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Democrats to win. the same opposing forces you've had all along. a democratic enthusiasm, maybe a wave building. on the other side, these race s are in heavily republican states. look at the way missouri has been voting, 16 points for trump, montana even larger than that, a victory for trump. so the fact that these races are close is good news for the democrats running in them. and at the same time they'd like to be able to see some separation. one thing in that arizona poll, they had a tough republican primary there. i bet that closes a little bit before election day. >> so mcsally is going t...

I'm sorry, are we living an different world? >> mitch mcconnell is putting through bills and they're doing the job elected to do, probably the wisest thing they can do. >> paul, if you were a republican now, wouldn't you be dodging and staying silent, too? >> yeah, i would retire. in fact, the majority of congress members who have retired are republicans. i think they're sensing perhaps there could be a wave building. the problem is the republicans are damned if they do, damned if they don't. here's the problem, we fix ate endlessly and stupidly on the trump base. they're important people, we ...

All right. time now for "the lid." the panel is back. emily jane fox. bill crystal, kyle wright. let's talk about the mid terms. i'm curious as somebody on the left side of the discussion here how you are looking towards this. are you looking at all of these metrics we went through the special elections, the approval rating the history and saying this is a wave building here? or are you apprehensive because of what happened in 201:16. >> you gave me chills with the headline display, i remember at the nation when we wrote that, he can't win. and how terrifying it is to think back to it. the thi...

Here, the senate. he warned him the senate could be in jeopardy. the times said this, mr. trump is not mute. that's not going to happen at different points during the evening shuging off the grim prague necessary to sies briefed on the conversation. donald trump might be shrugging it off, but should he be? >> he should not be the i was part of the effort to take the house back in 2006 for the democrats and i watched us get day luthed in 2010. and democrats pushed back with all these fine points about why it might not happen. at the end of the day we saw the wave building, the wave took out so ...