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To lure independents, which is where the campaign end game gets play. picking losers may be easier than picking winners. nate silver is betting against tim pawlenty and john thune. >> seems like he's a good, competent average senator but why would you pick one of 100 senators to be president when you don't have that much unique standing out about you? >> reporter: we asked thune what's unique about him? he declined an interview. mitch daniels has a different problem. he's a budget hawk but he wants his party to declare a truce on social issues, including abortions, which daniels is 100% agains...

Losers may be easier than picking winners. nate silver is betting against tim polenti and south dakota senator john thune. >> it seems like he's a good, competent average senator. why would you pick one of 100 senators to be president when you don't have that much kind of unique standing out about you. >> we asked thune what's unique about him. but he declined an interview. indiana governor, mitch daniels, has a different problem. he's a big budget hawk, which is a good thing in the eyes of republican politicians, but he wants his party to declare a truce on social issues, and that includes ab...

Independents which is where the campaign end game gets played. at this stage, some say picking losers may be easier than picking winners. >> just seem like santorum is a good, competent average senator. nothing wrong with that, but dwr would you pick one of 100 senators when you don't have anything unique about you. >> reporter: we asked thune what's unique about him, but he denied an interview. indiana governor mitch daniels has a different problem. he is a big budget hawk, a good thing in the eyes of republican politicians, but he wants his party to declare a truce on social issues including...