I i mean ok youre watching the stream the russian activist alexina vallone is now globally as an opposition politician but inside russia hes more famous is being an Investigative Reporter right now he is lying in a hospital bed in germany a medically induced coma the german doctors say they have now weighs in his system the question that we ask you today is russian opposition finished you too i know youre going to have a take on this jump into the comments and you too can be in this. Im going to say and i think guess to guess when shes themselves to you alexis nice to have eaten everybody who knew her how i am alexis learner im a ph d. In Political Science and in a post doctoral fellow at Western University in canada i study authoritarianism and protest in russia get in the nexis and try and introduce yourself to accents audience hi my name is Brian Macdonald im the head of the russia desk at or t. Dot com orci is russias International Broadcaster but i work on the online section only not the televisions though you can read all about it r. T. Dot com hey excellent sick same time is there any mind just so says that you have access you have. What would she say happen to alexina vonnie was the pleasance what happened to him well i mean i can only tell you what people are saying having no medical training myself i mean the the churches that are treating him in berlin they say that hes been poisoned you know and they have as their initial analysis theyve yet to name the exact substance but theyve given the family it belongs to whereas the doctors who treated them an alms can siberia where he was originally hospitalized for the 1st 36 hours they said that blood tests did not show such substance. Theres a long way to go here we do know that mr mcgowan election about hes likely to survive according to the german doctors. What we this is going to take weeks and months until it all comes out what actually happened the main obviously when he recovers and self he will have stuff to say will he go back to russia will he stand germany will he go to some other country who knows what i the moment thats what we know. And next season im just looking at a clip from going to share it with you at the title was took sick situation avani test cricket if the talks in Mainstream Media peddles criminon info moved lets take a look. Now lets not forget just last year another socalled suspected poisoning took place when the volley that was hospitalized for having a small in face he said he never had an allergic reaction before he suggested perhaps he was poisoned and his personal doctor said he could have been exposed to a toxic agents now in the end one of the turn out to be just an allergic reaction but it seems like the western media hasnt really learned from this story because theyre already jumping to conclusions about the kremlins allegedly role in this whole situation with the ship and this young just wondering that the few from inside russia are generally very different from the view outside of russia does that much is the way that we understand the story. I think that. Is so high profile that it is unlikely for anyone to have. To have used poison on him that isnt from the administration i dont think any low level bureaucrats or or anything like that would have used poison nevertheless whats important here is that poison is used as an intimidation tactic and its not effect if intimidation tactic if it prevents others from getting involved in politics and protest politics and getting out into the streets i think that part of what makes poison more interesting perhaps or more common as a tool used by the kremlin then than just killing someone for example is that its the after kola meant i think that quezon in is is specifically a slow moving thing and like my colleague said brian said it takes a long time for someone to recover and it will take a long time to recover and when he wakes up it will be in the news cycle again and so that the poisoning continues to have it the ethical element which which just expands the and the intimidation factor. What does the felony situation grown tell us about russian political and away opposing voices 15. Can i just say 1st just back on what alexis was saying a 2nd ago that i take your point about that old theatricality thing i take your point because obviously if they wanted to found the gun they could find much faster ways and easier ways to do it but i dont necessarily agree that this would have to come from the administration if youre here in russia itself. Its very hard to understand what value doing this to an extent of on the would have for the kremlin itself for i mean opportunities level i mean youre in a situation right now where you know theres trouble in delhi roosters spin protests and how barbarous can be a large city the largest city in the far east of russia and there is you know the coleman emergency for example the last thing they really needed was protests on the street of an election of on the right now and i i mean skeptical of that plus as you said in your introduction alex and yvonne these are give me the most famous investigative journalist in russia as well as being a political figure especially in moscow and you know hes got unfortunately like many a message especially in a country like russia where the media is probably not as protected as the should be hes got a lot of enemies hes got a lot of enemies and you know so i dont necessarily greatness had to come Administration Im willing to answer the question you asked now which is just. Thank you ryan raise a that what is it wouldnt know this is all is about information is what why when he didnt need to be on the string to get a cat can we extract from never only being in a hospital bed in germany soon opposing voices within russia can do those things i know its. Ok hes not just like but yet coolest again its only a week ago as alexis knows because she pauses so closely answer specialist subject its only a week ago since the american and british media were claiming that the russian got just were trying to stop him from being released to germany are the kremlin is trying to stop him it was actually last friday week so i mean you know its mixed up a bit a bit because like if they were trying to you know. Hide whats going on or you know prolong the agony so to speak why did they let him go to germany so quickly i mean if they were trying to cover up for the president ial administration so because all she went once he went once he got on that german plane which by the way was less than 48 hours after he took ill it was he was under the germans i think about 40 or 41 hours after it happened they could immediately also do a blood test i mean this is the point about the politics element of course this will intimidate people that want to go into politics but as a thing that elects where it is that there are different types of politics and russia for example theres what they call systemic and nonsystemic politics so its certainly not going to intimidate people who want to join unites that russia or the communist party youre involved in the system itself what it will certainly make people possibly especially given what happened to borders themselves few years ago may people that want to join say the western leaning opposition nervous theres no doubt about. All right so im going to go to you tube alexis and you can help me out here and write east as a fanny is not an opposition in russia hes a you tube clown thats referencing a lot of the what the he puts out on you tube a k. That makes you smile some tourney and makes a media makes a really interesting point here lets forget about politics just for now this man has a family and 2 kids imagine how they feel right now which leads me to alexis can you explain what it is that nothing does with the in russia how hes now within russia and why perhaps he could be considered to be in france. Novelli is a hes a lawyer and a you tube activist and a anticorruption activist he got his start you cant he came to power i would say that around 2000 levon 2012 and live journal by communicating to the sort of nationalists and fire right extremists in russia about about corruption he has more recently connected with a younger demographic he came out with a very strong came at the end of sort of corruption expose in 2017 which was which i guess brought in a lot of money for his nonprofit and so he is threatening because he has access to information and he is able to disseminate information in a country that censors the Mainstream Media some of the Mainstream Media not all of it and not viciously at rates but is less able to censor it on the web and therefore hes able to disseminate information that is private information in a way that accesses potential potential demonstrators that could be mobilized so he he has a lot of power and that he is threatening. With his access to information. Brian and alexis i want to play this team this is sophia since he is the Senior Program manager for a europe and eurasia Freedom House and she told us this a little bit earlier have a listen. The poisoning of no by the end how the russian government handled its aftermath only confirmed what everybody already knew know that its enough and is a major threat to put this regime its too soon to speculate about the consequences of this event for freedom and russia more broadly but right now the major threat is of course the smart folk in pain as head of the multiple Regional Elections on september 13th on the vine is recovering all his projects continue their work because they rely on established for best Management Systems and volunteer networks but its clear that this brazen attempt on his life only further angers and motivates his supporters interesting ryan was during this alexis was doing this is lets not rhymefest or go ahead not i think the contribution there from sophia was very naive to be honest you and probably i dont know shes based in russia but doesnt reflect the reality on the ground here the simple reality is that look the political system in russia what theyre trying to do in russia is what they want on the global stability and this is what theyre always talking about stability and the only played his role in a system of stability in the sense that you know the kremlin is on top of the vertical so to speak but within the opposition he was there you know as alexis has said hes been around for about 10 years now and you know hes hes not not any more popular now than he was 7 or 8 years ago in fact hes maybe even less popular than he was in 2013 when he gave a very respectable show going in the moscow parallel so it wasnt a lecture it was threat or a poor check to the kremlin and if. It makes sense for the kremlin to take him out because. Removing him from the scene they actually bring instability into the system because obviously if no family does not come back to russia somebody else is going to take his place in the you know nonsystemic opposition and that person may turn out to be way more charismatic i way more popular now probably made more credible as a political figure because we look at the families political platform as it was its almost the same as putins i mean its neo liberal economics its he supported the support of research he has no intention of returning crimea to ukraine hes been involved in nationalism in the past which is kind of like what putin does if you got for example a younger guy more telegenic kind of guy than the valley for example more charismatic about his dour you know and this guy you know was maybe more left of center like maybe a o. C. In the states for example or Jeremy Corbyn wasnt britney thats a far more of a treasure in my book than a guy who really i mean which i endorse the sort of people in the u. K. Who might be laughing at the idea of jimmy corbin being charismatic but Little Corner there because the mormon energize corben energized people in the u. K. And i dont know as i said not for the party energized its core support you know momentum right now i mean before i got selected lets just play a little bit of nirvana here and this was in august 1900 when he come out of prison so that happening of the times when he hasnt been present in russian politics this is what he said about a year ago having this to just move now we see that lies and fraud are not enough for them already its not enough for them to ban the candidates from the election they deliberately want to arrest dozens to beat up hundreds to smash repairers nations of Anticorruption Fund and it shows that there is no support to them they feel this and theyre afraid so. Exults i want to go by this tweet amicable International Says on twitter to us we told them we were doing the show is russia a one man show nation now because were asking about opposition voices is there space for people to have a different opinion and exist. What a great question thank you thank you for the person on twitter who asked that so russia is a state that uses Democratic InstitutionsElections Party used the judiciary to fulfill authoritarian aimed aims which is why we call it a hybrid authoritarian state and brian is absolutely right when he talks about the systemic and not just demick opposition this is a demagogue position is just to give give the viewers a little more clarity this is stomach opposition is essentially either people running explicitly with a denier assia the incumbents Political Party or are people who you find they they they run for president and they have a full campaign and theyre not explicitly critical and in the end they end up voting for putin and they they say in the end support the incumbent which is in vote for themselves or you have people who are interested in single issue campaigns like pension reform for example or some kind of unemployment concern that they have so so the opposition what we call the true opposition is a very very very small percentage of the actual. Landscape of opposition politics in russia i would say 10 maybe 20 percent very very small and for those Opposition Leaders running in any kind of election they have all kinds of barriers to their success they are going to run into repression for example exile or hear quite as any made in other cases jailing or killing or public beating they have cooptation when theyre bought a by the state and they no longer profess oppositional aims or they could encounter some kind of quasi legal barrier for example. Their signatures that they collect could be essentially deemed invalid or thrown out and that could prevent them from running for any kind of race then those one or 2 people that actually make it to election day they get 23 percent of the vote if that so there are substantial barriers to the opposition this is why we call it again a hybrid authoritarian state where Opposition Leaders can theoretically run for power but but theyre not actually going to realistically get there. I wish i had im with you guess who knows their audience and this guy and i was sent to the russian consulate in the United States when we all said they would take part in the program and this is the headline they sent us last rose says western allegations of knowing best occasion of annexing of amis incident untrue so they said the minute they heard that maybe he had been poisoned they had started a pre investigation so that is that contribution to our discussion right now let me go over to circuit the goodies brings us full circle we asked at the top of the show is russian opposition finished this is what so they told us. The poison you mix in the money is going to have a very unfortunate i would say devastating impact on the russian opposition the russian opposition is disunited you have liberals conservatives the far left the far right libertarians you name it and they have not been able to come together and form a common platform in opposition to putins instead they devote their times to squabbling and name calling this is where nobody played such an Important Role he stood about with all he had the charisma the drive to take this project forward with him now be incapacitated temporarily with help but who really can tell if you share of the russian opposition is going to be in jeopardy once again. Brian you go fast. So very smart analysis place there again hes a very good at english text i follow on twitter so i know. You know. Sergey has a lot of good points there and i its very difficult to disagree with a lot of what he said however i would just say one thing that sergei is right about this disparate opposition that are constantly fighting amongst themselves but i think its dangerous to completely discount the systemic opposition i mean in the sense that you know while the leadership of both parties. Which is basically a fire right alter nationalist party and the communist party which does what it says in the 10 basically. You know the leadership of those parties this is you know easily placated and ready to rock the boat although it is worth noting the communist very very mentally opposed the recent constitution referendum that couldnt go true but i do local level certainly around the country as we just saw in a bar a squid sort of good sort of go. That they can quite often be a real opposition in these parties certainly at the local them around the country in the provinces and i think you say you know what like what alexis just said about the real opposition or what what what people abroad call the real opposition youve got to be a bit careful with that you cant actually completely discount the systemic parties i mean in the sense that you know in the future stage under different leadership they might become totally different entities and the fact is that they already own a Party Bashing on network on a scale that they could maybe manage some kind of Power Transition at the future that ever happens. And it is going. I agree with that i think that you cant cant discount all systemic opposition candidates i think some of them have actual platforms like i said some of them are single issue candidates and they do have some benefit. To cooperating with the incumbent in getting their issue on some kind of. Some kind of agenda however generally theyre not theyre not the same as your democratic revolution sort of opposition and it should say you asked a question i think dr and checco had an interesting point but i think he you know he said something that the opposition in the future is dead and i wanted to respond to that i believe that hes right that there are many supporters at really believe in the end of on these agenda i think that there are there are many many that come to his his protests that do not occur during the election cycles there are there are people who adore him however i think the majority of people coming out into the streets to support russian chloral as are the people who are concerned about the russia the administrations handling of. Their people who are concerned with putting food on the table with unemployment with loss of their own job and security for that of themselves and then in their families so do i think the future of russian opposition is not at all i agree actually with something brian said earlier which is that which is that the someone else will come up and they will be equally popular certainly. Elections in brain and this is going to be the speed round you tube is a talking to you youre going to react very quickly and then were going to move on james forever the old saying you can kill a man but not an idea i think most russians now see putin for what he is i think opposition will now get stronger. You may be right who knows well see what happens in the future its very hard to make me see again the question of what is the i mean like there disunited as dr a chain coach said and it might make one part of the opposition constructive perhaps the moscow protest movement where i live which is not moscow im you know 1500 kilometers to the south i mean nobodys talking about in the valley at all nobody even my liberal friends are. Not interested they say joseph is on you tube thank you jessica weighing in russia has no opposition president putin is already in charge and in charge of the opposition alexis you take that one i think that what we need to think about is that were not putting is not only using repression there are a slew of other options available to the incumbent of the Russian Federation he can also use for example cartesians is something that we see. In rap videos in profusely thats all over all over moscow and all of our cities across russia the state is able to collapse these avenues of communication and repurpose them for state concerns for state aims policies narratives and in turn flooding out the spaces where people used to communicate freely about politics and pushing those those critical voices out of those public spaces or at least to the margins of those public spaces i notice and im just looking in check and see what new tunes talking about today show and a lot is about the constitutional the vote that lets putin stay in power till 2036 that is causing a lot of conversation brian i all liberal friends talking about. Yes they were talking about that a lot of them are very im biased and a lot of them voted against it for that reason that im my friends that are not liberal who like with linux. Calming nationalism voted against it up good but applied. But that the constitution allows it was president stamp our aunts 2036 but i think its very unlikely he would stay in power to 2036 i mean most serious experts here in russia believe it was more to avoid becoming a lame duck and reserving the option of coming back in the future should his successor you know make a mess about my i would be inclined toward that belief i think running a country like russia plus is a comment that putin made in january he becomes about all these guys like gratian evan and the rope of the church and go back to the eightys that died in office and said he didnt want that to happen again now hes going to hang on to his era the a. C. S. Theres a very good chance of that happening you know i and im going to leave that as not the last sentence and that is can you wrap this up in a single sentence is the russian opposition finished and you are concluding thought would be what certainly i dont believe that the russian opposition is finished i again i think that now holly is important to many people but not to everyone and that people will come out to the streets when their security and their stability is threatened thank you alexis thank you brian thank you cheapens for your excellent questions i will see you next time take. Business leaders is both to by no brass paul. Business leaders is both to buy no brass pot. From lagos to jerusalem to buy em on the government his plane some miles form a milestone in history mayan background. 3 short films that show how people take a stand against evictions in a struggling communities the 1st time they arrested i was 11 years old a. J. Selects on aljazeera. Be the hero the world needs. Washing. The. Hello london these are the top stories on Aljazeera International pressure is growing on russia after germany said it has unequivocal proof that russian opposition politician alexina valmy was poisoned with another chalk nerve agent german chancellor Angela Merkel says the valley is the victim of a murder attempt and russia must answer difficult questions that has more. What sort of should be done such as not the grounds of which alexina valmy in a video filmed in the siberian city of novosibirsk days before he collapsed on a flight to moscow now the German Government says tests carried out in a military laboratory have produced unequivocal proof the russian Opposition Leader was poisoned with a nerve agent joke and chancellor merkel says it was attempted murder alexina by any thoughtful and circulation and that scene of ali is the victim of a crime he was meant to be silenced and i condemn this in the sharpest possible manner in the name of the entire German Government. Germanys foreign minister heiko mass has summoned the Russian Ambassador saying its urgent that those responsible in russia be identified and brought to justice novelli whos 44. 00 was airlifted to germany late last month 2 days after being taken to a hospital in the siberian city of on sc the Charity Hospital in berlin says hes still on a respirator in intensive care and although the symptoms of his poisoning are declining it cant rule out long term consequences nobby chalk is a group of soviet era nerve agent such as the substance used to poison the former russian spy sergei script powell and his daughter in england in 2018 they survived but a member of the