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Secret service fields okay about what happened. i'm sure we're going to get the story. one more question, i guess, is if they're following the mathematical procedure, basically the math that won them 2012, and, again, they beat their polling average by about four points. what would have to happen on election day for things to go sideways for the democrats? >> that's the right question, chris. if you look at the models, if you look at the fact that it probably at least two-thirds of the vote is in 70% voted before election day. you would need the republicans, number one, to totally juice the tu...

Quite disturbing. has now passed and obviously, secret service feels okay about what happened. we're, i'm sure, going to get the soretory. jon, one more question, if they're following the mathematical procedure, the math that won in 2012, and they beat their polling average by about four points, what would have to happen on election day for things to go sideways for the democrats? >> yeah, that's the right question, chris. good you look at the models and you look at the fact that it probably at least two thirds of the vote is in, 70% voted before election day. you would need the republicans' n...

After the presidential election. this is an off year election here in virginia. we've been talking for the last year about how the turnout patterns favor republicans in off year elections. what do you think it says? if terry mcauliffe, if the polls are right and terry mcauliffe wins this thing, what do you think that says about national politics? what message can we take nationally from a democrat winning in virginia under these circumstances? >> i think it says a lot. virginia, first of all, is a very competitive state. we don't like extremism. from the right or the left. and we like our poli...

He's believed that when you talk to his people honestly about issues, you gain political points. even when they are not totally popular, and now we're in a time where we're not trying to pass legislation particularly in the house, everything is literally ground to a halt, so he has the ability to actually talk honestly about these issues. and truthfully, after a situation after aurora, for him to not mention it at all, raised questions with people, and, you know, he took this from the perspective that it was very much common sense and cited gun owners themselves, which i think was a smart move...

Honestly about issues, you gain political points, even when they're not totally popular. and now we're in a time where, you know, we're not trying to pass legislation particularly on the hill. everything is literally ground to a halt. and so, he has the ability to talk honestly about these issues. and truthfully, after a situation like aurora, for him not to mention it at all i think raised questions with people. and you know, he took this from the perspective that was very much common sense and cited gun owners themselves, which i think was a smart move. >> and when you sort of step back, i k...