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4.5% full-year inflation could force BSP to hike rates earlier — BPI – Manila Bulletin


Published July 8, 2021, 7:00 AM
A high inflation rate of 4.5 percent in 2021 will likely convince the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to adjust policy rates earlier to avoid hits on the country’s reserves and to preserve the country’s positive credit rating, according to Ayala-led Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI).
MB file
“The Philippines has managed to keep its credit rating despite the huge contraction last year. One of the metrics that have protected the country from a downgrade is the GIR (gross international reserves) to FX (foreign exchange) debt ratio,” noted the bank’s latest BPI Economic Insights (BPI Global Markets Economic and Financial Markets Research). ....

Metro Manila , Philippines General , Philippine Islands , Bangko Sentral , Financial Markets Research , Ayala Led Bank , Markets Economic , Federal Reserve , Monetary Board , மெட்ரோ மணிலா , பிலிப்பைன் தீவுகள் , நிதி சந்தைகள் ஆராய்ச்சி , அயலா வழிநடத்தியது வங்கி , சந்தைகள் பொருளாதார , கூட்டாட்சியின் இருப்பு , பண பலகை ,

Papers by Manfred Kremer


Abstract
After a period of about two years with fairly steady price increases and persistently low volatility, global stock markets experienced a notable price and volatility correction in early February 2018. Before this correction, policy authorities had become concerned about the benign volatility conditions, since low volatility may lead market participants to take on excessive risk and
thereby create risks to financial stability (the “volatility paradox”). Against this background, a return to conditions of higher volatility could, on the one hand, be regarded as a welcome normalisation. On the other hand, a “disorderly” stock market correction with sharp price declines and large price fluctuations might itself pose risks to financial and economic stability. ....

Financial Structure Division , Economics Department , European Central Bank , Strategy Review Project Office , Head Of Financial Markets Research Section , University Of Duisburg , Deutsche Bundesbank , Financial Research Division , Deputy Head Of Division , European Central , Financial Markets Research , Directorate General Research , Research Division , Directorate General Economics , Principal Economist , Capital Markets Section , நிதி அமைப்பு பிரிவு , பொருளாதாரம் துறை , ஐரோப்பிய மைய வங்கி , நிதி ஆராய்ச்சி பிரிவு , துணை தலை ஆஃப் பிரிவு , ஐரோப்பிய மைய , நிதி சந்தைகள் ஆராய்ச்சி , இயக்குநரகம் ஜநரல் ஆராய்ச்சி , ஆராய்ச்சி பிரிவு , இயக்குநரகம் ஜநரல் பொருளாதாரம் ,