Amap Problem News Today

What are the odds the Supreme Court flush with DeSantis appointees will see it differently? Florida, we potentially, perhaps even likely, have a map problem.  

What they think they got. >> this could be oh, whoa is me, because his polls have been down and the midterms. >> absolutely and the white house rejects that analysis. >> it is astonishing. i remember the 2012 race when the romney folks had all of the momentum and i would just caution everybody right now that like, tap the brakes here. he may win, but there is a map problem. he said that parents should not have a say in their childs education. it is playing on repeat. he tried to clarify this

Of thinking. i think its going to happen and well make a lot of trips. >> the president wants to be very involved. he has to be invited to be very involved. lets talk specifically. jonathan, you just wrote about this race. this should be a republican win, but republicans look at the other day in a legislative race in wisconsin, last month at the big senate race in alabama. we can look at virginia, we can look at new jersey, we can look at a whole bunch of legislative seats that flipped this year...

You recently wrote a piece on the democratic partys map problem. mr. wasserman, welcome. >> thank you very much. >> look, i said about your piece, the piece, i didnt have an issue with. it was watching the reaction to the piece that was amazing to me. because what youre writing is if the democrats continue on the same messaging and identity politics and the republicans stay on this trajectory, we are headed for this geographic kachm that will be a night fair for the democrats. >> i think democra...

Of 149. >> its incredible, we talked about the senate and the house, those are perhaps, if not equally influential, more influential. you can seen the problems that barak obama has had in trying to implement his policies and getting blocked by governors. so democrats, when you talk about problems republicans have, they look at demographics and democrats will have real problems in all of these races, perhaps for years to come if they dont figure out a solution here. >> julie, the state legislate ...

>> this is in the state of ohio, a lot of people think thats where this race will be won. how close is it according to polls youre looking at? our last nbc poll had it five points. is it closer than that? >> thats probably about right. the romney folks will tell you that obama, the president, has an edge there. and heres something important to remember. theres been a lot of republican possibly irrational exuberance with the surge that mitt romney has seen in the polls. but heres a problem. mitt ...

Its not going to pass. but its going to keep the issue there on the fore. >> were going to move on to the next big topic, swing states. chuck todd played out some electoral map scenarios on "the daily rundown." without florida, new hampshire, mitt romney could win both iowa and new hampshire. win ohio, florida and north carolina and because of hispanics -- thats specially whats going on here, he would be seven electoral votes short. that is a map problem like nobodys business. >> a math problem ...

Year. you know how it works. 538 electoral votes and it takes 270 to win the election. there are multiple paths for romney and president obama. it may not run through florida and ohio. lets take a look at where we are at. we have a great touch screen going on. this is where we have the battleground map now. the states in gray are the toss ups. nevada, colorado, pennsylvania, new hampshire. we know a few others are in play. wisconsin is leaning to obama, michigan, too. this is where we think sit ...

Look at this. if you take swing states and assume the hispanic sweep here, if you will, out west and give pennsylvania, which has gone democrat since 1988, look at whats in gray. 262. he needs eight. florida, north carolina, virginia and ohio. of the four, virginia is probably the state that the obama campaign feels the best about because its a growing state. they have a large african-american population. without ohio, without florida, without new hampshire, mind you, mitt romney could win iowa ...

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