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Another clash tonight between hillary clinton and donald trump. whats clear is what each candidate faces on the electoral map and while it might change for better or worse, right now it is distinctly better for one than the other. john kink joins us to break it down by the numbers. >> the candidates today, you learned a lot about what they they about the debate and whether they think it will have an impact. lets start with donald trump. he was in ohio today and this is why. no republican has won...

In terms of the democrats retaking the senate and the house? >> at our national poll, were right at that six number you mentioned o. weve been as high as nine and ten, and as low as one, but not for a very long time. clintons numbers have been steady. theres been no sign its gone up. she hasnt increased that lead dramatically. so its kind of hard to believe what she could do at this point to increase it more to nine or ten. its going to come down to some of the id ro siosyncrasies of t really cl...

The bloomberg politics poll. put it into context for us. it feels dramatic. is it to you? >> when you look at the subgroups you want to look at. obviously pennsylvania is a very key state for trump. it is his easiest, when you think of the path to 270 for him, pennsylvania is pretty critical. whats interesting is what you pointed out. you picked a great state to be in today. when you look at montgomery and bucks county, these are suburbs of philadelphia. republicans expect to be very competitive...

They have given over 100 appearances on her behalf just since august 1st. and yet she still cant put away donald trump. so we feel that when voters see this is a competitive race, that we still have a path to 270 through several different way, several different angles, then they see donald trump out there. hes promised erin to have a very punishing schedule the last 18 days. we just went over the schedule today. he wants to leave it all on the field and give it his best shot and i think it is wo...

That. >> you say you have several ways to 270 but all of those ways kellyanne involve changing with trump is standing among women, right? this is just a reality. in the bloomburg poll i mentioned the national but when you broke it down by women trump is behind clinton by women by more than 17 points. women are more than half the population in the country. today he talked this and specifically about this issue showing him lagging among women and he said he doesnt believe him. >> i dont think they...

And the state, of course, has to be dispositive. doesnt matter if one candidate has 350 electoral, one state. but what made florida so important in 2000 was that it held the balance of the 270 electoral votes. the supreme court gets the case. whatever the lower court decision was supporting one side or the other would be affirmed, 4-4, if thats how the courts split. >> sounds like a not good result. for anyone involved. >> i mean, this is why the supreme court has an odd number of seats on it. >...

Get closer to what could be another clash tonight between hillary clinton and donald trump. each speaking tonight at charity dinner. whether be charitable toward each other remains to be seen. whats clear is what each candidate faces on the electoral map and while it might change for better or worse, right now it is distinctly better for one than the other. inside politics anchor john king joins us to break it down by the numbers. >> look at swhere candidates wee today. donald trump in ohio. and...

Listen, you have a very popular president, you have the first lady of the united states, we have seen chelsea clinton and bernie sanders in arizona. not only is hillary clinton locking down the states she has to win just to get to 270, she is now on the offense, going into a state like arizona where she shouldnt be doing so but theres a chance there, and utah, donald trump is back on his heels. in texas, which will very likely go republican anyway, he should be winning by a wider margin. hes now...

Because she can read polls. she can read data. she can look at the trend lines and fact is that were talking about now not whether donald trump gets 270 electoral vot votes but whether hillary clinton can push into a state like arizona which democrats have coveted for a long time but have never been able to win. this is extraordinary development. >> donald trumps running donald trumps campaign. >> somebody mentioned the left woichkt the democratic party. i know some people of that wing of the pa...

Projection. 307 for democrats. hillary clinton, 179 for the republican donald trump. and anderson as weve changed this map today. here is whats most surprising. out in the west, utah, arizona, mitt romney won utah with 7 2%. mitt romney won arizona by ten points four years ago. these are reliable republican states. toss ups because of trumps troubles. hillary clinton actualhead in t most recent poll in arizona. this is the most significant. donald trump cant get to 270 without the 29 electoral v...