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CBA's three hurdles to buybacks and bigger dividends


CBA’s three hurdles to buybacks and bigger dividends
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Commonwealth Bank CEO Matt Comyn revealed the bank is facing three obstacles to share buybacks and even bigger dividends as it announced a $3.9 billion cash profit on Wednesday and around $10 billion in excess capital.
CBA is poised to shower shareholders with as much as $2.7 billion in dividends in late March, after raising the first-half distribution by 53 per cent to $1.50 a share compared with the previous half.
However, the payout ratio of 67 per cent is just below the bank’s target range of between 70 per cent and 80 per cent, and Mr Comyn said the board’s intention is to continue the tradition of delivering a bigger second-half dividend. But a number of hurdles remain. ....

Jonathan Mott , Alan Docherty , Michelle Lopez , Peter Gardner , Hugh Giddy , ஜொனாதன் மாட் , ஆலன் டாசரர்‌டீ , மைக்கேல் லோபஸ் , பீட்டர் கார்ட்னர் , ஹக் மயக்கம் ,

CBA poised to deliver 50pc dividend boost


Dividend rise, buybacks likely at CBA
Feb 3, 2021 – 6.00pm
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Commonwealth Bank shareholders are poised to receive a 50 per cent increase in the dividend on February 10 over last year’s reduced payment, as analysts are now looking towards the possibility of buybacks before the year is out.
The bank’s board will be careful to tread a fine line between rewarding shareholders and the expectations of the prudential regulator when CEO Matt Comyn presents first-half results, but analysts’ reports suggest a significantly higher distribution is a foregone conclusion.
Analysts are expecting CBA chief Matt Comyn to unveil a 50 per cent increase in the dividend.  ....

Morgan Stanley Richard , Jonathan Mott , Matthew Wilson , Brendan Sproules , Morgan Stanley , Richard Wiles , Common Equity Tier , மோர்கன் ஸ்டான்லி ரிச்சர்ட் , ஜொனாதன் மாட் , மேத்யூ வில்சன் , மோர்கன் ஸ்டான்லி , ரிச்சர்ட் வைல்ஸ் , பொதுவானது பங்கு அடுக்கு ,

LICs stand out for yield hunters


LICs stand out for yield hunters
Listed investment companies could be on the brink of a revival as the prospect of miniscule bank deposit interest rates for the next three years puts the spotlight on fully franked dividend yields.
Feb 3, 2021 – 12.00am
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The Reserve Bank of Australia’s declaration that official interest rates will remain at the ultra-low 0.1 per cent for another three years must inevitably force retirees and others with money in the bank to go out on the risk curve.
This means it is highly likely a big chunk of the $1.1 trillion in household bank deposits in Australia will shift to higher-yielding forms of investments, including equities. ....

Geoff Wilson , Jonathan Mott , John Abernethy , Bill Shorten , Banking Group , Morgan Stanley , National Australia Bank , Commonwealth Bank , Australian Foundation Investment Company , Westpac Banking Corp , Clime Capital , Wilson Asset Management , Asset Management , Climate Capital , Vargo Investments , ஜியோஃப் வில்சன் , ஜொனாதன் மாட் , ஜான் அபெர்னெத்தி , ர சி து சுருக்கவும் , வங்கி குழு , மோர்கன் ஸ்டான்லி , தேசிய ஆஸ்திரேலியா வங்கி , காமன்வெல்த் வங்கி , ஆஸ்திரேலிய அடித்தளம் முதலீடு நிறுவனம் , வெஸ்ட்பேக் வங்கி கார்ப் , க்ளைம் மூலதனம் ,

End of dividend shackles a Christmas gift for bank bulls


End of dividend shackles a Christmas gift for bank bulls
In yet another sign of Australia s impressive COVID-19 recovery, the prudential regulator will no longer cap bank dividends. But how hard will they bounce?
Dec 15, 2020 – 10.48am
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The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has copped its share of criticism over the past few years, but chairman Wayne Byres can end 2020 feeling pretty happy that a decade of work has delivered for the country at precisely the right moment.
Having been smashed by the banking royal commission and others for essentially putting the stability of the financial system above other concerns – notably culture and competition – APRA could well argue that the pandemic has shown it had its priorities right. ....

Jonathan Mott , Commonwealth Bank , Great Rotation , ஜொனாதன் மாட் , காமன்வெல்த் வங்கி , நன்று சுழற்சி ,

UBS: Banks to boom - MacroBusiness


MacroBusiness
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Via the excellent Jonathon Mott at UBS:
Australian economic recovery keeps surprising
Over the last month a raft of economic data has surprised on the upside. Home lending; building approvals; retail sales; car sales; trade data and GDP all exceeded expectations. Additionally, new COVID-19 cases across Australia have approached zero (outside hotel quarantine) allowing many restrictions to be removed and most interstate travel to be re-opened. Consumer and business confidence have rebounded solidly.
Credit risk is falling
Given the improved environment, we are becoming increasingly comfortable with the outlook for credit impairment charges for the banks in Australia and NZ. (1) Within the institutional businesses there have only been a couple of corporate collapses this cycle (Virgin Airlines and Grocon), with ECM raisings and DCM liquidity helping to improve the credit outcome; (2) Although not all small business ....

Jonathon Mott , ஜொனாதன் மாட் ,