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Investors always find ways to "rationalize" bearish or bullish stances For a stock market investor who understands that markets are not random or chaotic but instead patterned, the most important information to know is the price pattern of the market in question. For an Elliott wave investor, the task is even more defined. As Frost & Prechter's Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle, says: waves. Waves are patterns of directional movement. So, familiarity with the Elliott wave model for forecasting financial markets is a must. Another key factor in analyzing the stock market is...

Prior model extremes occurred in March 2000 and October 2007 Elliott Wave International has been providing market analysis for more than four decades -- which includes many bull/bear market cycles. That said, the public's current market mindset -- especially among inexperienced investors -- is a reminder of the extremes surrounding the 2000 market top, and a few others. For example, a February 27 MarketWatch headline said: A new wave of fearless retail investors is ready to pour $170 billion into stocks ... Also, according to an early February Deutsche Bank survey of online brokerage users,...

Those who are familiar with the Elliott wave model for analyzing and forecasting financial markets know that a main trend takes the form of five waves. Thus, when the fifth wave is complete, a trend in the opposite direction is set to begin. Another insight into the Wave Principle that's relevant to the present discussion is that corrections often end at the terminus of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree of trend. If that sounds like a mouthful, hold on, you're about to see a market example that'll make it plain as day. Almost two years ago, the September 2019

The McClellan Summation Index has been "in a clearly defined downtrend since late December" Many Main Street investors only pay attention to the daily trading closes of the main stock indexes. But those who fall in that camp are missing out on a lot of valuable insights regarding the strength or weakness of a trend. In other words, when it comes to the stock market, it pays to "look under the hood." For example, on Friday (March 26), all three major indexes rallied with the S&P 500 climbing 1.7% to hit a record closing high. Those who glance at the stock market headlines may have concluded "...

Here's what our "preferred" Elliott wave count said on Feb. 5, 2021 When financial historians discuss past manias, many of them point to the South Sea Company of the early 1700s as a classic example. The enthusiasm to buy a piece of the action was so great that even Sir Isaac Newton became in investor. He, along with many others, eventually lost big time when the South Sea Company Bubble burst. And, in late January, it looked like the modern-day mania surrounding the cryptocurrency Bitcoin had burst too, at least according to one major financial magazine (Forbes, Jan. 27). Here's the headlin...