Come up with localised surface water issues to some of the road. Behind that, plenty of sunshine and blustery showers, the showers frequent in Northern Ireland and western scotland with some hail and thunder mixed in with the downpours. It will start to get much cooler through the afternoon. Colder air arriving behind this weather front that kind of Stores Across northern england. To the north of that, the showers having a wintry flavour and there could be a bit of snow above there could be a bit of snow above the Higher Ground in scotland for a time, otherwise it is cold with the frost setting in, but quite a different story further south, to the south of the weather front, it is relatively mild, temperatures overnight for some holding up a size 12. That takes us into tomorrows forecast and a big contrast, weather wise, cold air across the north of the uk and this weather front moving in across wales and parts of england bringing mild, wet and windy conditions. For most of us, friday will be quite a blustery day. The rain really gets going through the day across western parts of england, wales, getting into northern england, too. To the north of that, cold, temperatures around eight in edinburgh and belfast. In the south, cardiff and london up at a relatively balmy 16. Through friday night and into saturday, this weather front just does friday night and into saturday, this weather frontjust does not move and weather frontjust does not move and we will see some large rainfall building up, particularly over Higher Ground, with as much as 120 millimetres of rain expected over the hills of wales. All of this rain could cause a few issues with some localised surface water flooding, and some poor driving conditions out and some poor driving conditions out and about over hilly parts, taking us and about over hilly parts, taking us into the first part of the weekend. Through saturday, the front slowly starts to move its way towards the south east. Again, cold airfor towards the south east. Again, cold air for scotland and Northern Ireland and the far north of england, plenty of showers, heavy with some thunder mixed in, sunny spells in between but it will be feeling cold, the exception to that cold story, still across the south east, temperatures holding at around 1a in london. For the second half of the weekend, the north westerly wins spread towards the south, sparkling sunshine for sunday but further showers, particularly across North Western areas and that colder air will filter southwards, with temperatures around 9 11 celsius. After a relatively mild spell of autumn weather so far, this will come as a bit of a shock to the system, some Colder Weather on the way. Thank you very much. A reminder of our top story. Police say all 39 people found dead in a lorry in essex were chinese nationals. Thats all from the bbc news at one, so its goodbye from me, and on bbc one we nowjoin the bbcs news teams where you are. Good afternoon. Youre watching bbc news. Im olly foster at the bbc sport centre. George ford is back in the starting 15 for England Rugby world cup semi final agianst new zealand. The fly halfs return is the only change ahead of saturdays match against the reigning champions. Our Sports Editor dan roan was at todays team announcement. The was at todays team announcement. Big news com england the big news coming out of the England Hotel here in tokyo bay earlier today was the recall for fly half earlier today was the recall for fly half george ford. It is something as a surprise because england were so impressive in that wind against australia last weekend in the quarterfinal, and it fully vindicated the decision to drop the inform forward and instead had owen farrell, bringing in henry slade. For this special challenge that the all blacks present, he has decided to go back to the tried and trusted axis of ford and farrell. Slade drops to the bench. Here is what the coach said about the decision. Our workrate is going to be important. Whenever you play against new zealand, your work off the ball is going to be massively important. They like to move the ball around and they are very good at transition. Georges workrate of the ball is exceptional. Two days ago, a press conference was held at the hotel, and jones said the pressure was on the all blacks because they are double world cup champions, because of the aura that surrounds them. He said the England Training session had been spied on. Today he was in a similarly relaxed mood but he made it clear how big an occasion this is. Jones has achieved a great deal in the game and you get the impression if he can get england to the final, they will be right up there in terms of his achievements. Conor mcgregor says hell make his return to mixed martial arts early next year. The former ufc champion hasnt fought since losing to russias Khabib Nurmagomedov a year ago. The irishman claimed that hed retired from the sport earlier this year but now says hes in prime physical condition, has agreed to fight onjanuary 18th in las vegas, and doesnt care who his opponent will be. Liverpool won in the Champions League at genk last night but the club has condemned an offensive banner that was displayed by their travelling fans at the stadium. They say it perpetuated a racist stereotype and was completely unacceptable. Uefa will wait for the official match report before deciding whether or not they will take any action. Thgere was a milestone for lionel messi in the Champions League last night. His goal, the opener in barcelonas 2 1win at slavia prague means hes the first player to score in 15 consecutive seasons in the competition. Hes scored 113 Champions League goals in that time but thats still 1a behind Cristiano Ronaldos record. Liverpool women will play at anfield in the league for the first time next month. They take on rivals everton on sunday november the 17th. Liverpool are the latest womens superleague side to play a fixture at their mens ground. Over 30,000 watched the Manchester Derby at the Etihad Stadium in september. Teenage golferjosh hill, has become the youngest player to win an official ranking event on any mens tour. The english player, who was born in dubai and lives there, is 15 and a half. He came out on top at the al ain open in the uae. A final round of 62 saw him win by two shots ahead of fellow englishman harry ellis. Because hill is still an amateur he couldnt claim the £10,000 prize money, that went to ellis instead. Thats all the sport for now. You can find more on all those stories on the bbc sport website. Arsenal playing tonight against wolves, and manchester united. Researchers have found people with Long Term Health conditions, such as arthritis, are more likely to suffer pain on days when its humid or windy. Scientists at the university of manchester used a Smartphone App to track the pain experienced by more than 2,500 people across the uk while also mapping the local weather conditions. Jayne mccubbin reports. Three years ago, bbc breakfast launched an ambitious Citizen Science project, with the university of manchester to find out if there was a link between weather and pain. We were asking people to track their symptoms, using a smart app. Pretty much moderate pain, today. After the bbc programme, we had 13,000 people joined the study. Thats amazing, isnt it . And the results are in. Data, from breakfast viewers, has proven there is a link between weather and pain, and exactly how that link works. But this didnt have anything to do with rain. 0h. What is it to do with then . Well, we found that pain is associated with high humidity and pain can also be higher if there were strong winds and if the pressure was low. So, its all about the pressure . Thats right, its about those three things. It is high humidity, strong winds. And low pressure. But basically, the old wives tales, that weather links to pain is absolutely true. We found an association with thousands of our participants, thats right. Some are more equipped to deal with the cold than others, but surprisingly, the study showed temperature was not a key factor when it came to pain, pressure was. Dry days were least likely to be painful. Humid, damp windy days most likely to be painful. Increasing your chance of arthritic pain by 20 . Do you ever suffer from aches and pains . Yeah i do, yeah, from time to time. Can anybody here tell when the weathers gonna change because they can feel it in theirjoints . I normally feel it in my water. Laughter is it worse in particular weather . Yes. Well i think my mum used to say things like that. Did she . She could feel what the day was going to be like by her bones. You can tell her she is scientifically correct. Well. 0h. Well done, mum. What, until now, has been seen as folklore, is now, in fact, fact. Next science stop . Possibly the weather pain forecast, coming to a screen near you. Soon. The metropolitan police is working with facebook to try and stop terrorists livestreaming their attacks on social media. The partnership was formed after the new zealand mosque attacks when facebook was criticised for not removing material posted by the gunman quickly enough. Our Home Affairs Correspondent sarah corker reports. Firearms officers simulate a terrorist attack. The scenario multiple gunmen on the loose in a disused building. The metropolitan police regularly practise their counterterrorism response and the body cameras recording these images have been supplied by facebook. The body cameras supplying these images have been supplied by facebook. Hundreds of people work in facebooks safety and Security Team at its base here in london. Over the past two years, 26 million posts from global terror groups have been removed. Facebook uses Artificial Intelligence to spot extreme content. This is how the Technology Works identifying people and objects. But the company was criticised for failing to prevent videos of the new zealand mosque shootings from being widely shared. The christchurch attack went more viral than any one piece of terrorist content i have ever seen and i analyse terrorist content every single day. What we also realised was that because it started on facebook live, perhaps our tooling wasnt as good as it could be about proactively detecting what might be First Person Shooter content. Social media platforms are under increasing pressure to stem the flow of violence and hate online. The home office now plans to share this footage with other technology companies. Sarah corker, bbc news. Ron hogg was diagnosed with Motor Neurone Disease this year, and the devastating illness left him in a state of complete dependency in just a matter of months. Hes one of 20 former and Current Police and crime commissioners, who have written a letter asking the government to hold an inquiry on the uks assisted dying laws. John maguire went to meet him. Ijust sometimes think im going to wake up and this is going to be a nightmare. Yourejust becoming more and more of a shell of who you were. One of the most shocking aspects of ron hoggs Motor Neurone Disease is just how quickly since his diagnosis injuly its changing his life. Ive gone from being a key partner running a very Successful Police force early this year to a state of almost total dependency now. He is increasingly reliant on his wife, maureen, to help him. I cant wash myself, cant dress myself, i need assistance getting in and out of bed. This is the bit ron cant do. You see, ron cant move this hand. And its like a lead weight. After a career as a police officer, in 2012, he became durhams crime and victims commissioner. And, after a lifetime of upholding and enforcing the law, he now wants to see a change. What i tried to do through my career is make sure people can live their lives in safety and dignity and have a quality of life. And i think those same arguments apply to death. Signed by 19 other police commissioners, hes written a letter to thejustice secretary calling for the law to be reviewed. The current operational side of it policewise isnt working and we are penalising the very, very, very vulnerable individuals and that cant be right. Many oppose changes to the assisted dying laws, citing religious or moral objections and a fear that Vulnerable People may be taken advantage of. I do recognise the counterarguments. I do recognise and respect the views of those who hold a different opinion to me but what im saying is we should allow individuals to have that choice with safeguards. For instance, in my own situation, ive prepared an end of life plan. Maureen is aware of it, my two sons are aware of it, and my sister is aware of it. So they all have copies of that plan, and they know these are my wishes. And they are quite clear because theyre written down already, whilst i can still make those decisions. Do you want to have a look through the wedding album . No. Yes, yes. A happy day. So, this was two years ago. I do wonder, had you known then what you know now, would you have really gone ahead . I tell you what, ron, if i did, i would have gone ahead and id still do today. Ron is determined to keep working and campaigning for as long as he can, for as long as his body will allow. John maguire, bbc news, county durham. Details of organisations offering information and support with bereavement are available at bbc. Co. Uk actionline, or you can call for free, at any time to hear recorded information on 08000158 707. The headlines on bbc news. Essex Police Confirm the 39 people found dead in the back of a refrigerated lorry in essex yesterday were chinese nationals made up of eight women and 31 men. Reports of divisions in the cabinet on the best way forward on brexit are played down by the government. The number of people found carrying knives in england and wales has risen to its highest level for a decade. Today sees the launch of the Royal British legions poppy appeal. This year, its being supported by gchq the Intelligence Department responsible for breaking the enigma codes at bletchley in world war two. A number of celebrities are helping to launch the appeal, by taking part in whats being called operation poppy. This year, the royal legion has also confirmed that as well as remembering the uks armed forces, the red poppy will also pay tribute to civilian victims of war and acts of terrorism. Earlier the former strictly come dancing judge Arlene Phillips and vera dunning, whose son pete was injured in afghanistan, told my colleague Annita Mcveigh why they started fundraising. We discovered, only last year, that my fathers cousin was in world war i and was killed. And this was a New Discovery for us. And so, when they asked if i would be part of the poppy appeal, i instantly said yes. And i went out on a secret mission, selling poppies, with a poppy seller called lynn. And basically, it was undercover, in the sense of people would have to recognise me. Because i am standing there selling poppies, and people came and a lot of people walk past, i have to say. And that absolutely their thing, thats fine. They are used to seeing you in a certain context. In a very glamorous gown, perhaps. Yes. So, i guess some people recognised you instantly, but others may have done a double take. A double take and even, one woman who bought the poppy, bought the poppy, went inside to do her shopping, and came out, and kept looking at me. I just have to ask, are you Arlene Phillips . And i said yes, and i met a mother and her adorable family, whose kids are huge strictly fans and she had shown them the old videos, so. In fact, we can just see you meeting some of the people buying the poppies now. And i think that must have been great fun, actually, when you had people coming up to you and just doing that double ta ke thing. Yes. It was, double ta ke. When you are out of context, you know . Vera, i want to move on to you now, you have been selling poppies at kings cross this morning, i think ross kemp was there, amongst other people, other celebrities involved in operation poppy. But you are very much at the front line of what this is all about. And how the british legion royal poppy appeal has helped him helped poppy appeal has helped him help you and your family. Pete was injured in 2008, he was driving a viking, he was in a viking carrier. His driver was killed outright. And he was kicked out of it, through the top hatch. And had severe, life changing injuries. Including losing the bottom of both his legs. Fracturing a vertebrae and all sorts of other things. The legion has helped us in so many ways, they helped us adapt our bathroom, and make it into a wet room for him, because he kept falling in the bath and hurt himself. They are there all the time and the legion does so many things, besides helping families like ours. If that support had not been there, both the emotional, practical, financial support, all of it, if it hadnt been there, would it have been possible for pete to be living at home . Yes. Because he is very adaptable, in himself, and he well get on and do things. But climbing in and out of the bath was one of the struggles that he had. And making it into a wet room was so much easier for him. It has just made things easier for you, hasnt it . And arlene, there are so many things competing for everyones attention now, whether it is on social media, all around us. Yeah. I guess the british legion, the Royal British legion each year, is looking at a way of getting peoples attention and this operation poppy is a really dynamic way of doing that, isnt it . Absolutely, and it is going to engage young people because you have to break a code to find out who the celebrities are that may be standing by one of the poppy sellers and you can sort of have a look and break the code and a lot of young people are going to be much faster at this. Actually heard a speech by the codebreakers, the original women actually, and they were saying you just have to be good at maths. To be a code breaker. But what is extraordinary about this is that the poppy sellers, themselves, give hours upon hours upon hours of their time selling poppies all voluntarily, to raise money to help the people who really need it, who have been in the armed forces, who need help when they come back, with ptsd, whatever it may be. But this is a really exciting way of raising funds. And vera, you are very much giving back. Yes. Do you have any idea how much you have managed to raise or where these funds have specifically gone to . I guess they go in to huge great big pot, dont they . But i know its notjust about what the appeal has done for your son, but about what it is doing for other people as well . Last year, i personally helped to raise over 100,000, over the time i have been doing it. Wow, thats incredible. I hadnt realised it was that amount, myself, until someone asked me to tot it up. And i was amazed that i had helped to raise that amount. In southern europe, deadly floods have hit parts of spain, france and italy, with rains continuing to move east across the continent. Rich preston has this report. In spains North East Region of catalonia, the second heavy rainfall in two months, bursting river banks and submerging streets. A 75 year old man was washed away, his body found hours later. Several others remain missing. In the south of france, ten areas were placed on orange alert. Two months worth of rain fell in just six hours. Flash floods in italy killed two people. Towns and villages have been left devastated. Now across all three countries, a major clean up. Cars washed down streets have to be dug out while people try and rescue what they can from whats left of their homes. Forecasters say spain and france can breathe a sigh of relief but as rains move east across the central mediterranean, there may be more to come for italy. Its taken ten years to put it all together, but today an exhibition opens in the louvre in paris to mark the 500th anniversary of leonardo da vincis death. As Lucy Williamson explains, it also shows us a new way of looking at one of the worlds most famous paintings. Scientist or painter . Leonardi da vinci is often seen as a universal genius. But this exhibition suggests his insatiable curiosity was all about creating the perfect image. And it offers a new, scientific way of looking at his paintings, too. With a specially created Virtual Reality experience, around his most famous work. The mona lisa. Da vinci spent the last few years of his life in france, and the louvre already owns five of his paintings, including the mona lisa. More than any other institution in the world. They have used new technology to reveal the different layers of his key works. Some of which took 15 years to create. He changed the form of the composition, but also the iconography of the composition. So, without these scientific investigations, we would not be able to understand the meaning and also the evolution of each painting of leonardo. The queen has lent two dozen pictures from the royal collection. Including these studies of plants. But other requests have proved harder to come by. Lending a leonardo, the museum admits, is no small favour. The fact this exhibition is taking place in paris has ruffled a few feathers in rome. Leonardo was italian, one junior minister said, he only died in france. Both countries are planning major events, this year, to mark the anniversary and not everyone has agreed on where the artworks should be shown. It took an Italian Court to rule the vitruvian man one of the most famous drawings in the world could be sent to france. A Cultural Heritage group had objected that it was too fragile. Italy, in 2015, made a wonderful exhibition on leonardo da vinci. And we were the only country in the world to send three paintings by leonardo da vinci. We were the most generous lender to their exhibition. And now, they help us, lending us the vitruvian man. Over 200,000 tickets have been sold before opening. And the louvre is expecting more than 500,000 visitors, in total. Drawn to understand the secrets of the artist who painted this enigmatic smile. Now its time for a look at the weather with chris. Hello there. It has been a murky start to the day but i think across the north of the uk we are going to notice a big change in the way the weather feels in the next few days as we lose the mild air and replace it with much colder aircoming in across these northern parts, whereas in the south the mild air does hang on. Through the rest of the afternoon, the band of rain will get heavier across eastern areas of england and across the north and west we will see plenty of showers working into Northern Ireland and western scotland. The showers increasingly turning heavy and i think in Northern Ireland there is the risk of some hailstorms and some thunderstorms here as well. Through this evening and overnight, this weather front pushes in. That is the dividing line really between the cold air we have over Northern Areas it Northern Areas it could be cold enough for wintry showers to work in overnight with snow over the hills and a touch of frost to start the day on friday whereas further south we are still into the relatively mild air with temperatures between five and 12 celsius, Something Like that, overnight. Looking at the weather picture for friday, this divide between the mild conditions in the south and the cold air in the north is set to continue. Broadly speaking it is a day of sunshine and showers across Northern Areas. It will be blustery at times but at the south, after a bright start we will see outbreaks of rain developing and turning increasingly heavy and persistent. It will be mild across the southern areas with temperatures around 16 degrees or so in london and cardiff with temperatures just eight further north. As we had through friday night into saturday, this band of rain becomes very slow moving. We get some very large rainfall totals building in over the high ground. As much as 120 millimetres over the hills in wales and not far off that for the pennines and the moores of south west england. This brings the threat of some localised Flooding Issues as we go on into friday night and into the weekend as well with that persistent heavy rain causing a few issues out and about on the roads. For saturday, the rain does start to slowly push its way south and eastwards. Plenty of blustery showers across the south west of the uk. Some with hail and thunder mixed in. Cool air extending over most areas by saturday with milder conditions just about hanging on in the fight south. Conditions just about hanging on in the south. Sunday, those cold northerly winds extend all the way into southern england. A day of bright skies, glorious sunshine and some showers are continuing to affect northern and western areas. Temperatures for most between nine and 11 degrees. Thats your weather. Hello, youre watching afternoon live im simon mccoy. Today at 2pm. The 39 dead stowaways found in essex. As investigations continue here and in belgium, its emerged the victims were all chinese nationals. Critics say more needs to be done, to stop traffickers. There is simply not enough being done in terms of security, in terms of the protections of vehicles across europe. We need to be working far more with the europeans but, you know, there lies an issue in terms of brexit. A sharp rise in knife crime record numbers of people found carrying weapons in england and wales. 16 people are sentenced to death for the murder of the bangladeshi student who accused her teacher of sexual harassment. Ahead of its meeting in an hours time, reports of divisions