Is the Largest Party in the German Parliament so the post of party leader is seen as a stepping stone to taking over for medical as head of the country but the Party Conference planned for december was postponed because of the pandemic. Antigovernment protests have continued with many workers heating up calls for a nationwide strike a walkout came after hardline leader Alexander Lukashenko ignored a deadline set by the opposition for him to step down the strike action targeted state run factories. The sustainable good news from berlin follow us on twitter and instagram at the news or visit our website w dot com. For. More. With just a week to go before the u. S. President ial election americas Coronavirus Crisis is getting worse and according to the polls that is giving joe biden the edge over donald trump the message from the president dont trust the polls in this pandemic the question from joe biden do you trust the president in this pandemic golf in berlin this is the day. Every opportunity our i vote every opportunity that people died for our right to voice our opinion we want to make sure were here to turn the polls over to rich drug lords will return to the easy going cast a vote and it looks bigger and come out and people say this we are still live in door probably 19 i love this baby 1st. Im pretty sure im there for you now in that everything. Also coming up as humanity hopes and waits for a vaccine to snuff out the pandemic mans best friend is learning how to sniff out the virus as coded 19 began to spread to see was asked as an experiment to try to detect it it took its 7 minutes to figure out that ok this is what they want me to look for so that totally blew our minds. To our viewers watching on p. B. S. In. United states and to all of you around the world welcome we begin the day as the u. S. President ial Election Campaign begins its final crescendo traditionally this final week of the campaign is when the pressure of the political race for the white house rises and rises and then election day arrives followed by the climax on Election Night when one of the 2 candidates is declared the winner well our present does not promise to repeat that past record high numbers of early voters means that this president ial election could have the highest turnout in more than a century and when you add to the Record Number of mail in ballots to be counted on and after election day Election Night could be rather anticlimactic it may take days or even longer before we know will it be President Joe Biden or 4 more years of President Donald Trump what has not changed in 2020 is the final push to convince the undecided voters here are some of the last minute messages in this last week of the campaign waved a white flag and life it is believed based. Guide is the lead based. Complication covered will become the next preexisting conditions allowing insurance dr jack up your coverage and never going to be charged a hell of a lot more for their Health Care Just because theyre women. Well a dollar of care down Topics Health care is a privilege i think its our right the only person waving a white flag along with his white mask is joe biden i mean when we look at this were going to defeat the virus fair if meeting 50 and ive been saying that in fact this is thing thats at the beginning this is the greatest failure of any president ial administration in the history of america and for more im joined tonight by the professor of perfect president ial predictions that is the title that we have given professor alan lipman because he has correctly predicted the winner of every u. S. President ial election since 1804 mr this man is also a history professor at American University in washington d. C. The president is good to have you on the show when we spoke last in early august you predicted that joe biden would defeat donald trump in november now its almost of imber and you have not changed your mind do you mean to tell me that nothing has changed about this race this campaign about the u. S. In the last 3 months. Absolutely not i made my prediction which as you point out my predictions have been successful since 1984 based on my 13 keys to the white house which gauge the fundamentals of a president ial election that is incumbents are judged by their record and the keys gauge the strength and performance of the party holding the white house and nothing that has happened since early august has caused any keys to flip in favor of donald trump the way my system works is if the party holding the white house loses 6 or more their predicted losers donald trump was down 7 hes still down 7 you know we want to get really going through those keys you base your predictions on these 13 topics or questions regarding the Political Party of the of the sitting president weve listed them for our viewers will put those up there and here we can see the points that you say are true about the republicans and President Trump for example there was no contest during the nominations the incumbent president seeking reelection theres the 3rd party contesting the elections with the other one scandals there have been lots of scandals correct there is a scandal there is a scandal and you say also that charisma of the president you say that falls are youre saying that President Trump does not have charisma correct. Not according to the definition of my keys you can have your own opinion but to evaluate the keys youve got to stick to the definition which is it cant be someone like trump who appeals only to a small but fervent base to fit the definition you have to be broadly appealing to the electorate like Franklin Roosevelt on the democratic side or Ronald Reagan on the republican side over 60 percent of the American People dont think trump is honest and dont like him there have been candidates like him in the past like Barry Goldwater feel to a fervent conservative base or George Mcgovern who appealed to a fervent Democratic Base i did not give them the give them the charisma keys either and if we put up the points for example that you would say would be faults for example midterm gains for the republicans we did not see for example short Term EconomicStrong Performance long term performance also no social unrest thats false there has been social unrest in america and then you say you bet charisma of the challenger joe biden now i want to talk about that as well but before we do i want to take a look at a clip from last nights edition of 60 minutes in which the u. S. President was interviewed and then he walked out of that interview heres a clip of that. Im happy to. Sit it out as big as they used to be and ill tell you that much better. Why. We tell them where it says. No i dont sit here. I have no problem. And. Arent so we. See their professor list these supporters of donald trump would see that and say that is exactly the behavior that makes him charismatic supporters of biden would say that is exactly the most uncharismatic behavior i dont go with either the supporters or the supporters of biden one of the critical elements of mikeys is they are totally non partisan over going into 2020 out called for republicans and 5 democrats therefore i disregard what partisans say and just look at the definition of the keys which is you asked of the role adly appealing not just appealing to a narrow base and you know professor that the us the the world everyone is burned because of what the polls lead us to believe in 2016 would you say that your keys this system youve developed is the one we should maybe apply when were talking about president ial elections and maybe we should forget about the polls. Sigint the polls forget the pundits forget whos up and down on a day to day basis to get the ads the speeches the dirty tricks the soundbites the attack strategies look at the big picture of incumbent strength and performance as ive explained to you through the keys thats why in 2016 i defied all the conventional wisdom in predicting a trump win which by the way did not make me very popular in 90 percent democratic washington d. C. Where i teach at American University i can i can imagine that is the case there and i but im sure this year youre a very popular man with your prediction youre not going to be very popular though with the polling Companies Like gallup for example or or you go of what is going to happen in the future when youve got a political system in america where it really is 1st past the post its like a horse race youre always giving an update you cant do that with your 12 keys can you but you can do that with polls thats right thats why thats why the polls are so deceptive because polls will snapshots and those snapshots change and how do you know the snapshot has changed if you take another poll and so on and so on until you reach the election itself plus the polls a fall less an accurate than they would have you believe they tell you the error margin of plus and minus 3 percent but thats just pure statistical error it doesnt take into account the era from estimating likely voters which is just an educated guess and it doesnt take into account any error from voters who arent telling you the truth or just telling you something and they really havent made up their mind thats why i always tell everyone keep your eye on the big picture and dont be deceived by the day to day like we were 4 years ago well were going to follow that advice were going to keep our eye on you wed like for you to come back on the program the day after the election to win lets see if your prediction held true this year professor Allan Lichtman professor of history at American University joining us from washington d. C. Professors always going to talk with you thank you. Same here you know where to find thing. A fresh attempt to end the fighting between armenia and azerbaijan has collapsed just minutes after a new cease fire came into effect monday morning both sides accused each other of violating it the truce which was brokered by the United States was the 3rd attempt to end the conflict over the disputed nagornokarabakh region fighting broke out in the mountains on klav 4 weeks ago. Our correspondent julie ahana has more tonight on the civilian toll of this talking slick she sent us this report from the town of barga in eyes or by john its about 20 kilometers from the front wall. Fires aliya of shows us where he used to live until very recently. To see a rocket hit his house in early october he says worked so. Hard to build quality going to be sure that. His home for 35 years burned down to the walls. To their work or whatever the whole family was sitting here watching t. V. And suddenly there was an explosion in the backyard everything started burning we ran outside and called the firefighters but when they arrived it was already too late to review. And memories. Want to go farther lee evans convinced that our 1000000 is responsible for the attack the neighboring country deliberately bombed many civilian targets in the area he says. We cant independently verify this we are not allowed to move freely near the front line we are only allowed to film with the as a by johnny authorities let us film. This school and barred out for example even if it looks like it the children here are not students. They are refugees this has been an emergency shelters since the fighting started a month ago i. Was right at the end friends a memorial for. Or a fallen azerbaijani soldier everyone here is convinced that their army is fighting for a just cause the schools vice principal doesnt believe that their votes have been attacks on armenian surveillance. And laughed at us and then. I dont know much about whats happening on the armenian side i only know what i see on t. V. Here but i can say that the armenians are losing and must retreat so they dont have any other options we are not trying to take armenian territory we are fighting for what belongs to us tentacle. Has been at the school for a few weeks now with his wife and 3 granddaughters they are from tat are right on the border with nagornokarabakh lately the clashes there have intensified. That. I am worried about the girls they are just kids they were so scared of the fighting how are they supposed to know what explosions are they should go to school and study but they shouldnt have to learn what bombs and missiles sounds like or agree that women that are. At the moment the children seem safe here is about 20 kilometers from the frontline but nobody knows when they will be able to return home or whether it will soon become too dangerous here tonight. He filed that report is in. Another cease fire has bitten the dust we asked her what went wrong this time. The new ceasefire quickly collapsed in the morning and what were seeing once again is azerbaijan and armenia blaming each other for violating the deal now as you mentioned this has happened 2 times already so many of us here on the ground covering this conflict didnt really expect that this new agreement would turn things into a more peaceful direction weve been hearing the sound of artillery shelling since the Early Morning and we are quite a distance away from the front line about an hours drive now its impossible to understand and verify fired 1st but as we speak the clashes continue and as a johns president has made no secret in recent days and weeks about what he wants he wants to retake. And he has insisted that his country has the right to reclaim its territory by force he also claims that his army has made significant military gains in recent days so for him it seems there are not too many incentives to stop. What reasons the armenians are giving for another cease fire that didnt stick. Well the perspective here and yet of on is that the armenians actually continue to support the ceasefire efforts weve seen statements that effect both from the armenian government and also from the ministry of defense there actually as you he was saying theyre accusing azerbaijan of actually breaking the cease fire 1st and saying that some of the claims to the contrary are part overawed or distant from a Nation Campaign on the part of azerbaijani authorities at the same time they also admit that there is fighting going on weve heard media reports of soldiers reporting widespread small scale skirmishes throughout the front lines and there has also been reports that. The ministry of defense and managed to shoot down an israeli main azerbaijani drone so while publicly they continue to support the cease fire efforts they do admit that fighting is going on in that the current cease fire really does look like is crumbling. French maid products are being pulled from supermarket shelves in several muslim majority countries after calls for a boycott fridge president has entered many muslims by describing is long as a religion in crisis turkeys president richard try to bear to one has called on his citizens to back the boy call it such good. I call on my nation to here and now do not Pay Attention to french labeled goods do not buy the moment where the big table with me now is my colleague nicole wrist shes been following this story its good to see you nicole so brings it to speed here what sparked this outrage well recently we have seen that there are a lot of tensions in france also because there has been a gruesome killing off a teacher who had shown cartoons of the prophet mohammed and one of his classes to discuss the freedom of expression and then there were also some of the incidents and so president mccormick decided that hes going to clamp down on what he defines as radical islam so he has closed a mosque for example he has also had associations linked to this incident and raided and dissolved and well he also is proposing a law to take more control over mosques and france and also the training on certification of moms that are also sometimes trained outside france so that see theres a lot of action going on right now france has had a problem with radical islam for decades now lets remember 2015 the huge attack on the offices of the newspaper shall we have also is about to kind of club which saw dozens of people dying and francis also entering preelection face campaigning is on the table again and the right wing parties are pressuring with issues like internal security and social issues so hes trying to show that hes really getting a grip on issues and. Of course that doesnt go down well with the muslim communities around the globe they feel that than being made responsible for actions that have happened that have been made by minorities and also some of them feel its against their beliefs that pictures off of the prophet mohammed drawings are being shown. Weve seen reaction weve seen the turkish president say that the fridge president maybe has mental problems needs done to help theres been backlash in social media too has been there a lot of that on twitter as this hash tag boycott france and boycott french products many claim across has been pandering to the right wanting of the muslims to not buy these products so we have one tweet from co white that says quote start it who is next we see these empty shelves which usually show up french products theres also advice on what brands of to buy pictures circulating off that so people know which brands not to buy or even advice on how to see through our coat where the product is coming from and which one is france in this this one weve got weve got about 30 seconds i mean how big is this impact going to be used or is there going to be a big impact well we cant con tell how much of an impact this will be from a french sales but we see several arab countries muslim majority countries already taking part in this and obviously turkish president iran has joined the debate which will not lead to less debate as rationally between europe and turkey either this race is not known for the nice words leagues has to say about the fridge president thats for sure the whole thing. We know that one of the symptoms of a Coronavirus Infection is the loss of the sense of smell ironically it is this sharper since in our were canine friends that can protect us by sniffing out the virus this next report takes us to finland. For a treat preferably cathode this snout can be programmed to find it just about anything more bed bugs cancer now it could change the course of corona virus detection need to see rescued from being euthanized as a puppy in spain hes returned that favor for years sniffing out deadly disease for the wise nose smell Detection Association and then learned as coded 19 began to spread to see was asked as an experiment to try to detect it it took its about 7 minutes to figure out that this is what they want it to look for so that totally blew our minds you know dog be able to change training sense in 7 minutes. The team quickly learned canines can detect a coded 1000. 00 infection even 5 days before symptoms appear with almost 100 percent accuracy helsinki airport is hosting a Pilot Project through december that will include cross referencing canine results with those for medical devices if you talk to the skin so here it just takes a simple swab from a restore neck. And then says there yes then for a couple of seconds a dog can tell immediately if a person has contract and coronavirus and. So i receive think it. Is all over the voluntary tests are proving popular but no positive signal yet from the finnish government about scaling up the program so since dogs are incredibly more effective much less expensive and far less intrusive than other ways of detecting the virus why arent public authorities everywhere rushing to use their noses instead of ours we found one who is. Deputy mayor of vaughan the sight of the airport i can see that between 2 meet. Took me 2 minutes out and get this budget covers the free tests offered to all arriving passengers he allocated 330000 euros total to the 4 month dog study meanwhile he expects it will cost up to 300000000. 00 euros per month for the medical option the nasal swab its quite expensive operation of course but the docs are like 75000. 00 know a month. To says the data from this study should help bring in federal funds for expansion of canine testing as well as legal adjustments to upgrade the virus sniffing dogs authority to that of their counterparts working in customs because i would like mouth by docs which i like that they can. Assist and they can smell the coffee both on a human bjorkman is thinking far beyond airports we could train dogs with the same samples with the same training areas to open up. You know the concert halls or or being fair is or go to big working places hospitals or elderly homes football matches whatever both york man and bobby line and warn if dylan doesnt harness the potential of the dog program itself theyll unleash it elsewhere we can well because theres still a lot of war that. She says Health Authorities from all over the world want to learn what these noses know. And finally tonight we cannot say that we were not warned about the pandemic exactly one year ago that warning came in a tweet but not from the twitter or in chief on october 25th 2019 joe biden wrote we are not prepared for a pandemic trump has rolled back progress president obama and i made to strengthen Global Health security we need leadership and he goes on to says that mobilizes the world to stop outbreaks before they reach our work force now on that very same day u. S. President donald trump was tweeting about an apple not a virus he wrote to the c. E. O. Of apple tim cook the button on the i phone was far better then this why. Thanks for watching well see the more. Radical steps of america. Where militias just want to take the law and. Order all in 1st sign that talks to the people what are they so angry about. What do they expect from the Upcoming Elections are they really prepared. A report from on the ground. Close up. On g. W. Its their obsession for spectacular pictures play its their passion for nature. Its their complete devotion. That makes them the best wildlife photographer in the world. Fascinating. And. Confrontational and stirring. Place 5 adventure small. One goal. The preservation of our planet. Is not just an issue of martin trees and saving pandas anymore. Its us thats dangerous survive or not survive through realizing theres a radically different way of living that moves from brother. Passion for starts november 6th on g. W. But. These are Tumultuous Times in the us the country has been shaken by protests sparked by the death of george floyd a black man who died while being arrested by a life Police Officer during. The demonstrations are the largest seen in decades protesters are demanding an end to Police Brutality and racism. Its almost like Police Officers