the bloomberg politics poll. put it into context for us. it feels dramatic. is it to you? >> when you look at the subgroups you want to look at. obviously pennsylvania is a very key state for trump. it is his easiest, when you think of the path to 270 for him, pennsylvania is pretty critical. what's interesting is what you pointed out. you picked a great state to be in today. when you look at montgomery and bucks county, these are suburbs of philadelphia. republicans expect to be very competitive. you are looking at a lot of essentially white, college educated people who live in these places. it's bread and butter for republicans. if trump wants to win pennsylvania he has to improve the numbers here. it is absolutely critical. >> john lipinski, the director