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Right. the fundamentals are the fundamentals. the map is the same and the math is the same. its a much harder road for him to get 270, but more than that donald trump isnt doing what he needs to do. he hasnt invested in data and kate can tell you how much strong data program is going to help on election day, or on gotv or on field. now romney had 17% of the white vote in 2012 and he lost. because of the demographic changes in the country, trump would need 22% -- >> you mean a lead of 17%, above ...

Pluth give interviews and he was unflappable. his whole thing was you guys are all freaking out. the fundamentals are the fundamentals. we know how many votes we need in each of these counties and swing states, we know what the composition of the electorate is. dont worry about it. that to me seemed unpersuasive then but maybe looks better now? >> yeah, well, i think hes right. the fundamentals are the fundamentals. the map is the same and the math is the same. its a much harder road for him to ...

Have voted republican their entire life and cant stomach voting for a candidate like donald trump. and so again its just the politics of basic math. if youre losing a voter or two or every voter youre bringing in, the math just doesnt add up. >> on top of that, theres this sort of ground game question which were going to sort of get a sense of. hari, very quickly, do you think its possible for hillary clinton to do something like, say, lose ohio and end up winning, say, north carolina? >> yeah. ...

Split in the republican party over trump and a latino electorate may bring that state on to the board. >> depending how much money shes willing to put in there. well watch that one. >> ohio. its 20 days since hillary clinton stepped foot into this classic battleground state and not expected to visit it again in the move september. thats a nod the fulfill reality thats facing her campaign. shes struggling mightily among white voters. the campaign hasnt written it off and will push back. were spen...

Is the same method. im going to stand up -- >> over 1? >> over the age of 1. >> over the age of 1 is the same method. >> same method, over the age of 1. im going to stand because its easier to stand up. what you do is you get behind anybody over the age of 1. you can stand or kneel. and then what you do is youre going to take your fist with your thumb out, place it above their belly button. grab your other hand, and you place it over your fist like this. all right? youre going to deliver quick u...

Common theme, tax time, cyber hackers using phishing scams to steal your personal information, your identity, and your tax return. last year there was a 270% increase in tax fraud and the irs is already reporting an uptick this year. what do you do if you think your information has been compromised? lets ask kirk the cyber guy knutson. he joins us now. kirk, good morning. >> sandra, good morning to you. >> whats your advice on this? because we are in that sweet spot, it is tax time right now. wh...

Airport this morning since last months deadly terror attack. officials say it will take months to be back at full working capacity. 32 people died. 270 people were hurt at the blast at the airport and metro station. one person is dead, five others injured when a plane crash lands on a california highway and plows into the back of a car parked on the side of the roadway. the passenger in the backseat was killed on impact. the driver and two others are said to be recovering. the pilot being drag...

Doesnt do what he says. none of that made the netflix documentary. in fact, according to this woman, jodie, she told netflix i dont want to be in it. its a lie. i dont want anything to do with it. but she ends up in it anyway. thats what she tells us. why do i think hes guilty? i think hes guilty of the murder because he told me to my face, he concealed his identity with star 67 to call her twice to get her to come over. then called her after he killed her letting his identity show up on the pho...

Ohio, virginia and one more and the republicans win just barely but they win. they get to 270. but you only have to change four big ones. but at this moment and we have ten and a half months to go, at this moment, they think security is their money. >> anxiety. >> play on the anxiety. and that includes the border. nikki haleys speech was for a reason. it was laying out the early benchmark. she took a couple shots at trump but the early foundation of where the republicans need to go this year. >>...

This is where the republicans think their gold is in 2016. they think the way to win is to peel off enough people or if you have the map, peel off florida, ohio, virginia and one more and the republicans win just barely but they win. they get to 270. but you only have to change four big ones. but at this moment and we have ten and a half months to go, at this moment, they think security is their money. >> anxiety. >> play on the anxiety. and that includes the border. nikki haleys speech was for ...