Polls. Thats rudy guiliani, if i am screaming, please accept my apologies for that. It is really loud here. Hes been pressing of phony messages from donald trump. I did speak to one source close to the campaign who raised some eye brows about that. The message of donald trump started to push hard on saturday of the gettisburg address of washington corruption. There is a sense where that is an effective message for him of these final 15 days. Halie, i know it is loud there. I heard somebody talking to me here. Thanks so much. Well come back to you as soon as we see donald trump taking that stage and if hes making some news there. Lets switch over to the Clinton Campaign now. She was in New Hampshire helping out the democrats trying to offset the incumbent, the republican leader up there. Senator Elizabeth Warren, one of trumps critics, she proved that. He thinks because he has money, he can call women fat, pigs and bimbos. He thinks because hes a celebrity that he can rate womens body from one through ten. Well, i got news for you, donald trump, women have had it with guys like you. [ applause ] and nasty women have really had it with guys like you. Yeah. Get this, donald, nasty women are tough, nasty women are smart, nasty women vote [ applause ] [ cheers ] and on november 8th, we nasty women are going to march our nasty feet to cast our nasty votes to get you our lives forever. [ applause ] that was a big moment from that event. Kasie hunt was there to see it all in manchester with the campaign. Give us a recap of this afternoons event. Reporter hey kate, it is firmly fall already in New Hampshire. We heard from Elizabeth Warren and from Hillary Clinton, an array of women on stage today. The two women that are running up for the house here in New Hampshire as well hillary cl focused on some of the issues that progressive cares about. Hillary clinton lost New Hampshire to bernie sanders. Warren getting the base of the party excited a little bit. Ch clinton had a couple of lines in her speech where shes paying attention to what warren is doing. Hillary clinton also had some new tough words for donald trump. This time related to the tweet that he says suggesting that the u. S. Involvement intends to retake mosul in iraq are not working. Take a look at what she had to say. Just last night, he tweeted that the new effort under way to put the terrorist out of the key city of mosul is already, and i quote, a total disaster and a our country is looking so dumb. This is a guy that claims he knows about isis than the general. I dont think so. Hes proving to the world what it means to have an unqualified commander in chief. It is not only wrong. It is dangerous. It needs to be repudiated on november the 8th. So there is the latest from clinton on her race against donald trump. I have to say the other no worry thing on the campaign trail of Hillary Clinton is the focus on down ballot races. This is a sign of confidence from the Clinton Campaign that they are spending time and Energy Resources and theyre potentially taking risks a little bit to support some of these democrats and candidates with an eye towards if they can retake the senate from democrats on nevaovember 8th. We heard her campaigning on behalf of katie miginnty and debbie ross and it happens that many of the democrats who are running. The Clinton Campaign used that as an extra mbonus. A Beautiful Day in New Hampshire. Reporter it is actually great to be back. Right, it is your home away from home. I want to bring in steve cortez joining me now. A member of Trumps National hispanic advisory. Nice to see you. Thank you for having me. It was a pretty exciting time for a lot of cubs fans. I am married into a chicago cubs family so it was a big weekend for us, too. This was from Kellyanne Conway and i want to ask you some questions about it. Here is what she wrote to go along with the map. Polls have showing us winning iowa and maine and florida and north carolina, if we maintain our lead in those six states, we can claim 266 electoral votes and Hillary Clinton can claim 193. We still have four electoral votes to go. Polls show close in New Hampshire and colorado and pennsylvania and winning to any one of those states. Thats the memo that went out. There is the map that she sent out. What you know from current polling, does that meant correct. I would say this, i dont want to sound over confident by any stretch. I think perhaps, the slight under dog here in this race. When i listen to the democrats and a lot of folks, it is still football season now. They seem to be dancing in the end zone and this game is far from over. It is going to be a horse race right down the finish. I am no expert in polls. I am not going to pretend that i understand polling. If i look a we are either ti within four points. Effectively statistically tied. What tells me this is an absolute battle. As long a well win florida and ohio, then that makes our path of victory wider. If dont win one of those is narrow. If we win both, both of those big battleground states. Then we have a nail biter come Election Night and 15 days and i dont think anybody should come on victory. Let me break it down with you a little bit more. We were looking at the difference between your map and nbc battleground map that we update constantly. Ours show clinton is already above. We have florida and georgia and ohio and iowa and nevada and utah as toss upstates. Several of those are the ones that you guys had as favoring trump. You are not concerned that our map is a scary thing . And by our map, we mean the map based on polls. Most polls. Polls are all over the map. I am not a poll extra. There is some credible polls thats showing us leading. Rasmus showing us in the lead. And upi showing us either tie or extremely close or even pennsylvania which a lot of polling does not show us competitive end. Is it scary . Yes, everything scares me. We should always worry, we only have two weeks to go. No one should be confident. We should work incredibly hard. The speech he gave in gettisburg. I dont mean to interrupt. This is for our viewers. You mentioned two polls in which donald trump leads on the right side of your screen. On the left side of your screen is where Hillary Clinton has a lead. There is a credible poll on both sides. This election is unconventional right out of the gate going all the way back to the primaries on both sides. If we take a listen from brexit. We know there is a populous movement thats world wide. If that populousism israel. There is a lot of new voters who are corrupting the polls and a lot of democrats who dont plan to vote on the democratic side this time. Polling is more erratic for that reason. Again, i think a lot of democrats are already started to talk ha talk. I dont think thats not the case. We are light in this and it is going to go down in the wire. I want to ask you something as it is picking up online. It just came in within the last hour. Donald trump talking to a Radio Station up in New Hampshire. This is what he says about the sexual allegation against him, one that was brought upmost recently from an adult film actress. Take a listen. These women stood up. They were made up. I dont know these women. It is not my thing to do what they say. I dont go grab them on the you know as they say the arm o or shes a porn star, now, you know this one came out recently. He grabbed me and he grabbed me on the arm. Well, i am sure shes never been grabbed before. They make it it is all lies. It is all lies. Steve, whats getting attention online is when he says i am sure shes never been grabbed before which some people read as blaming the victim and saying because shes a porn star shes been grabbed before. Do you wish this would just stop that this subject would go away. Listen, of course, i wish it would go away. We talk economy and National Security, we win. By the way, thats what much morre more relevant to most american lives and women. They are concerned of paying their bills and whats happening of their premiums and National Security for them and child care. Yes, i want to talk about all the above. No matter what any women does, even if it is reputable. Of course, she still deserves complete respect. When he says he does not know them, by the way and taking a lot of grief for this. Hes not saying i have never met them in the past, hes a man of many, many businesses. Enormous Media Exposure and met thousands and tens of thousands of people. He could not pick them out and does not know who they are. I take him in his words. All i can say is they are uncorroborated or than his accusations. I take him as his words. I dont believe the man on that tape we heard over a decade ago is the man that donald trump is today. I think he has the best interests of women at heart. I think he will be a great president for all americans and all gender as and colors. I want to get to some substance today. In the roundtable he had earlier. Trump was talking about the Environmental Protection agency, epa, he insisted cutting 70 or 80 of all regulations. He wants beautiful clean air and Crystal Clean water. Thats it. What kind of thing would he cut . I do know this and if you talk to Business Owners and smaller Business Owners, it is not so much of the Big Companies thats used by the epa. It is a lot Smaller Company who may have a puddle some where on the lot and all kinds of regulations is inflicted upon them. What i love trump saying in the gettisburg speech, for every new regulation, two have to go away. It has invaded our lives. The epa is absolutely abusive at times to business. We need to protect the environment. Donald trump is adamant about that. Well make sure of an enormous progress. We are going to be smart to business and we need to get our economy, our economy is more right now. We have an economy thats crawling and unfortunately, we have terror thats standing tall and we need to reverse both of those trends. Steve cortes, thank you, steve. Lets go straight to donald trump right now. Hes in saint augustine, florida. His first rally of the day. You got to get out there, who voted already . Oh, it is not bad. Well, you can do it early, if you are not feeling well, get up and vote, who cares. 75 of the American People based on all polls think our country is headed on the wrong track. We are going to fix it. It is common sense. Our country is going to be put back on the right track and very, very quickly. You will be proud of your country and you will be happy. [ applause ] deliver real change that once again puts america first. Change has to come from the outside. Or, we are never going to understand it and i will tell you. I have been on the inside the day i announce of june 16th of last year, i became the person on the outside. We have to fix our country. The fact that washington establishment has tried so hard to stop our campaign is only more proof that our campaign represents the kind of change that only arrives once in a lifetime. It is terrible. There is never been a movement of this in the history of our country. Even though that dislike me or you or anybody, theyll admit and they do admit they have never seen anything like this before and wait until you see the results start to come in. Results are starting and we are way ahead in ohio and high iowa. We are doing great in north carolina. [ applause ] because people of this country are fed up with stupid n stupidity and we cannot beat isis and all the problems we got going. You know what else . They are fed up to losing their jobs to other countries. T our system is rigged is the fact that Hillary Clinton despite her many crimes was allowed to run for president in the first place. True. [ applause ] [ cheers ] Hillary Clinton deleted 33,000 emails, lied to congress under oath and made 13 telephones disappears and some with a hammer and told the fbi she could not remember 39 different times. The leadership of the fbi and the department of justice, let clinton off the hook for her crimes against our nation is one of the saddest moments in the history of our country. [ applause ] we have to investigate the investigation, folks. Just today, there are shocking new revelations which you have seen. From page of the wall street journal about how the Clinton Campaign has corrupted our government. It was just learned that one of the closest people to Hillary Clinton with long standing ties to her husband and herself, gave more, this just came out gave more than 675,000 to the campaign of the spouse, the wife, of the top fbi officials who helped oversees the investigation into mrs. Clintons illegal email server. [ crowds booing ] [ applause ] so the man that was investigating her from the fbi, his wife runs for office and they gave her more money than 675,000 to run. And it just came out, they just figured it out. We never had a thing like this in the history of our country. This represented a large portion of the money. Fbi official spouse had for the entire campaign of a big percentage. It is disgraceful and terrible. Now, at least we have a pretty good idea. General cartwright, think of this a four star general, highly respected, just at the end of last week struck a deal, he lied one time to the fbi and he said he did that for National Security reasons. Highly respected man, we are talking about a fourstar general and hes going to go to jail for as much as five years. Thats a tiny fraction. Thats a tiny fraction of what Hillary Clinton did. So the fact that shes allowed to run means our system is rigged she nev rigged, she never had a chance to be convicted, Hillary Clinton knew this money is being paid and she has to be held accountable for this. Yet another crime, one of many. She has to be held accountable because she knew, that money, 675,000 plus was being paid. So how is she allowed to continue to run for president . How is she allowed . She gets the subpoena from the United StatesCongress Asking for her emails and other records. And she bleaches them and deletes them. Bleaching nobody ever heard. The reason why it is so expensive to do. Not only did they delete them, they bleached them. Now, two weeks ago, they found out two boxes of emails are missing. You dont read about it in the new york times. You dont read about it in the newspapers because the system is corru corrupted and broken. [ cheers ] [ applause ] i have been saying for a long time that the system is rigged. Wikileaks also shows how john podesta rigged the polls by over samplining democrats. Thats whats happening to me all the time. When the polls are even, when they leave them alone doing properly, i am bleeding. When you see these polls, when they are polling democrats, how is trump doing . Oh, hes down. Theyre polling democrats. The system is corrupted and is rigged and broken. We are going to change it. [ cheers ] [ applause ] podesta says he wants over samples in our polling in order to maximize what we get out of our media polling. It is called voters suppression. Well, folks, we are winning, we are winning. [ cheers ] they are crooked and they maybe more crooked than hillary. Without the media, she would be nothing. Without the media, clinton would be nothing. Theyre disgraceful. Here is how all of this affects you. When the people who control the political power in society can rig investigations like her investigation was rigged, can rig polls. You see these phony polls and rigged the media. They can wheel absolute power over your life and economy and your country and benefit big time by it. They control of what you hear and what you dont hear. How it is covered or even if it is covered at all. Sometimes i have great events and it wont be covered. There is glitches of front page news all over the world. They can shift your jobs all over the world and let drugs pour into and look at the drugs thats poured into the area and all over. Let drugs pour over the community and let Congress Write loopholes to benefit a select few. You always hear Hillary Clinton, shes going to fight isis. Well, shes been there for a long typime. She and obama and their incompetence. This guy only does campaigns. All he does is campaigns. We have an incompetent president , we have a president that does not know what hes doing. Again, take a look at mosul. They announced four months ago or three months ago, we are going into mosul. We are going to get the leader of isis because theyre living in mosul. 12 minutes later, the leader, they left, theyre not stupid and left. Whatever happens, remember the great general whos called the elements of surprise. Now, we are bomb out in mosul and enemies had a lot of time to get ready. Theyre using human shields all over the place. It is a horrible, horrible situation thats going on. Why did we have to tell them we are going in. Why did we go in and tell the public a week later, congratulations, we just got the leadership. We did not lose many people. I am telling you, folks, our leadership, i went to an Ivy League School but there are some words you cannot describe. These are stupid people. So bad. [ applause ] these are stupid people and they are leading us right down the tubes. Their corrupt syste system something that would never happened under trumps administration, how about that one . These people, we want your money back that we gave you years ago. This can only happen with incompetent people we have running and people with no common sense. They are incompetent. They have no common sense. While the politicians celebrated in washington dc. They are aens gegainst all o. Like Hillary Clinton, they look down to the hardworking people of the country. Thats what happened. The media is entitled condesc d condescending and con testimote the people who dont share their money. I see you and hear you. I am your voice, remembe rememberemember [ cheers [ cheers ] remember i was on the other side of the equation for a long time. It was very comfortable and it was a good sign. Then i decided that, you know, i will tell you the bottom line, i love our country. We were going bad. [ cheers ] i will never let you be the forgotten people again. We are the forgotten people. I will never let you down, i promise. I will never ever let you down. When we win, your voice will booms through the halls of washington and will be heard all across the world. This is bigger than brexit of whats going on. This is bigger than brexit. [ applause ] leave here and vote or we have wasted a lot of time and energy. In my case, a lot of money. I am not a politician and i never wanted to be a politician. Believe me. I ran because this country has been good to me. I love america. I could not standby and watch what was happening to our great country. I did not want to do it. [ applause ] it is time to clean up our nations capitol. It is a set of promises for what i will do in my first 100 days. It includes getting rid of immediately obamacare. Which is a disaster. [ applause ] bill clinton admitted that obamacare is the craziest thing in the world. Craziest thing in the world where people whine up with double premiums. She wants to double down and she wants to make it bigger and it is going to destroy the American Family and destroying american businesses and small businesses. You know what else . It is not working and no good. It is terrible healthcare. You know your numbers are so crazy that you cannot use it. Your deductibles are so high that you will never get to use it. It is one more reason why we have to win on november 8th. My content. With the american voters, begins with a plan to end the rapid government corruption and put the special interest out of business. We are going to do it. I understand it. I understand it. I understand it very well. I want everyone in washington to hear and to heed the words that we all say together. If we win on november 8th, we are going to drain the swamp in washington dc. We are draining the swamp. [ cheers ] [ applause [ applause ] under my contract, first, a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on all members of congress. [ applause ] that does not include the military, believe me. Third, a requirement that for every new federal regulations, two existing regulations must be eliminated. Regulations are putting us out of business. Fourth, a five year ban on white house and congressional fictions becoming lobbyists after they leave government service. Theyre making a fortune. Theyre controlling government. And fifth, a lifetime ban on white house officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government. How simple . A complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for american elections. [ applause ] i will take the following actions to protect our American Workers. Our jobs are being stolen. In some cases it is not just lack of intelligence or stupidity. First, i will announce i love you, too. My intentions to renegotiate nafta. Well start something thats going to be much better. I will announce our withdraw from the Trans Pacific partnership, a disaster. Third, i will direct my secretary of the treasury to label china a currency manipulator. I have a great relationship with china, they know, they told me. Thats how they do it. It is a single greatest tool they have. Currency manipulation and grand masters, they do a great job. I congratulate them. I am angry of our country for allowing them to do it. I am not angry at china. Fourth, i will direct the secretary of commerce to use every tool under american and International Laws to end Foreign Trade abuses that hurt the American Workers of which there are many things. [ applause ] fifth, i will lift the restriction is on the production of share, oil, natural gas and clean oil. [ applause ] we will also put our miners back to work and well develop clean coal. [ applause ] clean coal. Six, Infrastructure Project like the keystone pipeline. A lot of jobs and good things. Seven, cast of billions and billio billions to u. N. Climb change. We paid billions and use the money to fix americas water and Environmental Infrastructure and not throw it out the window. And on the first day, i will take the following five actions to restore security and the constitutional rule of law and i just met with your great sher f sheriffs and your great Law Enforcement people and firefighters. [ applause ] first responders, these are great people. These are great people. Cancel every every unconstitutional actions or executive orders, memorandum issued by president obama. [ applause ] where are they campaigning today . Would you rather see them like in that white house figuring out how to knock the hell out of isis . Would you rather have them in the white house like working hard so that mexico stops stealing our companies and therefore, our jobs. Would i be great . Would it be great if they can come up with a great Healthcare Program instead of one way where your numbers are 70s or 80s or 90 more than they were recently. You have increases in obamacare that are going through the roof and out of control. It is a dead program. It is unaffordable. Hillary clinton wants to throw more money to keep it going. It is an end program and it is putting our businesses out. I love to see him in the white house working instead of campaigning for crooked Hillary Clinton. I will be honest. Remember what he said, donald trump will never win the republican primary. Sorry. [ applause ] well, they did it and sorry, what happens . We got the most votes in the history of the republican primary system over 14 million votes. [ applause ] 42 states and begin the process of selecting a replacement for justi justi justi justice scalia, great man. You have been listening to donald trump in saint augustine, florida. Talking about a victory there and a victory two weeks from now. I want to bring in our mark murray. A couple of things i want to quickly factcheck. He said the top of the speech saying hes winning polls in florida, true or false . Kate, every poll i have seen has donald trump behind. Let me go behind one poll that came out over the weekend. In florida, you have Hillary Clinton up three points and consistent of other polls that i have seen where she has a lead. Florida is a must win state for donald trump. When you say good poll, i want to drill down on that. We had a surrogate on just before donald trump started speaking, steve cortes, talking about upi and rasmussen, all the polls had him behind. We at msnbc look at these polls and their integrity and we decide which one is airworthy, worthy of putting on the air. We dont recognize rasmussen polls. What we do is on live callers and people reaching their cell phones. It is done with the republicans and democratic polling firms of the most respected in the country who do our polling for us. They agree on all the questions and the numbers that we get later on. The other polls on the siding, there is an Investor Business Daily poll that does meet our standards but it is an out liar of Everything Else we have seen. And right now, almost every National Poll has Hillary Clinton up either in high single digits. Let me show you quickly in those abc polls. Forgive our viewers if they dont know what over sampling is. He mentioned an email that comes out through wikileaks, John Podestas emails had been leaked out. That contains a sentence where someone is sugigesting over sampling. What is over sampling . There were more democrats interviewing with republicans. In fact, the 2012 president ial election. President obama, there was a dplus six overall. There is more democrats than republicans. Thats not the kind of scandal. When you go to over sampling, thats a memo where wikileaks is uncovering. That happens all the time. Our wall street journal, tellumundo and where you want to say, we want to interview 300 or 400 to be able to look at female break down and it gives you a better view of that subgroup. It does not i am macintompact t stat. In that speech donald trump was talking about over samplsamplinl of that memo is the Democrat Group taking a deeper dive into these political subgroups. Terry mccauliffe, hes suggesting this donation is nuancie influencing someone at the fbi. There was a sixfigure donation that mcauliffe end up giving. She was the spouse someone working in the fbi investigation. Here is the real kicker in all of this. That husband was not promoted and given the case until after this race was over. Some people pointed out that if this is a scandal, the Clinton Campaign, and democrats using the time machine going back to see whos handling that. A very concluded tale and some of the facts are there. These are somehow, some kind of rigging, kate. I dont think it is backed up by the facts. Mark murray, thank you very much. Well take a look at republican women in the 2016 election coming up next. A quick programming note for you. Trumps Campaign Manager, Kellyanne Conway is joining steve cornacki at 4 00 p. M. Eastern, right here on msnbc. Pr. Ge manucter. We thats i dug its your ghave it. S hammerandt meant a lot to hi. S, ge makes powerfulachines. But ill be writing the code that will allothose machines sre iormatiitea oer. But ill be writing the code ll be anginghe you caphead. Up, you . . Stop cl a. El sito find a betterri. He cante wod. Thhammerskathouge thst pces onur helaralways alt. The new poll that mark murray was referencing shows Hillary Clinton leading donald trump with women by 20 points. As the next guest points out, some republican women are backing away from trump and even the Republican Party as a whole. I want to bring in michelle goldburg, the columnist. You have been patiently waiting through donald trump. You spoke to a number of republican wen who are not supporting him and backing away from the party. What did you hear . What i heard and there has been a number of articles and block posts and tweet storms from republican women who feel really betrayed by their party. Really betrayed by a party that talked about family values and morality and is now happy with this kind of pagan lust monster. Whats interesting is that donald trump has a unique ability to repel women across the spectrum. Liberal women and moderate republican women distrust him because they dont think he will be strong on issues of equality. They dont trust him to ensure that women have equal pay and Sexual Harassment laws and very, very conservative women who support traditional gender roles dislike him because instead of stripped equality, you get protection. Donald trump doesnt offer that either. He is the worst of both worlds as far as women are concerned. Yesterday Dave Gutierrez was at a rally and we had sound we can play. Here are the women he found at a trump rally. The poll numbers saying he is not doing as well with women as he should be. All of my women friends are 110 percent per for trump. I dont know a single hillary supporter of my group. Same with me. Thats what trump keep saying. They are all with me. At his rallies, they are with him. Even if donald trump was getting 10 of the female vote, still this is a big country. Thats a lot of people. One of them thinks that donald trump andeopleround him say they look at the rallies and think thats representative of the country and its really not. Where do the women go when the election is over . They say they will leave the Republican Party or want a new party . The people are unsure. Some of them feel politically homeless and they feel like stepping back from politics all together. Interesting piece to read. Thank you very much. Well be right back in a minute. 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Just today early voting kicked off in the Battle Ground state of florida. Over the weekend, polls open in nevada. Joining me from reno is chris jansing. What can you tell us about early voting so far . There is a polling place here and take a look at the lines. It is representative of what they saw all weekend. In wa show county that includes reno and clark county that includes las vegas. They just came back from canvassing for Hillary Clinton. She is ahead here. To points. The campaign is looking at how they can help other folks who are running among them. The president is going to be looking at down bal at on thes. Are you feeling it at all . They are knocking on doors and the turn out, we think its important for people to get to the polls and just this past weekend i had people coming from iowa and california helping to turn out the vote here in nevada. You talk about diversity and one of the things it it has been relative to the population low turn out with hispanics. Are you seeing that change . It is changing and i think the biggest change was making sure that we have hispanics elected in the state. We could have the first latina senator which we would be proud to have that honor. We are working within the communities to make sure that all of the latinos and everyone knows that you have to show up to vote and you will be represented and your representation is starting to look more like the community. Talking about who is running, thats one of the key races. They want to be able to turn the senate over to the democrats. Its favoring the democrats by 10 to 11 Percentage Points above registration. Having said that the higher turn out is among republicans. They are hoping to bring the numbers up early to offset what they know historically. In a Grocery Store no less. Thats more so. Thats it for me this hour. We will go to Kellyanne Conway. Good afternoon. Im live here in new york with 15 day as, way and counting until election day. Donald trump is behind and the Campaign Manager is admitting it. We are behind. She has some advantages like 66 million in ad buys just in the month of september. Most of those ads are negative against donald trump. Classic ads, she has tremendous advantages