doing it directly, and there's a final few debates coming up, chief political correspondent carl cameron live in manchester, new hampshire. you have been keeping track of all of this. psalm days they are nice and some days go on the attack and when it comes to election day, though, the undecided voters could really play a role here. how many are expected to turn out, at least in new hampshire? >> reporter: undecideds and independents as well. there are a million people in new hampshire, and, the election turnout on tuesday, according to the...