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Oscars Predictions 2021 Using Math From Ben Zauzmer
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What will win (and should win) the Oscars this Sunday
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The Oscars: who should win, who will, who shouldn’t be here, who ought to be Ty Burr © Provided by The Boston Globe Oscar statuettes lined up and ready to go but to whom?
With the 93d Academy Awards on Sunday night, we officially crawl to the finish line of the longest Oscar season in recorded history, stretched like Silly Putty by pandemic but studded with small and welcome surprises. The major studios kept their 2020 Oscar hopefuls on the shelf “In the Heights,” “Dune,” Steven Spielberg’s “West Side Story,” a new Wes Anderson, and an Aretha Franklin biopic will all come out in 2021 and into the vacuum rushed a number of independent releases that reached audiences via virtual box offices. Would “Nomadland” be the film to beat in a different year? Would “Minari” or “Sound of Metal” or “Promising Young Woman” even be part of the mix? We’ll never know.
Prediction: One year after
Parasite’s historic victory, will the Academy have another uncommon spell of good taste? The stars appear to be aligning for
Nomadland, which has won the top prize from the Hollywood Foreign Press, the British Academy, the Producers Guild, and the Directors Guild (the last three of which share lots of members with the Academy Of Motion Picture Arts And Sciences). But don’t pop the bubbly for last year’s most critically acclaimed movie just yet. After all,
1917 won all of those same precursors, only to lose Best Picture at the finish line.
Parasite, which swooped in for the upset, came into Oscar night with the Screen Actors Guild ensemble award under its belt. This year, that went to
The Truffle Hunters
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