Transcripts For FOXNEWSW Fox News Democracy 2020 The Iowa Caucuses 20200203

What exactly a caucus is and how it works. Martha we have reporters who are fanned across the caucus sites to make him a peter doocy is with the Biden Campaign, as he has been throughout the process so far. Jacqui heinrich is covering senator Bernie Sanders. Alecia cuneo is massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren and mike tobins with Pete Buttigiegs team this evening. Bret plus we have analysis and voter survey results from brit hume and Shannon Bream. Lets begin with shannon, who has the early indication, the early indicators from the fox news motor analysis survey results on the key issues on their minds as they had to caucus, good evening, shannon. Good evening, guys. Bret and martha, this is our first look at our fox news motor analysis survey. Weve been talking with nearly 3,000 likely Iowa Democratic caucus goers. Heres what we are learning what some of the scenes in this race. First up, one of the biggest debates within the Democratic Party involves those who want a candidate who will fundamentally change the system versus one who will reset thanks to how they were before the Trump Administration. So check this out. By about 2 1, i will caucus goers are for change. Thats what they want to see. Dont read too much into that because the change folks actually spread the support among different candidates. On the economy in particular, almost all Iowa Democratic caucus goers thing the way that the nations Economic System works right now, they call it unfair to most americans. That includes nearly half as far as very unfair. You think its great that the economy actually works for most people . Even as National Polls so record numbers rate the economy positively, most of these caucus goers here in iowa say theyre either Holding Steady financially or that their family is actually falling behind. Only a handful of them think theyre actually getting ahead. But they dont see the economy here is the most pressing issue facing the country. I would democrats say that its health care followed by Climate Change and far behind is the economy, although it is the only other issue that makes it into double digits. One point on that topic of health care, more Iowa Democrats for the public option with the medicare for all who wanted rather than what would be a mandatory singlepayer health care system. Guys, we have so much of the data to crunch to tell you about whos voting how, why they got to that place. We will have it for you all night long. Back to you. Bret al all right, shannon, thank you. Martha talk but some of the key issues in iowa and the shuttle between biden and senator Bernie Sanders. Bret senior political analyst brit hume joins us now. Good evening, brit. Martha hello there. Hi. Bret is finally here. With him pulling and talking and reporting for a long time, we finally got some votes which will give us some idea of the shape of the race which has been, considering how long its been going on and how much has happened, its been remarkably shapeless to this moment. Bret we talk a lot about how important ground game is here but for people at home to understand, it takes a lot to get out of your house, to go to the firehouse or the school of the Church Basement and get in n the corner and raise her hand. The striking thing i think about tonight is that we will have a tally that was never really had before in this state. A tally of peoples initial preferences. In other words, we will know which candidates were supported by how many people when they first walked in the door of whatever caucus they attended. Weve never had that before. Its really like a primary and the good question is how do we measure the winter here . Do we measure the winner in terms of number of delegates . Well, not really because were not really actually choosing National Convention delegates to make him aware choosing delegates to a convention where the delegates will be chosen. So its a twostep process. Besides that, i will has never really been about delegates because even though thats always measured winners, because the number of delegates at stake here is, what, 41, Something Like that . Its minuscule compared to larger states. Its always been about which candidate showed some popularity and some strength and momentum. So its a good question whether that first tally, the initial tally which will change over time because of complex rules should be the one we judge every thing by. Martha going to be an interesting benchmark to be sure, and as you say there will be an indication of how many votes each one of these people got, so its sort of like i look as tonight is information. We are going to have some data to look at for the first time yeah, votes. Martha gets a might have how people are feeling and whats shaping their views. But it really is, when you look at this, a question of whether or not they want to go with somebody who is going to restore, as we talked about the way things were, or they perceive a person who could do that, or the Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, medicare for everybody, free college for everybody, concept that we talked so much about. The other divided courses over the question of which candidate is most likely to seek content successfully against donald trump which seems to be a huge portion of the electorate wants that. So do you want that or do you want to try to go for it and go for big change . Bret you mentioned donald trump. Donald trump jr. On facing potentially Bernie Sanders, this is from fox and friends this morning. I kind of want to run against the communist and burning, but hes also got a very motivated base. Hes got people that are showing up for his rallies, right . Theres a viral effect sort of like what trump had when they said we couldnt win. Bret so there is that element of the more the Party Establishment talks down Bernie Sanders, the more his supporters say well, you know what, we are showing up in greater numbers. Thats right and of course all of us reporters who covered countless campaigns, we also we thought we knew something, which was that crowd size is no indication of final support. In the case of trump, boy were we wrong about that. You can say this makes the same claim about bernie. Hes got energy on his side, youth among his supporters on his side. Hes going to be in this race all along, because hes never going to run out of money, he never did last time. Hes going to be with us and if he doesnt win your, he still going on and on and of course with her all worried about, with establishment democrats are worried about as he gets off to a huge start here, wins in New Hampshire and it looks like he might run the table because hes gaining ground in South Carolina in recent polls. He becomes a genuine threat to win the nomination and theyre all going to panic if they think you cant beat trump, but who knows. Bret it remind me so much of what happened with President Trump because he was always ahead in the early stages and everybody said this is going to die out, reality tv star, thats what everybody shows up to see him at east bank. And its remarkable sort of that different extremes, very different ideologies how similar this feels in terms of bucking the trend against her own party. A lot of the democrats in 2016 so there were hoping that trump would be the nominee of the Republican Party because he believes he want to be. Wanted to run against him and look what happened. So now we look at some republicans are looking at Bernie Sanders to seo boy, i hope he wins, because hes way out on the left and trump would kill him. Well, look what happened with trump. Dont bet on it. Bret we will talk about later. As i was, good to see you. Joe biden is running not only on his own merits, but hes taken former president barack obama, figuratively come along for the ride. Martha tonight joe biden is suggesting that a vote for him as a vote for a third obama term. But will that be enough to win here in iowa tonight . Bret correspond peter doocys with the Biden Campaign. Joe bidens biggest crowd and i were the cycle, the final event before the caucuses, but hes lowering expectations saying hell be competitive even if he doesnt win tonight. We are going to survive all the way through this whole thing. Biden granddaughter in dubuque but got angry and divine when asked whether his son hunter was hired by Ukrainian Energy company eager to get access to his dad, the vp. You do not know what youre talking about. No one said that, who said that . Dont you think that its just one of those things were people think well that seems kind of sleazy, why would he have that job, its not for who his father was . Hes a very bright guy. The Biden Campaign also sprung to squash nbc news, the biden surrogate john kerry was overheard at the Des Moines Hotel talking about possibly joining the race Bernie Sanders runs away with the nomination. First came in denial and social media, then a shout out. A guy who should have been president of United States of america. A guy i have come to know to be friends with, just as we know each other, john kerry. Candidate bidens Closing Argument is having on health care. Everybody talks about health care. Im the only one who actually led into law Health Care Reform called obamacare. But he disagrees hes too much like obama. A third term for barack obama, would you say its a risky choice . His plan to win is to ignore most democratic rivals and focus on President Trump. He loves to give people nicknames, usually derogatorily, but i do have a nickname i want to give him. Former president former President Donald Trump. This campaign thats all about beating President Trump just so happens to be celebrate in caucus night on the same College Campus for President Trump held a rally on thursday and so far on location we have seen dr. Jill biden, but not the former vp himself and only signage in the room is the same as the side of his boss. It says battle for the soul of the nation. Bret and martha. Bret peter doocy her into one, thanks. Martha thank you, peter. Senator Bernie Sanders came at a very close second, very close, razor close, to Hillary Clinton four years ago in iowa here. Bret is hoping to do it do it obviously had better today. Mobilizing his army of volunteers and supporters as we speak. Jacqui heinrichs with the this evening. Where the campaign of excitement and of energy. To some, senator Bernie Sanders strategy looks a lot like President Trumps 2016. Popular support from voters tired of establishing candidates. Sanders already has more individual donations than any of the democratic rivals with 1. 4 Million People supporting his Campaign Last year. And in iowa on caucus night, is relying on those people to come out en masse. Nobody else would beat trump and bernie. Were living a populist movement and donald trump were caught that populist wave and bernie represents something similar to that. Volunteers have been carrying his message while his men off the trail, sidelined in washington for impeachment. Sanderss campion says grassroots organizers knocked on half a Million Dollars last month alone and when sanders has been able to get to iowa, is maximized turnout, hosting festivalstyle events informally dubbed berncella. Targeting younger voters, Sergeant Dominic bony bear and vampire weekend. His Campaign Saturday showed through 3,000 people the largest crowd of any candidate in iowa the cycle. Half a million more watched over life screen. Some voters worry sanders aggressiveness would alienate moderates and splinter the party, ultimately helping President Trumps reelection. I think thats a very valid argument. I do. Or maybe not even good drum, but not vote, which is just unfortunate. Voters system of senator sanders more radical plans like his Health Care Plan that would virtually eliminate private Health Insurance could end up being his achilles heel, but to his most loyal supporte supporters, a system overhaul is exactly what the country needs. Bret and martha. Bret jackie, thank you. Martha it up next we will talk with iowa voters going to the caucuses tonight. Bret as we had to break, we both spent the weekend bouncing on the state, going to different candidate events, including this joe biden closing event. [cheers and applause] Bret Joe Biden continuing his close for the Iowa Caucuses. A lot of this speech is about donald trump, saying its about character. Hes also trying to get all the votes out to their precincts to caucus for him. Our special democracy 2020 continues after the break. Knowing were prepared for the future. Surprise we renovated the guest room, so you can live with us. Im good at my condo well planned, well invested, well protected. Voya. Be confident to and through retirement. How do your teeth get a dentistclean feeling . Start with a round brush head. Add power. And youve got oralb. Oralbs round brush head surrounds each tooth to remove more plaque. For a superior clean, round cleans better. Oralb. 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Martha one of the best things about being in iowa is talking to the people here on the ground or getting ready to caucus to make. Bret there the people who make a difference, the people who show up. We like to find out if theyre interested in the caucuses, why or why not come up with their supporting, and really whats driving them to caucus. I love iowa. I love it here. Candidates have been working iowa voters for months from flipping for jobs to state fair soapbox pitches. Thank you, iowa bret diner after diner and lots of coffee and five. Try that in front. Bret and now its all about the voters. The ones who will actually show up to caucus. So this is your first caucus, right . Yes. Bret as a citizen. As a citizen, yeah. Bret are you psyched . Im excited. Bret she was born in venezuela and says authenticity is most important to her. I want to send someone to the white house who i know that if they go to a closeddoor meeting, i know theyre not going to sell me out, because theyve been saying the same thing for 40 years. Bret authentic. Vanessa said she found that candidate and senator Bernie Sanders. I was like, okay, yes, this is the person thats really speaking to me into the issues i care about. I also look at finland, denmark, look at norway, look at germany. They have market economies, but they have strong socialist types of measures that are really investing the taxpayers money into social wellbeing programs, and that is what we want to do. Bret do you worry, as a bernie supporter, that the party is somehow going to pull it out from them again, or that theyre going to try to do something that somehow the Party Establishment affects his momentum . Im a little worried about that. Bret brian smith is a dietitian with two kids, an independent who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Hes not certain heading into tonights caucuses. Hes torn between joe biden and Elizabeth Warren. I do have to be thoughtful about, all right, one i really wanted to go for, but who was number two, maybe number three, who knows . Who just knows . So the field is so full and full of good people, and they all have partially have really great answers, but i just dont see the one. Bret brian recently started a new job in a hospital and been listening for candidates plans for health care. Its really hard for me to wrap my hands around sometimes. Bret the difference between biden and warren is pretty stark when it comes to that issue. Exactly. And sometimes you get in that room and you see, okay, where the numbers falling in where you want to go with that. Bret iowa, with its farm country and the large number of rural counties, has traditionally been a red state. In the 2016 election, donald trump captured 93 of the states 99 counties, carrying iowa by the largest margin of any republican candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1980. President trump still has a strong following here, but the cities and suburbs are much more bluishpurple now. Esther considers herself an independent with conservative values. She is not a fan of how President Trump communicates, or how he acts as a person, but she says she cant find anyone better in the democratic field. Esther has been to a number of events and says shes been turned off by the democrats rhetoric in iowa. If youre listening to them as more of us versus them and who is them, who is they . Youre talking about the trump base of the republicans, they are also americans. Bret this field right now is not something you can get behind . Right now, no. None of them i dont see bret so despite a strong push from her democratic friends to caucus for mayor pete, esther is choosing and instead to sit t tonight and went for the general election. What i really hope is that President Trump would be more president ial. Bret works at a housing nonprofit in des moines. He cares about a lot of issues, but having someone who can beat President Donald Trump is number one. A candidate that can win in november, that can unite the party, bring folks together and that touches my heart and inspires me to get out and volunteer, knock on doors, do interviews. Not normal stuff to do, but its worth it to see Elizabeth Warren be the first female president. Bret zeb is impressed with senator warrens detailed plans for basically everything and believes democrats are now turning her way. When i was volunteering, the last sheet i turned and i wrote Elizabeth Moran momentum. It feels like people are finally making that decision, deciding. Its very, very close here in iowa between many candidates. So i think the ground game is going to make a really big difference this year. What did i want to do . Lets impeach a president , right . I dont think so. Bret when it comes to President Trump and the impeachment proceedings, we found our caucus goers to be relatively unfazed. Impeachment, i mean, as far as me, as far as my boat, it doesnt affect one way or the other. I didnt watch it completely. I think impeachment hearings have basically no impact. I wasnt a big fan of the president before the impeachme impeachment. Im aware of the impeachment hearings. I am not able to sit and listen to all of that. In terms of what happens in the election, thats going to be history will bear that out. Bret and on what is considered a make or break day for candidates, one thing the rest of the country can be sure of, iowans are taking their role very seriously and dont underestimate the influence there caucus can have. Personally, i think its an honor to be among the first to look at this. The access to the candidates is unparalleled. My friends from overseas are amazed by that. We take our job very seriously. We want to meet the candidates. We want to look them in the eye, ask them questions, see, you know, kind of get back to that honesty truth thing. There is plenty of hog dung that gets thrown around a politician sometime. We have a good nose for that. Bret they know the hog dung when they see it. When they can smell it. Bret but it is amazing to see how those folks come out and they take it seriously. How does all this criticism whether iowa should be first or not. They value that. Yeah, they do, and i think they love the hands on time that they get with these candidates. I talked with one woman who said she seen them all a couple of times, some of them. But still undecided and still so the impeachment just feels like it feels like it was just a blip for them and something that happened in washington that doesnt relate to them. Bret everybody we talked to, we will talk more next hour with your focus group. Martha yep. Speeones back in washington, the big story is impeachment. We will wrap up todays Closing Arguments. Martha before break, a look at one of the candidates was hoping to pull off a big surprise tonight. So as you can see, weve gotten in behind us at a rally earned one trying to get the crowd fired up. He says he sensing a lot of momentum in his campaign right now. He sixth and the politics average but hes hoping to pull off a surprise and i will on monday night, we will see if you can do that. A lot of talk about his freedom dividend, universal income, very popular idea here. We talked to voters who voted for trump last time around, Hillary Clinton last time around, he says hes not center, hes not right, hes forward. 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Bret lets take a look at some of the other stories making news today. Speak to the centers for Disease Control and prevention is confirming five new cases of coronavirus in the United States. That includes the second instance of persontoperson transmission within the country. Brings the total cases in the United States to 11. The latest numbers on the outbreak, 414 dead in china, more than 170,000 infected since late december. Around the world there are around 150 cases in two dozen countries. Bret stocks rebounded a bit after fridays major selloff based on the coronavirus. The dow gaining 144 today, the s p 500 was up 23. The nasdaq sword, 122. Martha two adult women are dead following our troubleshooting as a Residence Hall on the texas a m campus and commerce. A toddler was also injured and is in stable condition. Officials are not identified the suspected shooter. Classes have been canceled for the rest of the day. Bret Rush Limbaugh says he has been diagnosed with advanced lung cancer. He told his listeners today hes taking some days off for further medical tests and to determine treatment going forward. He says he has been experiencing shortness of breath, that he initially thought might be heart related, but turned out to be a pulmonary malignancy. With advanced lung cancer and i wish i didnt have to tell you this, and i thought about not telling anybody. I thought about trying to do this without anybody knowing, because i dont like making things about me. But there are going to be days that im not going to be able to be here. Bret rush has been hosting a nationally syndicated show since 1988. We send our best and our prayers up for that one. Martha yeah, hes a very warm, sweet guy, something that not Everybody Knows who listens to him on the radio. But hes a real patriot and he has been entertaining and informing people across the country for so many years and we absolutely wish them all the best. Bret if anybody can fight through it, he can. Martha absolutely. So the legal teams in the Senate Impeachment trial gave their Closing Arguments today. That sets up what is expected to be a vote for acquittal on wednesday. Bret but one senator is floating another option, censure. Chief congressional course chief congressional course one of my commander will live up tonight on capitol hill with the latest. Good evening to you. Late today, West Virginia democrat senator joe manchin said he is still struggling with his decision on the upcoming impeachment votes. And he floated another way for senators to hold President Trump accountable. I see no path to the 67 votes required to impeach President Trump and havent since this trial started. However, i do believe a bipartisan majority of this body would vote to censure President Trump for his actions in this manner. Censure would allow this body to unite across party lines. This question about whether moderate democrats like him, jones of alabama, and Kyrsten Sinema of arizona will vote with republicans to acquit. Reaction is pouring in from senators who have been listening to the arguments from both sides, but unable to speak. They are now being granted up to 10 minutes each to comment on this moment in history. So there will bes plenty of senators speech is tonight and then tomorrow before President Trumps state of the union and more lawmakers speaking on wednesday leading up to votes in the articles of impeachment Late Wednesday afternoon. Also today, Closing Arguments took about four hours on the senate floor with house impeachment managers pushing senators arguing that President Trump abused his power and obstructed congress. If you find that the house has proved its case and still vote to acquit, your name will be tied to his with a quart of steel and for all of history. On the other side, attorney for President Trump argued the House Democrats did not prove their case and said its up to senators to do the right thing. You must vote to acquit the president. At the end of the day, this is an effort to overturn the results of one election and to try to interfere in the coming election that begins today and i will. Is not not clear if senator manchins censure idea will go anywhere. It would seem that senators will need to deal with articles of impeachment first, then perhaps on thursday there may be some discussion about censure or senators may decide it simply time to move on. Martha, bret. Bret mike emanuel live in, thanks. When we come back to des moines, the Iowa Caucuses rules have changed since 2016. Martha so whether that will help or hurt Elizabeth Warren or joe biden remains to be seen. Senator Elizabeth Warren with a detailed pitch, answering questions, plans. Trying to fire people up saying its from the heart in her phrase the Vice President money cant buy mac. Our democracy 2020 special continues after this break. Mory . Prevagen is the number one pharmacistrecommended memory support brand. You can find it in the vitamin aisle in stores everywhere. Prevagen. Healthier brain. Better life. At outback, steak lobster oh no its gone phew its back, with lobster mac cheese. Its gone again its back, with shrimp now steak lobster starting at only 16. 99. Hurry in before these three are gone again. Outback steakhouse. Most people think as a reliable phone company. But to businesses, were a reliable partner. We Keep Companies ready for whats next. man we weave security into their business. second man virtualize their operations. woman and build ai customer experiences. second woman we also keep them ready for the next big opportunity. Like 5g. Almost all of the fortune 500 partner with us. woman when it comes to digital transformation. Verizon keeps business ready. And my lack of impulse control, is about to become your problem. Ahh no, come on. I saw you eating poop earlier. Hey my focus is on the road, and thats saving me cash with drivewise. Whos the dummy now . Whoof whoof so get allstate where good drivers save 40 for avoiding mayhem, like me. Sorry hes a baby bret a president ial primary boating season does not actually begin with a primary. Instead, here in iowa, north dakota, nevada, and wyoming all have caucuses. Meredith here in des moines tells us there are some new rules this year in iowa that could change the way the results are framed. Commit tonight to caucus for me. Iowa democrats who show up to caucus tonight will face new rules from years past and some further changes could changes could lead to multiple candidates trying to claim victory. Weve been preparing for this for four years and weve made a lot of changes to the process. These will be our most transparent caucuses, our most accessible caucuses that weve ever held. Over here. Bernie over there. In 2016, some caucus sites turned chaotic as democrats grappled with ties, miscalculate the results in confusion. A handful of delegates were even awarded by coin toss. Some Bernie Sanders supporters cried foul at Hillary Clinton claimed victory in iowa by the narrowest of margins. This year, democrats say they are simple finance meeting of the process with only two rounds of caucuses. First, caucus goers will gathering specific spots to stand and support their candidate. Thats known as the first alignment. If a candidate gets 15 or more support of those in attendance, their supporters are locked in. They cant change their mind. Candidates who fail to get 15 are considered nonviable. There supporters that have the option to pick another candidate to support or remain uncommitted. The second round is called the final alignment. Those results determine a candidates state delegate count which eventually leads to the number of delegates candidate can get at the National Convention. Tonight, democrats are also reporting more results than years past including the results of the first alignment, the results of the final alignment, and the state delegate equivalent. The state delegate equivalence has always been the best measure to figure out how our National Delegates are going to break down. That is still going to be the case this year but this, again, is a race for delegates. Iowa democrats will not declare one candidate the winner overall and instead let the three different results stand as the final word from iowa. This year, democrats have a new app that will help caucus leaders compile the results. If they will also be having paper tallies just in case. Bret, martha. Its been all right, mark, thank you. Martha just in case, right . Bret just in case. Lets bring our panel, marc theissen, poster Kristen Soltis anderson and josh kraushaar, politicsrnal. Great to have alternate. I thought wed start by looking at some of the quick sound bites that we have of the candidates as they were closing out their campaign in the final days here. Lets watch that. Its great out there, i dont even know what time it is. Its become more and people coming up saying i have been a republican my whole life, and changing parties, im caucusing for you. Our number one job is to beat donald trump. Women win, lets get this done. Tomorrow night is the beginning. It is the beginning of the end for donald trump. So good, theres a lot of energy out there, a lot of enthusiasm, has been a lot of counties all over the state. It feels good. Bret josh, lets start with you. How do you think these things stand tonight . s because you always want to bet with a candidate that has the strongest phase in Bernie Sanders been turning on 3,000 people for an event saturday night. Got the most energized supporters. At the question is, are there a lot of older voters that show up at the caucuses usually iowa that they usually predominate or are bernies Young College students going to show up in record numbers . The older the voters, the more advantage someone like joe biden has but we have a lot of new firsttime caucus goers that show up. If Bernie Sanders is going to have a really big night. Bret you know, we had the fact that you can get a lower candidates folks that dont qualify, arent socalled viable as mark pointed out, some of these campaigns are already starting to reach out to the lower pullers like yang and tom steyer to say hey, listen, if this happens, some to come our way. And with the bible to thresholding 15 , many of these candidates, even some of the big names weve been talking about like buttigieg and warren have been hovering not too far from that number. And so you can imagine a scenario where there may be some caucuses, some sites where Elizabeth Warren is at 18 , but others where shes at 12 . And in most cases, where do her voters go . Who benefits . I think its likely that you will see Bernie Sanders doing better on that first reporting alignment than you do on subsequent ones because i suspect the other sort of lower polling folks, they will be looking more for elect ability. They will be trying to think strategically and they will find find to wind up going to be polite joe biden. Martha candidate that you choose in the first round is viable, gets that 15 , then you have to sort of stand pat. Thats where youre staying in the other folks were under that margin can move around. How do you think this is going to sort out . Was fascinating about it is the reason they are doing this this year is because in 2016, Bernie Sanders this is the irony of irony, thought that he won the popular vote but she won the delegate count, which is kind of ironic for Hillary Clinton. But there was no count of the actual votes, so he insisted on this change. This change can actually possibly hurt him, because he probably will win the first round, but lets Elizabeth Warren doesnt cross that 15 threshold. Her voters go to bernie, but what if she does and Pete Buttigieg doesnt . Where do his voters go . What about in the club at our been pulling about 9 . Her voters could go to biden. So if you see a makeover char and buttigieg although the 15 threshold, those miters might go to joe biden and put them over the top and sober he will have won the popular vote but biden will have won in the end. Bret i just know theres a lot of people on the couch at home saying why does iowa get to do this . What is happening here . And josh, there is a question in the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, but the Democratic Party about iowas role in whether they will continue to have a going forward. This night could affect that. Keep in mind the republicans do with a simple way. It may take a vote in the winner wins. If the democrats, because of complaints, as mark was saying, for Bernie Sanders supporters decided to make it complicated. If theres no front runner, if it is sort of a split decision, if multiple candidates are trying to spin the win, then i think iowa is going to take a lot of pressure, because there are already a lot of democrats that think iowa isnt a personal, its not were presented above the rest of the party. This is iowas best last chance to be relevant. Martha talk about burning in his role in all of this and how, you know, the party is rebelling against him in many ways, that the upper echelons of the Democrat Party sending signals that they dont want him to win and what can they do to stop him. If that all over again. It sounds a lot to me like what you may remember hearing from the republican side in 2016, fears about donald trump and a lot of talk about, he wouldnt be electable if hes the nominee. There are a lot of that now with Bernie Sanders, but i think will be fascinated on the democratic side. Lets say he wins here tonight, even if not all three of the different counts, lets just say he was one of them. And then he goes to hampshire, which is home turf for him. And if someone has claimed to say the kind of won iowa and then they win in hampshire and in the party kind of stopped them in their tracks, does that create a really big fracture in the party . I think possibly. I dont think Bernie Sanders supporters are going to stand for feeling like he was denied a second time. Bret panel, stand by if you would be rated martha more when we come back with our great panel here, plus we will have candidate casino, which ie imparted to excited to be part of because its interesting. Bret will put on the green visor. And as we go to break, feeling the burn. Speak of the Democratic Party seems to have a lot of concerns about the possibility that bernie could win here in New Hampshire and potentially be on. Were watching it very closely as they talk about turnout, getting up her out to vote. They want this to be an unequivocal victory for him at the caucuses on monday night. This is democracy 2020, we will be back right after this break. Break out the butter lobsterfest is on at red lobster if youve been dreaming about tender wildcaught lobster, dig in to butterpoached, fireroasted and shrimp lobster linguini. See . Dreams do come true. 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All in the same place as your live tv. Its all included with your amazon prime membership. Thats how xfinity makes tv. Simple. Easy. Awesome. Im feeing good right now you look at sleepy joe. Whats going on with him . Hes having a hard time. You look at bernie. I call him crazy burning. I think of communism when i think of bernie. You mentioned Elizabeth Warren. Shes not true to it. I call her fairy tale because everythings a fairy tale. Thats how pocahontas got started. I would love to run against bloomberg. I would love it. Martha okay, so there is the president s take on some of the candidates that are hoping to do well tonight. We are back with our panel. If mark, do you want to begin . So what im watching for tonights we know that the first or second is probably going to be biden or sanders. Im looking at the race for third. If you remember in 2016 coming out of the republican primary, the big story was marco rubio coming up third until Chris Christie tore him apart in the debate and ended all of th that. The democratic establishment is rooting for Elizabeth Warren to come in third over buttigieg because they want to keep her alive and in the race because she is the sanders killer. Together, they decimate joe biden. In iowa, their combined voters 40 to bidens 25. In New Hampshire its 41 to biden 1715. Even in South Carolina, which is his blue wall, they are together 2831, which is within striking distance. They need her not to die in iowa and New Hampshire orioles bernie takes off, consolidates the progressive vote. I think establishment is rooting for warren. Bret both of us talked to a lot of voters, caucus goers over the past couple of days and im sure you have too. Impeachment, not even on their radar, per se. Im not even talking some of them not even watching any of it. No, because for the most part impeachment is something that is a rorschach test. You either like the president or you dont and how you feel about the president tells you how youre going to feel about impeachment for the most part. Voters these days, and this is not just democratic voters, this is all kinds of voters. Health care is an issue the character on about. Issues like Climate Change in the environment. Issues like the economy, issues Like National security. They are so much higher up the list like something that impeachment. And every time impeachment came up in a democratic debate, the notice that the candidates all kind of tried to dodge and get around it because they wanted to get back to talking with the issues that voters are going to be making their minds up about. Martha one of the interesting things of on that list of issues is that health care and Climate Change, but economy is low on the list, which tells you which tells me that people feel like things are going pretty well. Even a lot of democrats like the way the economy is going under the president. Maybe they wouldnt admit it publicly but voter perception, even among democrats, is relatively high given our partisan times. The one issue that democrats do talk about when i interview them at these campaign events, they want to beat trump and every voter tries to play pundit. They are obsessed with trying to figure out and gave up a system to see who matches up best against the president. I think joe biden lead in that category. Sort of in the final week, final couple weeks, he stumbled on the stretch. And theres a little bit of worry in the biden campus whether he can close on the legibility argument. Thats what they are about. Speeones of the reason we came up with candidate casino was to force pundits to, you know, put a bet on the table. You have 100 in chips, so were going to go to there it is. Martha there we go. Bret candidate casino, place your bets. 100. First we will do the iowa version. The iowa version of candidate casino. Hundred dollars, here we go. 80 on sanders in 20 on biden but if i win do i get like 300 next time . Thats the question. I should have more and more money, like all. Bret all right, iowa casino. Here we go. I put 40 on bernie, 20 on biden, 20 on buttigieg and 20 on warren. Still put a little more money on the field versus bernie just because so much depends on two young people turnout in a . Im hedging more than marc esper 45 on sanders, i think is going to get the popular vote tonight. I have 30 on biden. If buttigieg could be the surprise, and 20 on him. The only on Elizabeth Warren. We talked earlier about that thirdplace person. And i also think thats going to be one of the most interesting questions tonight, because that person is going to be able to say watch out for me as we head into New Hampshire. Tell me who you think that thirdplace person should be tonight. Should be or will be . Martha would you think do you look at that person has a little more momentum than people realize may be . Possible in a club or shark or come out of nowhere, she is at 9, within striking distance. I think its either warren or buttigieg. If its warren if its buttigieg and warren loses in New Hampshire, then its done and bernie is going to be the nominee. Bret but in reality as we head in and even though we didnt have the luxury of the Des Moines Register poll because it was canceled, you have really five candidates seeming to be in the top top tier. Yes, but interestingly, once you get past iowa, two new names enter that concoction. So you do have bernie, biden, warren, buttigieg and klobuchar here in iowa, but then tom steyer, and fox news its own polling, comes in second. He spent a ton of money and energy there. If bloomberg is hanging out there in the National Polls. Hes not playing it all in the early states. Risky strategy. Can only work if you have billions of dollars at your disposal, but really trying to be a factor in the delegate ra race. Iowa, remember, theyre going to be almost 5,000 delegates collected over the course of this whole contest. I will give. I believe its around bret 41. Its not that many. Bloomberg is playing the long game for the delegate collection. I think its got five names further collection or tie, add two more of those once we get past the night. Im looking at who gets knocked out. Does the moderate of the liberal get knocked out . If Elizabeth Warren does well in someone like klobuchar gets knocked out, that helps biden. If warren gets knocked out that actually helps Bernie Sanders consolidate the progress of. Martha thats why we play. Bret thats why we play, thats right. So our one of our special iowa caucus coverages in the books. Bret we will be back with our second hour, special coverage of the Iowa Caucuses after a quick break. Gestions gone. I can breathe again ahhhh i can breathe again ughh vicks sinex. Breathe on. Man whats my my truck. Is my livelihood. So when my windshield cracked. The experts at Safelite Autoglass came right to me. Tech hi, im adrian. Man thanks for coming. With service i could trust. Right, girl . Singers safelite repair, safelite replace. Applebees new irresistabowls now starting at 7. 99. Now thats eatin good in the neighborhood. Find your breaking point, then break it. Every emergenc gives you a potent blend of nutrients. So, you can emerge your best, with emergenc. But she wanted to be close to nature. Home. So, we met in the middle. Ohhhhh look who just woke up you are so cute but one thing we could both agree on was getting geico to help with homeowners insurance. Yeah, it was really easy and we saved a bunch of money. Oh, you got it. You are such a smart bear call geico and see how easy saving on homeowners and condo insurance can be. I have moderate to severe pnow, theres skyrizi. Things are getting clearer, yeah i feel free to bare my skin yeah thats all me. Nothing and me go hand in hand nothing on my skin thats my new plan. Nothing is everything. Keep your skin clearer with skyrizi. 3 out of 4 people achieved 90 clearer skin at 4 months. Of those, nearly 9 out of 10 sustained it through 1 year. And skyrizi is 4 doses a year, after 2 starter doses. I see nothing in a different way and its my moment so i just gotta say nothing is everything skyrizi may increase your risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. Before treatment your doctor should check you for infections and tuberculosis. Tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms such as fevers, sweats, chills, muscle aches or coughs, or if you plan to or recently received a vaccine. Nothing is everything ask your dermatologist about skyrizi. One hour to kick down all that left before i left before iowa caucus goers begin casting their votes, and the representay give the first indication of what theyre looking for out there. Is it going to be experienced, progressive insurgents, who was in the best position to be President Trump. Good evening, everybody, im marthmartha maccallum. Bret im bret baier continuing the special coverage and first in the nation, iowa caucus is here at the event center in Downtown Des Moines in the state capital in the river center where other studio is. This is a wonderful spot where they count the votes as i well voters make their way to almost 1700 holding places across the Hawkeye State and they are doing so after all the rallies and town halls, coffee clashes with the candidates. Voters spent a lot of time with them in person and seeing a lot of them on the airways. In fact, millions and millions, and millions of dollars of tv ads a long period of martha the reason for all the time and money, the winner tonight gets a invaluable boost in both attention and fundraising ahead of the New Hampshire primaries. Next week, super tuesday, which is exactly one month away. Analysis indicates the past winners of the Iowa Caucuses, jumped three points in the primary polls and seven points nationally rated speed to stick with fox news all night long with extensive coverage. Of all standing by in the morning, lets begin with petert the joe Biden Campaign headquarters. Peter. Could you think, bret, joe biden said hes too superstitious to make a prediction about tonight but he speaking about what could happen very cautiously. He was dropping off pizzas at a Campaign Office here in des moines and a reporter asked him what is going to happen if you do not finish in first place in iowa. He said, we are going to survive all the way through this thing. Now starting to argue that the nominations with the support of africanamerican primary voters and not necessarily young ones. Bernie sanders has an overwhelming majority of the young folk, voters under 50. Yes, under 50. I dont believe that. I dont believe that. More than you. Bret joe biden pulled his e largest event crowd, but they are dueling democratic man on the campus at Drake University in des moines. Joe biden is going to be here in the second level of the Student Center and the few buildings away, Pete Buttigieg is getting ready to host an event in a much larger space that have a Basketball Court in two levels but neither one is going to really start filling up until democrats finish up with their caucus locations to head over. Bret. Bret all right, peter, thank you. Martha joining us now, someone sanders, Senior Advisor for bidens president ial campaign. Thank you for being here tonight. You know, how do you feel about this discussion of lowrent expectation for tonight . What do you say . When i say, weve always said we think we are going to do well, all in on iowa and we launched the first iteration here and we came back in january with her solo bus to her. We think we can win but its going to be close. Who knows, im with the Vice President biden im not making any predictions other than we are all in and were part of the operation here. Bret if the former Vice President doesnt win here, Bernie Sanders wins here come out there is the growing feeling from the sanders folks that the party is somehow going to pull the rug out. If i mean, do you hear that and how do you react . I am a dnc member, im one of the superdelegates as i like to call them, bret, the conversations that people are alleging are happening, i havent heard of those. This is what ive heard come out of the voters think and the strategist, and the nomination process is going to go well unto super tuesday. The campaign is absolutely prepared to wage the campaign thats not only successful, but successful and they can compete. Look, you view iowa as the beginning, not the end. Martha this morning, a prickly moment on the today show, and just play that for everybody and get your thoughts on that tonight. Do you agree it sets a bad image . My son said that. Is it wrong to take the position knowing that its really because the company wanted access to your . Thats not true, youre saying things you do not what youre talking about. No one said that, who said that . Is this going to be an issue because it was so prevalent during the whole course of the impeachment that he is going to be asked over and over when it gets to the debate stages at all that. Are you concerned . Were not concerned, but this is something that we have not carried overwhelmingly from voters here in iowa or across the country breed of auditive may be 50 of them, maybe five people have asked about impeachment or ukraine. Weve also like to remind folks, weve been aggressive about this, were going to continue to be that impeachment, donald trump, impeachment inquiries, the fact that hes been impeached in the presidency continually hangs in the balance, its about his conduct and not Vice President by demonstrating what he saw it in the clip is Vice President biden, yeah, people want to see him, hes not going to back down hes going to serve the truth and the truth is no one said what Savannah Guthrie asserted in the interview. Truth is, everyone has said that Vice President biden did his job in ukraine. It carried out the policy Martha Hunter biden, you know, do you have gotten the job without your father . He said, maybe not, probably not. If thats fair, he speaks for himself, martha, but the question is is there anything no fears about Vice President conducts, the question is, no, the question is donald trump do his job as the United States president . Did he hold up the oath of office, and the house of representatives said he hasnt. This is again about Donald Trumps conduct, this is in the bug bites present a biden or hunter biden, this is about donald trump and were going to continue to make sure that whenever this comes up, folks are asking the right question and having the right conversation. Bret from the john kerry story, i was at the event yesterday where he was the final speaker after the story. We love, bret. Bret how did that fall out, and the reaction to it and nbc was the one who reported to it. Youre referring to the reports, john kerry was thinking about running for president and secretary carrie himself said thats not true. Love, secretary kerry has been all in for Vice President biden and ever but he knows it and we have been elated to have a support but here in iowa, but all across the country and New Hampshire we are going to be tomorrow and he called for us, hes been with Vice President biden and a great friend and of the campaign and Vice President biden and were lucky to have his support. Martha went about the Vice President s ability to compete and to campaign with the vigorous schedule thats out there. If there were some reports, i talked to some kids today from georgetown university, and hes Reading Office notes when he was standing up there. Does he have the energy and the ability to continue to do this kind of very Vigorous Campaign and . I think so, martha. Look, people up and running our camping obituary before we got started. And then on april 25th, when is the bottom going to follow and we made to the Iowa Caucuses, the official beginning of the process and i think we are going to do very well and Vice President biden said just watch them. Im the one who took a nap earlier, and i think he was up and around, but i crawled into my hotel room and slept 20 minutes. I think is up for the job rate of speed do we appreciate that your time. The massive Ground Coalition unleashed her in iowa. Of bret before we had to break him out will be sought over the weekend and candidates making their final pitch to voters. Barbecue for the Super Bowl Party talking to Amy Klobuchar supporters, shes going to be in a few minutes. They like Amy Klobuchar, joe biden, they hope to have a huge night and covering Iowa Caucuses, democracy 2020. We will be right back with more. Insurance so you only pay for what you need. Almost done. What do you think . I dont see it. Only pay for what you need. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. 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Our Retirement Plan with voya gives us confidence. We can spend a bit now, knowing were prepared for the future. Surprise we renovated the guest room, so you can live with us. Im good at my condo well planned, well invested, well protected. Voya. Be confident to and through retirement. Bret as we prepare for the official start of the Iowa Caucuses, there are new fox News Reporter analysis results coming in at this hour. Of martha asking voters throughout the Hawkeye State about the key issues and how the trumpet factors affecting the race and fox news at night Shannon Bream is with us here in iowa with mark. Had, martha, talking to nearly 3,000 caucus goers so thats the audience here and democrats tonight tell us how theyre feeling about the Trump Administration and they are angry and the idea of impeachment has been worth it. This is what i want Democratic Caucus goers are telling us at the fox newsfooter analysis predict first up, they are saying outright angry about the trump impeachment and that they are dissatisfied but not quite angry about the current and Administration Policies and not surprisingly, no one is enthusiastic. Of 0 . Several of the candidates have been checked and the senate over the past two weeks for the impeachment trial. If we have caucus goers in the impeachment has been worth it and they give the resounding yes by 79 . They may not be happy with President Trump but when we did again come up Many Democrats the caucuses say they are pleased with the nomination choices. A Strong Majority would be satisfied with each of the candidates if they end up as the eventual nominee. You can see, Elizabeth Warren comes in with the highest rating, 74 saying we would be satisfied if she ended up at the top rated of course, plenty of people who are so dissatisfied with the choices as well. Democrats are united in the desire to defeat President Trump and almost 9 out of 10 here say that it is very important simply to choose our nominee who can win. Who can beat President Trump. So, agreeing on that point but they dont agree on who is the best candidate to get the job done yet. We will have more details about the caucus court opinions, candidates, the proposal for the country, some clues on how this is shaping up throughout the night. Martha, stay tuned, back to you for now. Of martha thank you, shannon. Expedia President Trumps campaign has launched the expansive and expense here to showcase the ground game dispatching about 80 surrogates highprofile figures, creates cabinet officials, key republican lawmakers, House Minority leader, congressman mark meadows, here with insight on their strategy tonight. Campaign chief at presque isle, spactrump managerburied in termn that the sender supporters are bringing out, the fact that hes angry even his own party against them, romance them about his own parity back then. Of do see the comparison . I had a couple of deja vu the last few weeks, i dont know whats going on in the backgrounds, and turning out for us, its great, we came out great and theyre much tougher spot. I think it might be rigged against them. Bret if you look at the field, it could be bunched up here, five candidates, who do you want to win . Look, im not going to talk about who i want to win, its what the president wants, i think the president is a fighter and hes ready to go his own. I think all the policies are so far left, and free health care, illegal americans, these are policies american p about what s want for policy, they choose the president over and over a period of speed to the general election race looks different against Bernie Sanders than joe biden. It does change a little bit but each time the president s position gets ahead to win. You see some of the other democrats out there saying. Martha the president and quickly showed a few minutes ago, he liked t to run against Mike Bloomberg. He left a mark, they Trump Campaign according to the ejection of Mike Bloomberg, they will no longer approve credentials to the News Organization. At that make sense. I didnt know about that but that makes sense, we talk about the bloomberg, the News Organization was not going to be fair and on the democrats are, why should we let them come and have just investigative reporting on our side like wheres the fair and balanced there . We decided we are not going to have the bloomberg News Organization in our Credentials Campaign fnp to expedia the president talks about bloomberg, and obviously, the super bowl ads were had to head a breaks. He talks about them a lot thou though. What about running against Mike Bloomberg and 52 million . The president likes talking about a lot of things on twitt twitter. So i think he likes to put up all the hypocrisies, the people he likes to put out how bad the policies are. If he wants the American People not to be confused, and hide behind the media especially with a lot of other people in the room like to filter and make them a lot better than they are beautiful he has the big megaphone that he can get out there to talk about that and the presidency is flat and one of the most valuable weapons. Martha there some discussion about today and they should consider a center for the president. A number of individuals saying that, lamar alexander, theres a president who wants to must have learned a lesson, but they dont have a tone about it. I wonder what were going to hear in the state of the Union Address with regard to his attitude about what happened. I think the president will have a great Student Union speech, it was amazing last year, and im looking to go to this one this year and im excited about that. If the presence looking forward, and hoax number to come up we gt through hoax number one and we got through hoax number two, they have something to fight over it they dont have a good candidate, no clear message, and i think the president will look forward to what former years of President Trump and talking about what hes accomplished in so many things, like the criminal justice add that last night. It clearly showed that multiple people, millions of people had no idea what he had done for the country solving the problem. I didnt know that, if i knew that i would have changed my mind, but the president is going to get up there and talk about the future and what he has done and what promises hes kept. Bret quickly, democrat some of them said that they knew they were not going to get across the finish line with impeachment and they thought this would be an albatross around the president s neck and from your perspective, what has been done to your numbers across the board . Well, its funny, i knew when i got into this, first, were going to do raising amounts of money. But coming significantly was the prophets that we were going to see. Our numbers have never been better coming back and that the same time, the difference between his approval is at the closest margin its ever been in any metric i have right now compared to 2016, we are light years ahead and that continues to say this was a complete mistake on their part because American People dont go for those they want to go out and noble demand quote in november. Its about them, not a few people in the house. Martha thank you for coming in tonight. We come back, i what College Students sharing their pick and a democratic race and had a very interesting conversation with some of them. Bret if its anything we sell like in the weekend, theyve done a very fired up for Bernie Sanders. The burning momentum may be continuing here and i are well, hes bouncing around a lot of young people showing up to the events. If we will see if he can pull it off. If the democracy 2020 special continues after the break. I can still i can still make my own insulin. And trulicity activates my body to release it like its supposed to. Trulicity is for people with type 2 diabetes. Its not insulin. I take it once a week. It starts acting in my body from the first dose. Trulicity isnt for people with type 1 diabetes or diabetic ketoacidosis. Dont take trulicity if youre allergic to it, you or your family have medullary thyroid cancer, or have multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2. 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The only one to combine a safe sleep aid. And the 12hour pain relieving strength of aleve. So. Magic mornings happen. Theres a better choice. Aleve pm. [thunder] mom were you planning on mowing the lawn today . son no. burke seen it. Covered it. At farmers insurance, we know a thing or two because weve seen a thing or two. So get a quote at farmersdotcom. We are farmers. Bumpadum, bumbumbumbum martha one of the biggest or is likely to play out and it is the fight for the progress of vote to particularly between Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Bret the Campaign Said the massachusetts has taken more than 20,000 selfies with voters as shes campaigned across to iowa. While her aggressive ground game really pay off . Live at morans Campaign Center for us high hi, bret, hi, martha. Shes not here right now, and her Campaign Says that she will make it back from washington in time tonight. A year ago she started taking selfies and since then, shes had 120 events and 215 town home style rallies. Of the town hall this morning, y tell undecided caucus goers who just want to be strong. We need a democratic nominee. Of for the whole party to come together behind and can win on e same side of issues. Look, im the only person in the race who has beaten a republican any time in the 30 years. Her campaign is providing for the caucus goers and the war and lawyers are doing their part when the results with warren being out of loyalty Bernie Sanders breed one of the Big Questions tonight. It back to you. If we do thank you. In the 201 2016 iowa caucus, 29 accounted for 18 of the vote back then and according to the exit polls, Bernie Sanders one over the group resoundingly. Even though she eked out a win here in iowa. Martha which democrat would score with a crucial youth about tonight and i sat down yesterday with a coach of College Students and got their take. Where here in the was getting a feel for how people on the ground are thinking as we head into the caucus monday night so we have a terrific group of young people here because their vote is so coveted by all of the candidates. If we wanted to get together bee the caucus. If so weve got noah, jill, lucas, natalie, caleb data going back and starting with you, caleb at the end, you are a bere supporter. How come . My politics are heavily influenced by my faith in someone i look at politics, i look at who is going to show love the best. If i think bernie has the ability to do so and his passion and the way he talks about people. People who are less fortunate than us. If im really drawn to that. So, jill, thats the same theme that andrew yang has, and do your andrew yang supporter, humanity, all of that period of yeah grade martha a lot of the Bernie Sanders supporter, a lot of them were bernie supporters how about you . Im actually not a democrat. Martha how would you describe yourself . I i dont know im going to do honestly if hes not viable, i will play it when im there or i dont know people fully understand the caucuses. If you can create the undecided party. I will probably gather up whoever i can find that might be the gang gang and go from there. Martha what drives you to him primarily . I believe him, when he speaks. I can say that about a lot of them personally. Martha let me ask you the specifics about Elizabeth Warren because shes in first place for a while in iowa and she seems to have dropped off a day. It does not concern you . I dont think so, i think part of the reason that she dropped off is because of just a lot of a lot of back and forth between the different candidat candidates. One of the things we should remember is how many of the voters are still undecided and i think she has a Great Organization that has been pretty demonstrated throughout the campaign. I know a lot of people who have her as a strong second choice, strong feelings about one candidate especially Amy Klobuchar, but a very strong second choice. Martha jill, have you always been a Center Supporter . I caucus for bernie in 2016, this will be my second time. I was undecided to going into this primary season but bernie won me back and two of my biggest issues are health care and education, and we can fight inequality on the base level. Bernies views are the most progressive to get those to those goals. Martha noah, you support joe biden. If you are the only the only biden supporter at the table here. Why . Doesnt do that well with younger voters. How his reasoning with me, the elections going to come down to moderate risk progressive and for me, i think a moderate has a best chance of winning the presidency. If its going to go behind the people who are democrats and in order to win the general electin you need a diverse set of people who can get behind you and i think biden by any candidate is able to tap into all those assets though the best. He has a long history, hes been for the progressive change his entire career i think he by far has the best chance. Martha who would be her second choice . Im interested in the fact that bernie would be my second choice. I am backing up biden because i think for the election, he has got the best chance but i also very much like a lot of the policies of bernie and for similar reasons, hes been in the fight for a long time they have a lot of experience and they both really care about people. Martha back to you, caleb, you have all the choices, how come young people are so drawn . Im drawn to his ability to his ability to fire up and you look at his supporters and on the campaign trail, you cant ce any other campaign to his. Hes done a fantastic job of getting people to show up to events and to getting people to care about him. He does a far better than any other candidate. Its going are you comfortable with the idea of socialism in america . Define socialism because we look at countries like scandinavia, and you know, they have similar policies then burning. They are better in terms of Economic Freedom and choice than we are. They are higher than us and economic banking and we look at them as weaknesses beta i dont know how to use define socialism where we can point to bernie and sadie socialist, and we call themselves that much, im not fully convinced this is a label that we should put him on it. Martha free medical, free care, free College Grade those are two government run programs that would pay for education an. That means that taxes would go up. You are fine is anybody not okay with that equation . I would say theres an argument over which taxes are going to go up. I think Elizabeth Warren has laid out a plan for doing that without raising taxes on the middle class. Bernie has the intent to do that but it lowers the cost over all for everybody that currently pays for Health Insurance and costs that are astronomical. I think its a little bit of a false question to talk about taxes without talking about the real talk freedom not to mention, government taxes subsidize major corporations like amazon, who dont pay any taxes. There is a huge amount of balance to be done that many of the tax of proposals are going to assist with paying for the programs. Martha who do yothanks to abundant is going to win tomorrow night . Bernie is going to win tomorrow night. I think he will finish top three. I like him. Martha thank you, guys, great talking to all of you and we will be looking forward to tomorrow night and its good to hear from young people. Here and i will, looking forward to that and have fun at the caucus and thank you for being here. Thank you so much. Martha kentucky to them, i appreciate them coming in today and we are minutes out from the start of the caucuses, and mollie hemingway, chris, coming up here to join with them panel and just moments. If bret andrew yang supporters had to say in the run up to tonight. Andrew yang doesnt get the 2 , wheres he going to go . Mayor pete. I have i have the choice between a qualified woman and a qualified man, im going to choose the qualified women over the qualified man. So when a hailstorm hit, usaa reached out before he could even inspect the damage. Thats how you do it right. Usaa insurance is made just the way martins family needs it with hasslefree claims, he got paid before his neighbor even got started. Because doing right by our members, thats whats right. Usaa. What youre made of, were made for. Usaa whit looks like this. Heart failure look like . The beat goes on entresto is a Heart Failure pill that helped keep people alive and out of the hospital. Dont take entresto if pregnant; it can cause harm or death to an unborn baby. Ladiladidi dont take entresto with an ace inhibitor or aliskiren, or if youve had angioedema with an ace or arb. The most serious side effects are angioedema, low blood pressure, kidney problems, or high blood potassium. Ask your doctor about entresto. The beat goes on yeah applebees new irresistabowls now starting at 7. 99. Now thats eatin good in the neighborhood. These days were horn honking i hear you, sister. Thats why im partnering with cigna to remind you to go in for your annual checkup. And be open with your doctor about anything you feel. Physically, and emotionally. Body and mind. Bret mayor Pete Buttigieg attempted to strike a more moderate tone here and i was presenting himself as a centrist option to iowan voters. Of who may be turned off by his part is far left turnaround. Martha here at petes quarters tonight. Through the process, we see mayor pete reach out to swing voters or something he likes to call future former republicans hes criticized a particular Bernie Sanders for offering no middle ground between revolution and status quo. The venues have been packed and energized, the campaign is posting today they had 81 more volunteers show up than what it is and booted judge told him today that hes encouraged. Overseeing on the ground is a tremendous amount of energy and the organizers and the volunteers that they recruited are out in everys precinct of the state ae going to have the organization to compete and when i go into an New Hampshire. Buttigieg dodges any discussion of first, second, third place, only to have a strong showing here in iowa. It guys, back to you. Martha thank you, mike. Our panel, karl rove, former debbie dave chief of staff, fox news contributor, chris, fox politics editor, molly hemingway, fox news contributor. Welcome to all of you. Chris, starting with you, Pete Buttigieg has a lot of enthusiasm at the rallies that he has been holding and i want and what do you think . The amount of household that it takes to win in the kind of system and you need intensely dedicated supporters. If i dont want to use the word cultlike, but they are very enthusiastic, team booted judge is fired up, and theyre quite. If the question for buttigiegs, will he gets over the 15 threshold in enough places to make the difference. You could be in the sling, he could be right up there vying for first place in there for the money. This will be a yearround thing. Bret molly, how do you think iowa is in this particular democratic primary season . Its a big deal and no exception it is going to be a hustle for delegates. We will look and see how the delicate allocation will go. If to take a win here and maybe with Bernie Sanders going into New Hampshire with a wink, that would change the dynamic of the race. If buttigieg has a strong showing, i dont know how much the future polls in terms of winning against them will be. Martha that can be something that happens, and i want to talk a little about Hillary Clinton and going on with the Bernie Sanders momentum and how nervous it appears to making some democrats. If he or she is talking on a p podcast. She can do it for one. Thats not our experience from 2016. A question about who is going to be the nominee. Unfortunately, you know, his campaign and his principal supporters were just very difficult. Really, constantly not just attacking me for my supporters. It had an impact. She can use to go after him every chance she gets. I am most felt a belly laugh coming out. It sort of sad but she has a point because we do know from the excerpt, 1 out of 7 voters supported for donald trump its like the publics of the left or right joined together. But its an important contest but lets not kid ourselves, if this thing ends up on january 16th, i wrote in the wall street journal column, the point that this look like it would be the first iowa caucus in which four candidates got significant numbers and delegates and it might even be a fifth candidate gets a few delegates as well. So, rather this may complicate it rather than simplify it. Of course, depending on the front runner whoever that is, the numbers two, three, 4r. The pulling has been remarkably close for a contest like this. Bret we asked him who he wanted to face, he wanted to go down the role, but its Bernie Sanders that they talk about. Michael bloomberg, what is the Bloomberg Campaign wanted out of iowa and New Hampshire . I would say buttigieg. Whatever can be done to scramble joe biden side of the equation. Biden and sanders are fine to leave here 12, 21, does not matter. Roll on, very much like Hillary Clinton rolled out a win in 2016. Thats fine. Okay. But if Pete Buttigieg theres nothing i what we do that would scramble the democratic race more than involve buttigieg in the front and hes been doing okay and New Hampshire. Hes got viability in New Hampshire and he wants to replicate his barack obama and have the surprise win in iowa. Take fire, really well, in New Hampshire and have that go. If you were bloomberg, then you can pounce and the lane is divided and you can come in on super tuesday. They can upset this by doing very well but if he does very well, so that he does very bad thats another guy with a stretch to beat and for bloomberg to win, bloomberg has to implode in the next two or three weeks which means coming in and embarrassing the finish year. Of third or fourth and distant m the first place finisher. And then in New Hampshire, and nevada where he expects where he hopes to come back in South Carolina where we think is going to come back and failing to meet expectations there. If the bloomberg strategy really has to have buttigieg failed to gain the majority and the momentum to get the traditional democrats and biden really to lose. Everything going well for bloomberg if bernie does well and buttigieg does well, thats exactly what he needs and at some point, the Democratic Party needs to deal with the fact that they have tremendous support for Bernie Sanders within the ranks and pretending its not there or just being angry about it. If there is hostility in both directions and theres going to be a big fight for delegates. Shutting these people out, doing gimmicks from keeping them to the point that theyve earned is not going to make it any easier. Martha we will be back with more from these folks on the panel and plus, candidate casino, we will weigh in on it. Bret why not come up over time. Up before we go, the scene that Pete Buttigieg is putting out. The Closing Argument for Pete Buttigieg in the mix of firing up the crowd and making sure theyre going to the right precinct making sure that they get there on time, it is logistics, its enthusiasm all in one. Mayor pete is closing out and we will continue with the special democracy 2020 coverage coverage of the Iowa Caucuses after this. I like Liberty Mutual. They get that no two people are alike and customize your Car Insurance so you only pay for what you need. What do you think . I dont see it. Only pay for what you need. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. We make aspirin to help save lives during a heart attack. So it never stops the heart of a family. At bayer, this is why we science. Find your breaking point, then break it. Every emergenc gives you a potent blend of nutrients. So, you can emerge your best, with emergenc. v. Especially when your easily distracted teenager has the car. The worst. At subaru, were taking on distracted driving [ping] with sensors that alert you when your eyes are off the road. The allnew subaru forester. The safest forester ever. How you watch it does too. Tv just keeps getting better. This is xfinity x1. Featuring the Emmy Awardwinning voice remote. Streaming Services Without changing passwords and input. Live sports with realtime stats and scores. Access to the most 4k content. And your movies and shows to go. The best tv experience is the best tv value. Xfinity x1. Simple. Easy. Awesome. Xfinity. The future of awesome. Martha we went to the iowa caucus of play out tonight, key districts to keep an eye on. Bret some key counties that can make all the difference here with a look at what we are host of bill hemmer report. If youre in beautiful iowa. Its real and south florida south florida. Martha okay, listen missing candidate casino, we need the casino in this. We need to make it happen. Quick thing here, the first monday in february, weve all been waiting for it, weve been talking about it forever. If here we are now, monday, super bowl monday. The day after the big game here in iowa, whats on the line . We can show you the number of delegates here, 41 delegates spread out across 99 that you will see throughout the night breed of the players on the bar, joe bidens big night, is a Bernie Sanders opportunity to come back from where he was four years ago . What about Elizabeth Warren and even mayor Pete Buttigieg . Listening to carl talk about the analysis a moment ago about the possibility and the potential that if you get four candidates who do well here, what does that tell you about the race . We will find out throughout the evening. Heres what i want to show you guys at the moment, this is 2016, four years ago, here in iowa. Come on, come on come out mr. Machine, work from a period of Bernie Sanders in purple, she won neck the state by three tenths of a point. Just remarkable. Where have the voters gone or where are they going to go Bernie Sanders supporters. Pointed to four areas quickly here, guys, polk county, des moines, Hillary Clinton has very well thats where we are do not if im joe biden, im thinking about polk county, if im Bernie Sanders, im driving 30 minutes, 35 minutes north and not as many voters but its a University Town data iowa state university, big winner, 20 points over Hillary Clinton therefore years ago. We will see how it works and we will see how the pattern fills in throughout the night. Listen, on the calendar, guys, we can go a long way. Its a long way from now so weve got a lot of casino between now and then. Bret very nice, mr. Machine, does it work better if you call it formally . Martha its your friend, mr. Machine. Of bret its time for candidate casino and mollie hemingway, you have to bet them, okay, carl, your first. Let me say that im against gambling. Of not in this casino, youre not. I will put 60 on bernie. 30 on biden and the balance on buddhbuttigieg. If not that sanders will run away with it but frankly i think sanders is leading. You know, he had 49. 6 of the boat around hes not going to get a close to that but hes got the people whove got the passion and biden has the older voters so even though he may be a little bit behind, hes got people who are more inclined to come out and the younger people with the bernie and the older voters with a biden. And buttigieg had the firsttimers. A lot of enthusiasm as we saw. I did not have warrant in there to win because i think that her upward movement is stopped by bernie in the state even though she got the Excellent Organization Excellent Organization. Martha chris. Im a total coward, cover the bar, i think you have to give the slight edge to fight and just because of how things are going to go. I did know we had 1 chips. We had extras. Bret ive never seen the white chips before greed its the West Virginia plan. If and then the biden the edge because of how the other cannons are going to go and i like buttigiegs chances to be in this thing but i think warren is good too but i dont count out Amy Klobuchar but my interesting think im a 5 on pandemonium, 5, numbers are coming in the wrong, different winners. If we are still here at 5 00 in the morning. Bret you are just dreaming. Thats all i want, thats all i want. Going big on bernie, 65 on him, he had a great operation here and he has enthusiasm and i think he will pull it off. Just 10 each on biden, warren, and buttigieg. Also, fairly good operations and they might be able to get some support. I am hoping that maybe club chart will surprise us a little bit with her performance tonight. I put my remaining there. Okay, casino closed rate of speed when come back later in the evening. We have a record, thank you, guys. Special coverage of the Iowa Caucuses continue. Of to more next. Lighter. Taking a shortcut. Woooo taking a breather. 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Were grateful for what you bring, and all the sparks youve shown, in the thousands of towns that we get to call home. Martha seconds away from the kickoff of the first of the nation Iowa Caucuses. Stay with fox throughout the night of our continuing special coverage. Bret will be back at 10 00 p. M. Eastern to bring you live result as they come in. The caucuses wrapping up, people raising their hands and going to the corners of rooms. Its democracy in action. Its how they do it in iowa. Martha democracy 2020 pair will be back later with special coverage, results coming and we expect. We will see you later on tuckers show. Bret we have you covered. We will toss you over to tucker. Tucker this is a fox news alert. The doors have closed at thousands of caucus sites across iowa. The 2020 race, the voting season has become officially for good and bad. We are going to learn whos really up and who is really down. Good evening and welcome to Tucker Carlson tonight. Expecting the first i will result in the next hour. We have new and exclusive fox motor analytics. Will give our explanation of how tonights vote fits into an ongoing and particularly bitter civil war within the Democratic Party, when thats not been covered very well by the media. They are the home team. They dont want to talk about it, but we well. Maybe its best to open tonight with an explanatiho