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《廣匯論勢-鄭廣復》加元料與油價雙雙回落
持在0﹒25%歷史低位,但將每周買債規模由40億加元減至30億美元後,而在上周議息會
後進一步將購債規模降至20億加元,按照BOC隔次會議縮減買債額度推斷,下次即9月初的
外又將閒置產能預期被吸收的時間提前至2022年。掉期交易顯示,BOC明年4月份加息一
40水平。
每桶77美元後再次受阻(上次迫近該位是在2018年10月),現已重返71美元水平。早
的需求因經濟逐步重啟而在短時間內急增,如大幅增產,可能予市場油市供過於求的預期,令油
聯儲局對高通脹的口風改變 不再視為暫時性,則美元亦可以藉市場預期聯儲局將會提前加息而
不破後持續回升,故相信匯價已在該水平中期見底,短期以1﹒30為首個反彈目標,進一步料
升至1﹒3335(去年3月以來下跌浪50%反彈位)附近才有較大阻力。
《經濟通資深市場分析師 鄭廣復》
場,《經濟通》所扮演的角色是提供一個自由言論平台。
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