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Democrats saying they don't want my part of him. >> joe mansion, virginia. you will see that more and more as they distance themselves from obama. and it's going to be part of feeding will landslide that i think is coming. there's been a fundamental change, though, in obama's image on the left. not the right, the left, which is that he's becoming like jimmy carter. the left is seeing him as too weak, in effective, uncommitted, aloof, incapable of delivering, hypocritical in -- >> but they will go back to him. >> no, they around going to vote. >> you think there will be a big enough majority wi...

Family or mr. adelson. what will happen in minnesota, interesting that the romney campaign turned its fire against rick santorum in minnesota today, are they concerned that santorum will clobber romney in minnesota so minnesota? >> well the turnout model is modest in terms of size and the people have moved toward those that they feel are the most ske conserve i conservativ conservative. obviously, ron paul has a big group here and santorum does to and newt has campaigned over decades here. you'll see a clumping result tomorrow but certainly a place where other candidates will have a strong hol...

People taking the lessons learned from the scott brown victory and applying them there? >> the politics of illinois are so different and so intense. i don't necessarily see any ripple effects. we will see what the results show but illinois is a very unusual state with some very tough politics right now, internal matters. >> tom, i want to jump down to the house races. there's a bunch of democratic -- republican targets, the dennis hastert seat held by democrat, illinois 11 seat held by a democrat that shouldn't be held by a democrat. how important is the state of i will nil november to the rep...

>> that's right. the good month that obama had had between the convention and the 47% tape, you're now seeing the race as close as it's been all year. i'm a little skeptical it's tied now based on the fact that obama still seems to have a lead in the majority of swing state polls that we have seen. but romney who looked like his campaign might be dead in the water, now it's very close. maybe the debate was the october surprise. although it wouldn't be the first time a challenger did well in the first televised debate. >> what about the size and the speed of the swings that you're seeing right ...

Deace. he has been very vocal. i think you said god or someone would have to tell you to vote for mitt romney before. so steve, i'll start with you with your strong words. we're watching to see if there is this anti-romney protest vote. what are you expecting? >> i suspect you will see it but it will be more subtle than looking at percentages. i think you have to look at the turnout model. in virginia, the one state where romney didn't have any competition because of ballot issues, except for ron paul, almost 10% of ron paul's total popular vote in this primary came from one state. virginia. w...