Page 16 - Tracking Polls News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

>> honestly whenever i see a poll, with the president up, whether it's national or state, or mitt romney up nationally or state, i need to see more than one. that's one. >> sean: that's fair. >> second of all, left or right, i need to see that in the swing states. right now i'm just looking at -- i'm really looking at ohio. >> you always have to -- even though gallup is the most prestigious polling company, organization in the nation, you also have to average them out. scott rasmussen, our friend, we all admire him very much, says in the polls you have to look at the commonalities. in the nati...

Very different story. gallup polls and national tracking polls are more volatile because they poll a lot of areas that are irrelevant. ft. we're headed to election day and trying to make sense of it, if you're living in ohio, you're getting a lot more local feedback, a ground game from the obama campaign, local press from these visits. you're not swung as much by a single debate performance even though romney had a good one. in iowa and ohio, we're seeing over five-point leads, beyond the margin of error for obama. there's a good reason to think if he sews up the midwest, this thing won't be t...

Competitive their shifts will determine who becomes the next president. jon: after the first presidential debate we saw mitt romney go up, i mean we saw the roller coaster was on the way up. have you seen any affect yet from the second debate? >> no. and, you know, one of the most frustrating things about this profession is now that we have all these tracking polls it takes three, five or even seven days to really see the ripple affects from a major event, and so, jon, this is horrible to say, i regret saying it but we're just going to have to be patient. jon: oh, my goodness, the man with the...

Joe's company obviously has great foresight. they have flex hours. >> well, that's good. i'm glad he's for flex time because we'll be at work less since we're paid less. >> whatever. >> according to the latest gallup daily tracking poll -- >> let's see how all this is working with women out in middle america. >> i think these polls are really interesting. i don't get the gallup poll. >> no, you don't get the polls that also show that mitt romney's doing as well with women as men. >> but -- >> or as obama. >> there are not swing state state-by-state tracking polls that say that. that is one ove...

Polarities will cross one more time if not more before we get to election day. >> howard fineman, thanks for joining us. >> thank you. >> we use lots of polls. who's up and who's down. what do they all mean? apparently even john stewart can appreciate a little poll wonkiness from the experts including our very own steve kornaki. i give you two nats and a steve. >> how the [ bleep ] are these polls so divergent, useless yet accurate and quotable? i think we all know what we need. nerds. >> so when you see obama gaining in today's gallup tracking polls that means obama's interviews were better. ...