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Governor romney is leading the president, 49-47 and there is new evidence that romney is out-pacing obama when it comes to early voting. he leads by a 7-point margin. that is a dramatic change from where things stood in 2008, when the anointed one led senator mccain by 19 points in early voting at this stage of the race. here to tell us, the new york times best seller, the great destroyer and joe trippi. joe, i went over thicks with bill cunningham. out of cincinnati. he knows the state. never been wrong. he spoke to the secretary of state's office, obottom athe democrats are down, 230,000 ear...

Tight. >> just 100 miles separate the president and governor romney on the ground in ohio. the governor is expected to address supporters this hour. garrett headacake is traveling governor romney. we know the importance of the auto bailout in ohio. chris was on with with andrea mitchell. he said if romney doesn't win ohio, he doesn't win the white house here. what is the romney campaign saying that you have top officials from gm and chrysler all asserting that the attack add, the notion of jobs going to china is faps. what are they saying at in the point about the auto bailout for those who wi...

>> well, look, i have -- you know, i looked at internal polling-- internal polling. >> look, sean, we can debate who will win ohio until we're blue in the face. it's very tight there. it is probably going to be whoever win ohio will be the next president. so if you are right, you will be tap dancing on me on wednesday morning. but i don't think that's the case. and we can argue different reasons -- [overlapping dialogue] >> sean: you have to admit, there is a major shift that is taking place. david limbaugh, i mean, early voting, major shift. you add to this intensity and the independents. w...

Before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp street get to 270 electoral votes. i think governor romney starts with a challenge which is florida, north carolina, and colorado. if he can win those three, and i think he's got a decent chance in all, although the president hasn't given up on colorado and florida, then he needs to find a couple other -- a couple of options, one is...

Earlier this month romney was trailing president obama by approximately six percentage points. and with signs that michigan is once again in play, the pro-romney super pac restore our future launched a $2.2 million ad, and the obama campaign is countering with its first network tv ads in michigan. the ads are expected to begin airing today and will run through election day. >> so mark halperin, michigan. i'm sorry. >> go ahead. >> michigan. that's a good poll, right? >> it is. >> michigan's in play now. >> i mean, if you look -- if you think that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then t...