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Would they go to rick perry? what are you hearing? >> what i'm hearing is a very strong tendency toward santorum. rick perry has worked hard in this state, and he's still working hard. stopping today at coffee shops and restaurants across the state. in much the same way that bachmann is. but both bachmann and perry seem to be kind of on a desperation, you know, last attempt to find somebody who might support them. santorum seems to be very much on the rise. and his last advertising hit right now goes to that message. unite, let's get our social conservatives together. he's using quotes from co...

Times" spreadsheet psychic and founder of the political calculous blog 538.com, nate silver. thanks for being here. >> yeah, thanks, rachel. >> i realize this is breaking news and it is spectacularly nonquantitative. if there was going to be a benefit to ron paul from he who formally supported michele bachmann, what would we look at to discern that? >> the polls are going to change on a daily basis from here on out. one thing we learned, the newest poll really is usually the best. people are still making up their minds, about 6% of voters will decide in the last week essentially. looking for a...

President. everybody has to deal with it as harsh as that sounds. >> you've been on team romney for a while. >> yes. i have a little bit of a bone to pick me. the last time you said tim pawlenty was going to be nominee and i said no. you were forright and thought he would take it home. >> because i really know the republican mob. i can get inside it. i was presuming that the republican party would be rational and they've showed themselves to be wildly irrational this year going with trump andç bachmann and contai a cain and all this stuff. my problem with romney getting the naum niece is wha...

Gets in that she gets, tea partier go crazy for her. >> i think they are over palin andç bachmann is the candidate for people who find palin tooant lek actual. >> thank you, bill maher. >> my pleasure. >> we'll be right back with more "hardball." homes all across america: we created the electricity that powered the alarm clocks and brewed the coffee. we heated the bathwater and gave kelly a cleaner ride to school. cooked the cube steaks and steamed the veggies. entertained dad, and mom, and a neighbor or two. kept watch on the house when they slept. and tomorrow we could do even more. we're ...

Bachmann's state chair over the last year. and while michelle's fighting tremendously for my conservative values, i believe we're in a turning point in this campaign. i believe we have an opportunity to elect a conservative, somebody that holds our values dear. and when the republican establishment is going to be coming against him over the next few days, i thought it was my duty to come to his aid. i just want to tell you guys that i'm going to do everything i can the next few days to help in iowa and beyond. and we're going to take ron paul all the way to the white house. >> sorenson credits...