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Southern democrats, liberal northern democrats. liberal northern republicans. conservative midwestern republicans. all of that mish mash. it's all sorted out now. the republicans are a right centered party, democrats are left of center. people like to call themselves independents because they like that individual feel that comes with that. when you look at their actual voting behavior it is getting more and more predictable. an independent who votes for a democrat is basically a democrat. an independent votes republican, basically republican. >> some of that verbage using independent as part o...

Soon we will move to likely voters that is just to try to get who will really show up. pollsters do tt, everybody does it a bit differently but asking people questions about how interested are you? how closely are you following. past voting behavior. the most important question your intention to vote, asking them how likely are you to vote? that is a question that can't accurately be answered so far out. people will start paying more attention a little bit later. that is when we can get a good read who will show up. that's why most pollsters wait. martha: that is the key to this. we talk about...

Wasn't speaking to the needs and concerns of the constituents and it was not only what he said, but what he didn't say. his father took a strong stand on the voting rights and he couldn't mention voting rights on his speech to the naacp in texas while there's a major lawsuit going on shows to me that either he doesn't take that issue seriously or wasn't taken that address to us seriously. >> but it seems to me there's this, there's a situation in modern politics where the racial politics and the racial history are also embedded in a system where there's just this, there's a split among african...

A survey out last week found him in a statistical tie with barack obama. so it's true. every vote does count in a race like this. the question is whether every voter will actually get to vote. joining us now is reverend david, pastor of the greater st. matthew baptist church, president of the detroit chapter of rainbow push coalition and highland park chapter of naacp. reverend, good to see you. >> thank you, thank you for having me. >> voter fraud sounds to folk, fairly it is if you're having it like a real problem. people often hear about bills like this and, look, i have i.d. at home, i'm l...

Problem. there is no voter fraud in michigan. there's hypocrisy in the republican party. passing these bills, sending them to the governor to sign them, to restrict voting behavior. 1.2 million voters voted in the last election cycle. there were zero cases of verified of dead people voting. there were four cases of undocumented citizens voting. there's no voter fraud in michigan. we're wrestling with voter suppression by this legislation, voter suspension because of emergency managers.