Page 493 - 08 News Today

New shaf new hampshire. all of that in all of 08 and all of 04 combined. tomorrow shawn i will be in iowa. guess what? i am going to be in minnesota. paul ryan was in minnesota tonight. what does it tell you? we have a tie in new hampshire? we have a tie in michigan, we have a tie in minnesota. we are going back to minnesota tomorrow. we have a tie in pennsylvania. >> and wisconsin. >> i will be honest. >> the advantage is usually the incumbent. everybody prefers it is not a tie. in michigan, mi...

The democratic is lets just appeal to the new coalition of blacks, browns, young people, angry liberals and tear down romney, that is the way to get elected. and romney is saying i need to have a plan for the future and rally the country together and get as many democrats and in dehe pendents as i possibly can to join in the republican base. >> sean: the two things revealing to me is intensity. independents seem to be going in big numbers a reversal in 2008. they are going governor romney. so me...

If 40,000 votes were thrown out in 08 and you made that a more stringent requirement, if that number comes up, and obama is starting with 10,000 overall. it starts to get dicey there. >> then you look at giantly long lines. you look at fewer opportunities to vote early, which is also a typically early voting. and you end up with a situation with the way you vote and the way the votes are cast are tilting the playing field in a way that may tilt it all the way. >> thats the story of the polling w...

Democrats turned out in the early voting. i believe these numbers are saturday night. 576,000 democrats turned out. that is 145,000 less than four years ago, but already 472,000 republicans have turned out, that -- excuse me 492,000, that is 119,000 more, that is a swing of 265,000 votes, which is more than the president carried the state by. he carried it by over 300,000 votes in the early vote, lost election day to mccain, and won the state by 262,000 votes, but already that margin has been mo...

Get all that and more. >> heres an easy way to look at it. in 08, younger voters, 18 to 24, i think, outnumbered 65-plus. they were both right at -- one was 17% of the electorate, one was 16%. this time its going to be this way. the question is, is it 18/15, 65-plus, or is it 17/16. 17/16, obama. >> chuck, you played with your turnout models yesterday. >> yes. >> i thought it was fascinating. talk about on ohio especially. >> say that again. >> you talked about ohio was six points -- >> right, p...

Days ahead of the election. but they are nothing if not dedicated to reducing the opportunity for you to vote in ohio in even those court rulings against them. even with all the court rulings against them, they did manage to cut down on early voting hours this weekend. that must have helped with the lines. republican secretary of state husted who went to the supreme court to try to eliminate the early voting days all together, when he lost the battle he set the schedule for the last three days o...

Show up, you dont know what presing. you go to the wrong precinct and this tends to happen disproportionately in democratic areas. nobody can be sure how many are democratic ballots and republican ballot, but there are more democratic votes than republican. so he has mandated that you have to fill out the form if youre a voter, a provisional voter, where the burden is now on you to prove your identity on the form. its not on the poll worker. its you to fill out the form correctly. and if you s...

Little over 1,000 above what the margin of obama victory was in 08. historically republicans tend to vote in ohio on election day in larger number than democrats. every poll shows the state dead even for the most part. reaction? >> first of all you hit the nail on the head. i heard the earlier segment with karl he had the numbers right as well. he wrote a book on this. we are trying to put together an unprecedented ground game. we are far, far ahead of where we were in 08. they were far behind f...

Be somewhat different and maybe substantially different than four years ago. >> speaking of ohio, willie, chuck todd is going through, an nbc/marist poll had the president ahead by six. but then he changed the model to be a split between 08 and 04 and suddenly its a three-point race. you have a cnn poll that has ohio as a three-point race, "columbus dispatch" is a two-point race. ive got to say right now as a practicing politician of 20 years, if im betting, im betting on the president because e...

Lines. republican secretary of state, the guy who tried to eliminate the early voting days all together, when he lost the battle he set the schedule for the last three days of early voting and said significantly fewer overall hours on this day than voters enjoyed pack in 2008. in 08 in the final three stretch ohio voters had 24 hours to early vote in franklin county, which is where columbus is and 18 and a half hours in cuyahoga county where cleveland is. this year a total of 16 hours over those...