Report 1. 5 million euro loss leading to job cuts. Industrial profit forecasts beat sending shares higher the ceo says hes cautiously optimistic we have the prices under control as much as we can control it going forward, there is some volatility that we will see a second wave. Mining giant glen core ditches its dividend following a massive impairment charge following the bottom of the stoxx 600. A warm welcome to street signs. It is a big day before the bank of england keeping rates steady and left the size of the Asset Program unchanged. Bankers are painting a more pessimistic recovery warning that they wont return to precrisis levels before the end of the year. They expect the rate to double by the end of 2020 looking at the action surrounding the bank of england news starting with guilt we have the move lower out 2. 5 . Third year trading 64 points or so sterling has hit a fresh fivemonthify versus the dollar. Currency investors like what they see to get into more detail from the bank of england, simon wells joins us now thank you for being with us. In the scenario, the bank painted a picture for the vshaped recovery. Today theyve come out and said the recovery had been earlier and more rapid than they assumed and mod rated. Theyve mod rated the expectations for the rebound for 2021 do those things look credible to you . In some ways, they are optimistic they have been softened in the scenario they have been extremely optimistic we look at annual average growth numbers. We have down minus 1. 5 . Back up 9 next year that is still reasonably punchy and requires a reasonably swift resuming of spending patterns. The comprehensive trade agreement. I dont think many see that as the case unemployment is below the level again. Youve got a margin of excess Capacity Building in the economy. You are right, it is more gloomy than three months ago. I think it is still pretty Glass Half Full and optimistic actually we had a guest on before street signs kicked off who also thought these were pretty optimistic numbers what is different . What are they looking at that would give them a more optimistic view or what is the motive here with this message . There could be something in this if you look at what they are concerned about. They are very concerned about the down side risk they have a relatively realistic recovery one of those relates to uncertainty, the fear factor households and businesses too scared to spend for a lot of really valid reasons the bank of england comes out with a bloomy scenario, thats all over the front pages and it could end up with a selffulfilling prophecy they are always going to be optimistic in this scenario. On risk and growth, they see them skewed to the down side not that they are seeing something that we are not. The forecast is largely in line with what other people have. That was not the case in may they dont want to be too gloomy and risk heaping further woe on consumer expectations. On that point in terms of spending, they made note we had seen a tick up coming back to the labor market and whether people feel confident to retain a job or get a job in the future and looking at the Unemployment Rate doubling by the end of the year. We are looking at the wind down of the furlough support schemes. How do you mitigate the risk out of the massive set of layoffs on that scheme. The governments have a terrible die lema. They are hugely expensive. The sad fact is that some of the jobs where people have lost jobs wont be rehired this is going to affect permanently the supply capacity to a certain degree. Some of those jobs will be coming back. The short time jobs will serve well if you are bridging to somewhere, if you are bridging to nowhere, it becomes the Bottomless Pit we do need to pay some attention to supply. How are we going to shift to training schemes and retraining for those areas. Yields are so low, borrowing is so cheap i dont think any government are going to risk a massive cliff edge rise in unemployment. It is going to rise a bit. In some form or other, the schemes are going to continue. In some point, theyve made mention of the negative rates. Theyve basically left the negative rates on the table for now. What would it take for the government to go down this path . They didnt tell us a lot other than the againstment would be based on the Banking System so they are clearly doing that work politically negative rates would be unpopular and more retail funding in the eurozone the reversal rate will be higher i dont think we want to be there. It is our central case they want to leave the door open unemployment does start rising rapidly. They are not going to sit here and say there is nothing they can do about this. One of those rates that they could and it would pull back the scenario if unemployment starts to rise rapidly, thats when theyll come into play talking about the Housing Market and resilience, that is down to the fact that the impact of covid19 has been uneven. Spending power has increased what is your outlook for the Housing Market how could this affect the broader uk recovery . Certainly when you see the impact that is one factor the search data and everything seems near term supported bear in mind a couple of things. There will be lingering unemployment from the previous salary and seen the income cuts. We expect the income to fall this year in the uk that will still weigh on the Housing Market once the boom has gone. We expect house prize falls on average through the year maybe looking at the underlying fundamental. I still think the near term strength on the other side of the dollar pair trading now at the fivemonth high versus the dollar where do you see sterling going from here . Our strategist havent given up in the dollar yet seeing sterling weakening a little bit part of that comes back to the brexit situation which could come back into play towards the end of the year. I think clearly, it has been positive for sterling this morning. Overall, if you look at the factors relative to the economy. There might be some negative to come between now and the end of the year thank you chief european economist hsbc. Later today, speaking with bank of england governor andrew bailee at 1400 cet looking at the markets the stoxx 600 now down a third of a percent on the day. It has been a choppy session last time i was at the wall which was 20, 25 minutes ago, we were about a quarter a percentage point higher. Investors on the earnings front in the new projections it is not enough to take in the gains. Coming in todays session, we are up on pace to break a twoweek losing streak well see if we hang on to those gains. Lets look at the regions and the split. We have red on the board for the italian and uk markets strongly underperforming down by 1. 3 yesterday, rising about 1. 1 a little catch up trade in addition to the drivers in the uk market and the fact that sterling was trading at the fivemonth high of a currency head wind. The dax bucking the trend with a strong reaction to the seimens numbers. The yields moving higher across the board. German and italian is around 1. 01 . Coming up, lufthansa sales take a dive predicting demand wont return for a few years more after the break what happens when a wireless carrier puts its customers in charge . Well, the good news gets shared. And it gets rated 1 for customer satisfaction. But dont just take our word for it. Take theirs. Its your wireless. Your rules. Only with xfinity mobile. Call, click or visit a store today. Welcome back to street signs, lufthansa has posted the worst ever operating cost after revenues fell over 80 warning a demand for air travel wont return to prepandemic levels until 2024 at the earliest posting a rise in the Third Quarter but still expects head winds going into the next quarter. Annette, siemens shares up what more can you tell us about the numbers today . The numbers were better than expected across the board. There is some sort of optimism that the Fourth Quarter will have a strong result in a conference call, the ceo was reiterating a strong result, despite being strongly impacted by the corona crisis all in all, the corona crisis did see a soft landing for siemens and not a complete crash. Nobody knew that back in may when they produced their first and Second Quarter earnings. So they did better than expected also demand picking up i just asked in an interview whether china is one of the growth areas take a listen to what they had to say on china. In our business, china is actually up. We see higher numbers in demand than we used to see precrisis. That goes all over the place there is a lot of stimulus seeing a Strong Demand and it seems that it is continuing. The United States, the jury is still out first to get some confidence that they have got the crisis under control as much as they can control it well see how it goes, going forward, there is some volatility the cfo sticking to the dividend policy despite the leverage they are taking on because of the m a action. Thats a positive. They are sticking to plans to buy back shares and they are raising their cost cutting target all in all, siemens seems to be on solid footing and they are benefitting from the trend toward all digitalization of our life they are providing data warehouses which are a growing area many many people are using more data storage at these times. Back to you. Thank you for breaking that down sticking with german earnings, adidas is posting a bounce back. They posted a loss of 333 Million Euros in the Second Quarter. Shares trading higher by about 3. 1 lets bring in stacey from sw retail shares reacting quite well to these numbers today. What stuck out to me were the weaker numbers in asia china such a crucial data point for investors despite the softness they are seeing in china. Why are investors cheering the result the big news that they didnt give guidance. They did for q 3 but is only revenues down mid to single high digits that is a relief here considering what you heard from other companies. As you were saying on china, china was flat for the quarter the trend was up Single Digits and in line from what we heard China Mainland is recovering nicely compared to europe and north america. They did report an operating loss those declines not as severe as expected where is this resilience coming from 70 of the stores were closed during the quarter with top line down 30 across the board it was not really much you can do this quarter. If you look at rebock that was exposed to the u. S. And was down lower. Youve got inventories up 40 plus percent we have been hearing from other companies that despite china improving, it is still very poe motional what does that mean if we are looking at promotional focus. You mention in the u. S. , partners like kohls are expanding their line of adidas there will be more promotions in the market. A lot of brands were proactive and canceled their orders. Said they typically lead with promotions and said, lets reset and sell what we have and revisit in the fall. Everybody is going to see very good deals in the outlets for consumers, thats where the value will be. How much visibility do they have assuming there are no new major lockdowns. How much visibility do they have and how much Downside Risk do they have or at least measures to restrict movement thats the biggest wildcard here for everyone. When they give q 3 guidance, they say thats assuming there is not another lockdown, which who knows with the rumblings in parts of europe and the states and asia thats the risk here if we get a lockdown, that comes at the worst time, which is back to school. 20 to 25 of the annual spend. If that happens, all bets are off for all retailers. When we spoke last time in the spring, you made the interesting prediction that we would see changes in consumer b behavior this anxiety as they return to stores and have a preference of onestop shops just put your mask on and do your shopping and get out. I think it has. We have yet to hear from target and walmart. We will in the next couple of weeks. If you look at traffic trends. Look at kohls. Heavy apparel versus target that has everything from clothes to food to organic foods and School Supplies i think if people want to go into a store, they want to be one and done Shopping Experience as we head into another retail earnings season. That means the e commerce side of the businesses moving strength to strength relative to the brick and mortar, what does that mean . Are these Companies Going to have to investor to strengthen their Online Platforms absolutely. The companies that are a bit behind are in pick up mode what weve heard from companies is that weve heard of the direct to retail center, margins are lower. You are seeing a shift to asia recovering quickly in the short term, there has been a few positive movements on the gross margin side. Stacey, thank you for joining us president from sw Retail Advisors coming up, well speak to the ceo of novo snordisk. The covid19 pandemic is creating Food Insecurity on a scale not seen in decades. An estimated 54 million americans will struggle with hunger. With 200 food banks and 60,000 meal programs, feeding america is the largest hungerrelief organization in the country. Join Morgan Stanley in supporting feeding america and your local Community Food bank. Welcome to street signs. Im Julianna Tatelbaum these are your headlines the bank of england paints a bleaker picture of the economy and spikes the unemployment as the Central Bank Holds steady on the economy. We hear from andrew bailee at 1400 cet shares of lufthansa higher but reports a 1. 5 billion euro loss for the Second Quarter prompting another round of job cuts the german giant beats outlook but the ceo is cautiously optimistic. Getting some confidence that the virus is under control as much as you can control it with the probability that we will see a second wave. Mining giant glen core posts a 2. 6 billion loss sending shares to the bottom of the stoxx 600. Lets get a check on the european markets red on the board for the ftse mib. The fdax is stronger than expected posting recovery slower Strong Performance from loouflt shares glen core has ditched the 2. 6 billion dividend citing the uncertain outlook. They would focus on bringing down its debt pile and focus on the adjusted call. Merck has raised the lower end of Profit Guidance range after patients began seeking treatments again the company now expects core profits to be between 4. 5 Million Euros from 4. 8 caller when i look at the positives, i can say the infection rates are low. Supply chains are in tact and well under control finally the main reason in the slide. Reporting a Second Quarter operating profit beating estimates despite a fall in sales and fewer treatments also raised the full year profit outlook. Joining us now to flush out these numbers. Relatively speaking, enough to raise the outlook. Talk us to the quart and what led you to the confidence. Thank you for having me we started the year by guiding c the covid19 impact is really a reverse of the impact we saw in q 1 and seeking treatment. We are seeing normalizations patients are seeking new treatment. We are optimistic we can go through this covid19 pandemic in a relative sort of way. In terms of the patients seeking new treatments now after the lul of treatments and the lockdowns around the world, how is the geographic split . Are you seeing a bigger trend of patients returning than others there is a strong link to the impact the countries where the outbreak has been controlled the best and lockdowns are opening, there is a stronger flow. Our activities are related to the positions. Across the board, we see society handling covid19. We are close to all reps in the field. Not full access that they had before all reps are in the field. We are around 6 representing our product. We are finding ways to keep things running and factories are returning to normal commercial instances. How has covid19 affected enrollment in your drug trials we have been lucky in the fact that some of our major late stage trials had been recruiting patients we see no delay in our important late stage pipeline. We have seen from earlier trials that has been proving at a lower rate but that has been picking up we are at 40 recruitment of patients compared to where they were and that is improving week by week. You expect that number to be in the second half of the year you expect based on the outlook where we hope we can avoid some of the second bounce in covid19 cases that the Clinical Centers where we do these files, theyll stay open and gradually increase that level. We will see that well start to do new trials again because centers are open for conducting new trials it is a gradual return to normal we feel with our pipeline, we are going to see a massive delay in getting products to the market you mentioned in the first answer around the increase in market share your diabetes franchise, youve increased market share to 29 . There has been a lot of focus in the wake of the pandemic as people with underlying conditions are proving more vulnerable diabetes being one of the links here launching the strategy to defeat diabetes what is the outlook and what kind of boost do you see linked directly to the pandemic we have seen people who live with diabetes and obesity have a higher risk than with the covid19 situation it is really important we prevent these diseases from happening. Not possible to have good products thats really why we are taking the market here. We are both taking market share with our instance. The strongest growth category. All about the products where you can take share i believe covid19 will increase the focus on treating in a good way but also towards treating obesity, which has turned out to be significant risk factor how are you thinking about the r d spending budget the rest of the year and a little more medium term . We have seen that we have saved money in the first half. The lockdown means we are traveling less and have less commercial activities. And spending less on drug development. That will pick up. We have also guided that well see well increase our spend as we broughten our investment in building our longterm pipeline. It is really innovation that is the name of the game we can gradually reduce our spend as we come out of a period of a very large, important launch on your pipeline in the q 1 stage, you said you were satisfied with the progress. Does that still hold are you satisfied with where the pipeline stands . When you look at obesity. We have proved we have a product coming up. Leading to a weight lost of 17 to 18 that is at least double to the best Weight Management and we are approaching to what surgery is proving and the molecule additive to the other i spoke about. We believe, we can get even higher to the 17 to 18 weight lost im optimistic to go out and based on the obesity treatment as a new strong important leg. We have seen the new fatty liver encouraging phase two level. Im very optimistic. In the same quarter, we also did the largest acquisition ever we acquired a company that holds a card a cardio vas cvascular drug. Pushing on to more corporates in focus. Unicredit has beaten forecast on the top and bottom line. The Second Quarter profit and said trading gains and cost cuts helped offset the pressure confirming the net profit target up to 3. 5 billion euros frances second largest listed bank partly due to a rise associated with the coronavirus risks. Munich re has declined to give guidance. They saw net profit fall 42 to 579 million euro the group scrapped its Share Buy Back plan. And axa with a 40 drop in income also scrapped Earnings Guidance after property and casualty business took a hit on rising claims coming up, the death toll rises and anger mounts as they look to find the culprits leading to an explosion that left parts of the capitol in ruin hike Simon Pagenaud takes the lead at the indy 500 coming to the green flag, racing at daytona. Theyre off. In the kentucky derby. Rory mcllroy is a two time champion at east lake. He scores stanley cup champions touchdown only mahomes. The big events are back and xfinity is your home for the return of live sports. The lebanese government has ordered several porto officials to be put on house arrest pending investigation into the blast that killed over 135 people new videos tonight show how the powerful blast changed the city in an instant a Church Service was under way when the roof begins caving in a bride posed for the wedding video. You can hear the first blast a reporter in the upper corner, doing a live interview she survived tonight, we learned one american is among the more than 100 people who died. At least 5,000 were injured and hundreds are missing hospitals already struggling with covid are beyond capacity we have a small 60bed hospital and it is not equipped. Ive never seen Something Like this Officials Say it was caused by a fire. Can you see it sparking and popping. It grew setting off the big explosion at a Storage Facility packed with 2,750 tons of a m n amonium nitrate used in fertilizer and also used in bombs. Timothy mcveigh used it to make a bomb why was so much left in the port Officials Say it was ceased from a cargo ship six years ago they asked to get rid of it and it never happened. Instead, this was the port area before and after like it was never there. The lebanese government says it is placing an unspecified number of porto officials under house arrest while the Investigation Continues apparently under concern they try to leave the country. Reporting for nbc news london. Lets push on and talk about the United States. Employment slowed sharply in july with 167,000 people that is well below the forecasted jobs amid the sharp decline. The rise in cases across the u. S. And the Payment Protection Program were cited as reasons for the fall the forecasts suggesting growth of 1. 48 million jobs fed vice chair is sticking with his view that u. S. Economy will rebound. The rise in virus cases hadnt changed his outlook. The forecast is that well see the rebound of activity in the Third Quarter data including in our statement, the course of the economy will be in the course of the virus but my view is that well get a bounce back in the q 3 data it will take some time before we bounce back to the level we were at before the pandemic hit shares soared after governors move to support for the Airline Industry included in the final aid package. American airlines rose and united and delta as well stressing, quote, we dont want to lose our airlines white house officials and democrats remained at an impasse over the new relief package. Lawmakers are still at odds. A fresh dispute has also emerged over Postal Service funding. They hope to have a deal by the end of the week. House speaker pointed to a possible compromise. We have to come to an agreement that meets the needs of the American People that is the standard this is an unusual negotiation as ive said before because people are dying there is an urgency and value we have to address that is in the hear and now so time is of the essence. Senate majority leader says the chamber will delay planned Summer Holidays as negotiations will continue. He added he will back a potential compromise to get this thing settled between the president of the United States and his team that has to sign it into law and the democrat, not in significant minority in the senate and majority in the house is something im prepared to support even if i have some problems with certain parts of it tracie potts joins us live from washington, d. C. Listening to Steven Mnuchin saying their objective is to reach an agreement by friday and saying if they cant, it will be hard to reach a deal pelosi saying shes optimistic where do we stand . How close are we to an agreement in washington . There are some things we are told theyve agreed on the biggest issues unemployment it looks like theyve settled in the middle on 400 a week to renew those until the end of the year the other big issue is evictions and people being booted from their home because people cant pay their rent the white house wanted that extended to the end of the year. One thing outstanding. One of the biggest, money for schools reopening. Republicans want more money given to schools willing to give money back to those willing to come back physically democrats want more money to go in general because many are having to pay for Distance Learning still many issues and angst on if they can settle on an outline by tomorrow. If not, President Trump said he will take executive action on his own on those two big issues. Those two theyve come into agreement on it is other issues that they are still negotiating over what about the u. S. Postal service . This is now another Sticking Point that the two sides cant agree. How do they stack up it looks like there will be some money down from 10 billion down from 25 billion they wanted the extra money for the Postal Service is said to be supporting mailin balloting which we know President Trump strongly opposes with one exception, his home state of florida where he has mailed in a ballot everywhere else, he says mailin balloting shows fraud, which is not true it looks like theyve agreed to half as much, less than half as much as democrats wanted to try to support that. There is some agreement but big issues on the table. So many moving parts. Thank you for bringing us the latest our u. S. Colleagues will be speaking with mcconnell today at 1500 cet and with House Speaker pelosi at 15 30 cet. Yesterday, we saw gains across the board lead higher by the tech heavy nasdaq index tech and Consumer Discretionary hit with a muted trade choppy this morning in terms of those futures. It has been a choppy session as it stands now, the s p a little flat. The dow also open and looking flat back here in the united kingdom. We are seeing a little bit of action this morning. We have the twoyear trading higher now on 0. 043 and looking at sterling, we hit a fivemonth high versus the dollar this morning. Up 4. 4 versus the dollar. We heard from the bank of england. Well speak with bank of england governor Andrew Bailey at 1400 cet. Well get more detail from the governor later on this afternoon. Thats it for todays show im Julianna TatelbaumWorldwide Exchange is coming up next. Hike Simon Pagenaud takes the lead at the indy 500 coming to the green flag, racing at daytona. Theyre off. In the kentucky derby. Rory mcllroy is a two time champion at east lake. He scores stanley cup champions touchdown only mahomes. The big events are back and xfinity is your home for the return of live sports. Here is your top five 5 seeing the tech rally and looking at americas stimulus. Rescue in the skies. The president on board with billions more for the airlines ill tell you the price tag being tossed around. Making money doing