Page 2 - 538 Com News Today

Political campaign yet is because of the uniformity, the ideological heterogeneity, the breadth and the ubiquity of the consensus that jeb bush had been on life support heading into this debate and last night that debate pulled the plug on his life support machine and hes now politically dead. i dont want to just say that as a shot across the bow. i want you to bear with me now because i want to show you what i mean. i want to show you this instead of just saying it. i want to show you what this...

To. nothing is ever this unanimous. but this is unanimous. just look. "time" magazine. how jeb bush lost debate. 538.com. "yeah, jeb bush is probably toast." "the boston globe." "the beginning of the end for jeb." conservative blog red state. "dear jeb bush, its time to take your campaign out back and shoot it." the syndicated column by the founder of red state, "jeb bush is not the man for this presidential season." salon.com, "jeb bushs stunning televised implosion." buzzfeed. "jeb bush contin...

538.com. "yeah, jeb bush is probably toast." "the boston globe." "the beginning of the end for jeb." conservative blog red state. "dear jeb bush, its time to take your campaign out back and shoot it." the syndicated column by the founder of red state, "jeb bush is not the man for this presidential season." salon.com, "jeb bushs stunning televised implosion." buzzfeed. "jeb bush continues death spiral at gop debate." the chicago tribune, "gop debate helps ted cruz and marco rubio but leaves jeb b...

Hillary clinton and a democratic audience that she couldnt win the democratic nomination. >> stephen collinson, excellent perspective. thank you for your voice. let me remind everyone watching i was sitting in a seat at cnn 48 hours ago, anchoring "cnn tonight," i asked the panel this question about joe biden. show of hands, fellas. who thinks biden is not going to go for it and run for president? okay, the lone holdout. i feel this is that sesame street. youre the one standing out there. now th...

>> 538.com. coming up in facing the california historic drought, they have gotten creative. well introduce to you shade balls.

Were very, very early here. i think theres more of a case on the gop side than the democratic side. this race looks a lot like 2000. it was bradley versus al gore. it is really boring if you have a candidate seen as inevitable. but clinton has been endorsed by already half the democratic congress. shes raised lots of money. she has a 30-point lead in national polls. bernie sanders could win new hampshire, iowa, but can he sustain with it a larger population. >> there is a lot about this that is ...

Where it is fun and free flowing. were very, very early here. i think theres more of a case on the gop side than the democratic side. this race looks a lot like 2000. it was bradley versus al gore. it is really boring if you have a candidate seen as inevitable. but clinton has been endorsed by already half the democratic congress. shes raised lots of money. she has a 30-point lead in national polls. bernie sanders could win new hampshire, iowa, but can he sustain with it a larger population. >> ...

16 huckabee 14 trump 13 romney and trump continued to decline from there. the second thing is remember the fundamentals matter a lot and mr. trumps are not good. 538.com looked at 106 candidates who ran since 1980 who had favorables and unfavorables measured at this point and out of 106 his favorables are the worse. he is lower than al sharpton and jesse jackson. >> 30% are undecided. and the people polled are republicans or independents who

Outlying poll, occasionally. it makes for a good story. is there a new swing state in play? the reliable poll that says the same as the other ten doesnt get many headlines. its where the real meat of the story is. >> how should we be responsible aside of 538.com. what should we do? when theres 15 polls that come out in one day, what do we do? >> this is self-serving. we update our website once a day with the polls. its the right temperature level for how often you can read the polls. people on t...

Was updated 68 times in the days before she was announced to be the vice presidential nominee. joe biden page was updated 40 times the day before obama announced him as his running mate. so who is in the wiki lead today? chris christie page was updated twice. tim pawlentys, four times. paul ryan, seven times. marco rubio, 22 times. and rob portmans time was updated at least a whopping 103 times. joining me now, one of the most respected number crunchers in the country, nate silver, author of "th...