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But my faith also tells me that we all fall short. i dont condone -- i dont condone what was said. in fact, i said so over the weekend, but i believe in grace. >> so, angela, do you believe in grace? >> i absolutely believe in grace, carol, but im going to tell you what, mike pence is exactly right. we do fall short, and donald trump on november 8th will fall short of the 270 electoral votes that he needs to win this election. and its for one reason and so many others, but the latest is his endo...

Because we need to look at ohio. that is within the margin of error. what do you see there, ron? >> right. so the most straight forward path to 270 -- first of all, for donald trump, theres no path to 270 if youre behind double digits in national polling. theres no chance of reaching it there. it obviously has to be a more competitive race. its worth noting that only once since the turn of the 20th century have we had a divergence, the loser of the popular vote, win the electoral college. that w...

Thats all he did. he didnt get any independents. >> were going to have more from the panel ahead. were going to dig deeper into new polling, both state by state and national. showing big changes when it comes to the race for 270 electoral votes and victory. later, donald trump supporters who say they are with him, win or lose, and what that is doing to the gop. well be right back. it only takes a second for an everyday item to become dangerous. new tide pods child guard pack. helps keep your l...

This election is -- >> but he might. >> this election is over. there are 28 days left. there is no way -- >> he can win. >> -- he can get from where he is today to 270. >> hes been declared dead many times. he has nine lives and i think hell have another one in the next month. the reason he can win, when we poll americans, 70% of americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. thats an incredible stat. the status quo is not okay for americans. they dont feel prosperous or secure....

Feel is more in line with their maybe in this case more progressive views. he dealt with ralph nader here in florida, potentially in the view of many people close to gore handing george w. bush florida and, therefore, the presidency. hes here to warn voters, especially not young voters, to throw their vote away on someone like a gary johnson, for example. hes here in florida partly because the climate change message plays well here, and hillary clinton said this herself on the radio this morning...

270. heres the problem with that, though, wolf. that means he has momentum going behind him and he doesnt have the momentum going behind him. he actually is receding right now. his biggest problem right now is white college-educated voters and women voters. specifically lets look at the one state of pennsylvania, the suburbs of philadelphia right now where he had a shot to pick up some ground there, and quite frankly what he did with bringing the women last night sbut a into the audience, some o...

Pennsylvania. clinton on stage in columbus, ohio. both sides fiercely battling for those must-win states. david chalian is our political director, hes "outfront." this is a map to 270. its a state-by-state war. no has a better hold right now? >> well, erin, the answer to that is clearly hillary clinton. take a look at this. as you just said, its the road to 270. weve got her at 272. if you look at all the states that are solidly in her corner or leaning her direction. so shes definitely got the ...

Vote. i dont necessarily said he has mitigated that. i think matts writing changes a bit. the clinton campaign will have all this material they will use in ads, whether put her in jail or him doubling down on his offensive talk was locker room talk and nothing more. they will use these things. college educated voters. look how well she is doing with college educated voters in pennsylvania. a state he has to win if he wants to get a path to 270. >> hold on. i want to tell people about the two doz...

Now theyre out, doesnt it make it harder for him to build the coalition? >> make it harder for who? >> donald trump. >> no. two classes of people in d.c., establishment elitists in washington, d.c., who are out there. not the grassroots people. >> okay. all of you are going to stay here. next, hillary clinton rallying supporters in ohio. were going tlook at the road to 270. can it really be done. the woman at the center of the leaked trump tape speaking out tonight. thats next. what to trump...

Trump. so where do you go. >> as your colleague told us, he is in a weaker position than the september track. it also does not mean he cant get these points back. let me put up the four-way race right now, that includes the laborer tli libertarian and green party, gary johnson at 9, and jill stein at two points. theyve not benefited by not being on the debate stage, which has haunted them. the 35% number for donald trump is striking. everyone thought it wont take 50% to win the 270 electoral vot...