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March 4, 2021
March 4, 2021 Last week, I woke up to a bit of a Chicago-area Twitter kerfuffle based on some things Cubs outfielder Ian Happ said on local sports radio about how RBIs are a skill and not based on luck. Let’s face it: When wins and RBIs are praised, somebody somewhere is going to get worked up about it. Happ said these things on Dan Bernstein and Leila Rahimi’s morning show on 670 AM The Score, and based on the tweets, it sounded like an argument, which surprised me. Dan is a thoughtful guy...
March 4, 2021
Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.
March 4, 2021
March 4, 2021 Framber Valdez was a revelation in 2020. After a forgettable debut in 2019, he threw 70.2 innings of pure excellence last season, the highest total on the team. His emergence buttressed a rotation that lost Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander from the last time we’d seen them. Even with Lance McCullers Jr. recovered, no Astros starter had a better projected ERA in 2021 than Valdez. Unfortunately, he fractured the ring finger on his pitching hand on Tuesday, and his availability thi...
March 4, 2021
Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.
March 4, 2021
Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.
March 4, 2021
March 4, 2021 Michael Siani isn’t the sexiest prospect in the Cincinnati Reds system. With an arguably-limited offensive profile, the 21-year-old outfielder projects, in the words of Eric Longenhagen, as “a low-end regular in center field based on the quality of his defense.” In Longenhagen’s opinion, Siani will likely “end up hitting toward the bottom of a lineup” due to a lack of power. Siani isn’t sold on the idea that he’ll continue to lack sufficient pop. At 6-foot-1 and 19...
March 3, 2021
Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary.
March 3, 2021
The inspiration for this study came from this blurb in a recent Mining the News. In the past, the general rule is that a higher fastball velocity leads to more strikeouts. Once spin data became available, the link between more spin and strikeouts was quickly found. And they can go in separate directions. After going way too deep down this rabbit hole, I came out with a simple formula. Before diving in, a few items need to be cleared up. First, other factors besides velocity and spin can affect ...
March 3, 2021
March 3, 2021 Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about spring training games starting, Jeff Mathis batting cleanup in a spring training game (and once improbably batting fifth in a regular-season game), the latest reports about suspended Angels pitching coach Mickey Callaway, the postponement of the start of the Triple-A season, the outlook for attendance in Texas, and Zack Greinke’s quest to join the exclusive 10-10 club for pitchers, then preview the 2021 Angels (26:23) with Fabian Ardaya ...
March 3, 2021
March 3, 2021 On a day when the COVID-19 headlines in the U.S. ranged from very good to very bad, ESPN’s Jeff Passan reported that Major League Baseball plans to delay the start of the Triple-A season by at least four weeks, and perhaps longer. Though it’s a bummer to at least some degree, the move — which does not affect MLB’s scheduled opening on April 1 — was anticipated within the industry. It addresses significant safety and economic concerns that come with operating the sport am...