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More likely to go to the trouble of actually voting on election day. in the past week there s been no change in this one, no change in the advantage that republicans hold over democrats when it comes to how excited, how likely to actually show up on election day their members really are. there s a whopping 25-point gap in stated voter enthusiasm. enthusiasm that has also been measured another way. without all of the hypotheticals and the speculation. researchers at american university counted the number of people who voted in the primaries that have been held so far this year and found 4 million more republicans have turned out than democrats. 4 million more. they counted. understanding what s going to happen in the elections and why means disserng among all the data out there which data, which numbers are most predictive of what is going to happen on election day. a poll that tells you how a fictional does not exist republican might do against a fictional does not exist democrat? it s ....