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People to call real people. they don't use a robot to call your house so they don't actually who is picking up the phone, there's some public poll that is don't even use likely voter models, they'll use the census as turnout model which has no correlation to what who will actually turn out. heather: if i answer the phone and there's a poll and a robot comes on i immediately hang up. >> you hang up, we have a harder time getting responses, even more if i'm calling heather's house, i could be getting your husband, i could be your getting your brother, i have no way to confirm that, we need to lo...

That right there is a base. >> cape gerardo is a base but he is going to base states. indiana, ohio, not sure that's always very changeable. , missouri turning into a republican base. the senate race in ohio is out of touch for the republicans. brown will win that race but in indiana and in missouri those races are really -- looking at the reports that you just had from casey and from peter, you have two things going on. you have historically close races in a lot of these senate and governor's races and historically big turnout. that's a lethal combination. when the races are all within the ma...

Suppression hanging over this state, if this is not a clear-cut winner, i can imagine there being a lot of controversy and a lot of questions about the outcome of this race come tuesday night or potentially wednesday morning or december 4th even if it goes to a run-off. >> the prospect of a run-off in georgia would have, would make georgia's governorship even more of a focus of national concern and interest as it is now. i got to ask you guys, looking at the georgia governor's race, do you think it possible that either one of them is going to hit 50%? or do you think we're going to end up in a...

Wishful thinking. >> professor de soto this morning on "morning joe" echoed something in your lead. she said the poll data is not reflected. she thinks it's going to be within the -- right now they are running neck and neck. >> because of the turnout model. the $38 million he's raised is being deployed to turn out those unlikely voters. about 1.6 million folks they've registered. so part of what we need to see here is that beto o'rourke is exciting people who we don't ordinarily think are the people who are going to participate in the electoral process. ted cruz is vulnerable. and i think we'r...

Post-kavanaugh red getting it's america's most popular street name. redder. but allstate agents know that's where the similarity stops. >> well, red does get redder and red and blue see the same events if you're on park street in reno, nevada, in completely opposite ways. the high winds of the washoe zephyr could damage your siding. this is what you were talking about with senator sasse. and that's very different than living on park ave in sheboygan, but as red stays red and can't wisconsin, where ice dams could cause water damage. even take in a blue argument and but no matter what park you l...