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So who is in the wiki lead today? chris christie page was updated twice. tim pawlentys, four times. paul ryan, seven times. marco rubio, 22 times. and rob portmans page was updated at least a whopping 103 times. joining me now, one of the most respected number crunchers in the country, nate silver, author of "the new york times" political blog, 538.com. a pleasure to have you on set, nate. >> thank you. >> how much stock can we put into an open source like wikipedia? >> well, you know, those fac...

538.com has a piece on it yesterday that shows that if the election were held today, obama would get close to 300 electoral votes. thats pretty extraordinary. >> well, the president is taking his first bus tour starting this morning, i guess. re-election -- of the re-election campaign going to ohio, pennsylvania. the latest quinnipiac poll shows the president leading mitt romney in both places, up six points in pennsylvania and in ohio the president leads romney by nine points. both states the p...

Party or half the party but no one is really a majority builder within the gop so far much less the general electorate. >> 538.com founder nate silver. thank you so much for joining us. thanks for your insight. well, what caused that connecticut house to burn down on christmas? plus a grandfathers final attempt to save at least one of his grandchildren. also, billions of dollars spent on gift cards this holiday season and even billions more wasted. what is it about taking a first step that w...

Vegas. great to have both of you with us tonight. stephanie, lets start it out, if we can tonight, with our old buddy bill clinton. what -- is he a player, a major player now? he goes down and rips into the unions in arkansas and then goes out to nevada and says, hey, you have to vote for our buddy, harry. what do you make of that? >> the big dog still hunts in arkansas. im like you. as i was reading in my copy of "killer politics" this week im not happy about the union thing. i dont think this ...

Black child which was his adopted bangladesh daughter. theyre capable of anything. i dont have proof they did this. we have to look into -- he paid a $10,000 filing fee and hes unemployed, thats one shady or questionable thing. the other questionable thing, 538.com, my friends, have a great post up today showing that this guy actually did better in white -- in more white districts than black districts, so, again, the racial explanation makes no sense. i think theres got to be a bunch of digging....

Important? i mean, how do you view that? theres got to be rough water here. >> exactly. look, at the end of the day the money that was spent in arkansas was spent to protect workers jobs. come november youre going to need the american worker out there knocking on the doors of regular citizens telling them about the importance of this election. everywhere i heard, everywhere i went all over arkansas, all over this country, you hear about three issues and three issues. jobs, jobs, and jobs -- >> d...

Is rudy giuliani a pipe dream or could he be a legitimate candidate? >> you know, one of the thing all three of us talkers know is politicians are lacking in what the military guys s.a., situational awareness. most have no idea how unpopular they are. rudy did great things in new york, his campaign was a dissast er as we all know. his s.s. is off a little bit. >> comment on nancy pelosi blaming the bush administration? >> why not? drag is out for as long as you possibly can. you have to blame so...

>> when john ran that ad in november 2015 even before the primary started, donald trump responded by saying he was going to sue john kasich for running that ad. despite that threat, donald trump did not actually sue him for that ad. by that very early point in the presidential campaign, that was still 2015. even by then, trump had already established this part of his m.o. as a candidate. weeks before he threatened to sue over that ad and didnt actually sue him. he had his lawyer send a threateni...

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