broken. i think my recommendation, my feeling that we should make referrals, but we will get to a decision as a committee. it may be the last investigative public hearing where we re going to try to round out the factual narrative. i m alex marquart in washington in tonight for pamela brown. thank you so much for joining me. you re live in the cnn newsroom. tropical storm ian on the cusp of becoming a hurricane. the storm is swirling toward the warm waters of the gulf where it s expected to explode into an intensity intensely powerful category 4. then ian will likely weaken a bit before charging ashore somewhere in florida. florida s governor saying that the storm s massive size means that the entire state will be impacted, and he has activated the national guard. just moments ago the national hurricane center issued its latest advisory. cnn meteorologist in the weather center. tom, what are we expecting from ian? let me tell you like it is here, alex. this infrared
on up to the big ben area, that is when the surge will be from crystal city, possibly in two appalachia cola. where most of the surge will likely be. this is what we are talking about. the very flat piece of land. why does that matter? when the water goes up a foot, literally your shoreline can lose 3 to 400 feet. and if it goes defeat, all the sudden you have lost 1000 feet. if it goes up what they re forecasting, 10 to 15 feet. oh my gosh, how far inland will that go? that will likely be miles. likely miles inland that this will push the water. this is an area, very fragile, it s wildlife, they will have to try to get out of the. people have to get out of the way. this surge is a very dangerous thing. seeing it visually in front of us is something that is so stunning. chad myers, thank you so much. and thank you everyone for watching. don t go anywhere.
undergoes rapid intensification. right now we do have something new. lower keys are now under a tropical storm watch. so we re going to watch this as it makes its way to western cuba. 2:00 in the morning tuesday look at the winds. here are the two models once again. this is what we do not want. the european model, boom, right into into this area. it will impede the water from flowing out. the american model real quick before you, alex, this is what if we re going to see one let s have it like this. it s still powerful right before landfall but wind starts to sheer and loses some strength. and it s in the big ben area. there s a lot of uncertainty here, and even though it s poorly organized we ve got to continue to lean into those computer models. and that s what everyone is doing right now at the national hurricane center. so much uncertainty. we ll be back with you soon as you track that storm. switching now to politics, the january 6th commit awill
it s no worse in the 13 days. just moments ago, aircraft have taken off to go investigate once again. by the time they get there, i think it will be a little too late for the 8:00 p.m. advisory to lift elsa to hurricane status. but it s coming. you can see how bright and expanding this area of purple is. that means it s getting stronger. it s going to most likely become a category 1 hurricane later this evening before landfall in the big ben area. the hurricane warning in place is the first time that the west coast here of florida has seen or heard a hurricane warning since hurricane michael. terrible hurricane three years ago in 2019. last night they surged to 29 feet. i m concerned about everyone in lives in tampa bay and sarasota, st. pete. still, it s getting stronger, and as it makes its way toward
landfall at sunrise toward big ben, that s a good place because it s mostly uninhabited. to give you an idea of how rare this is to have a hurricane make landfall in july on the west coast of florida, the last time was 134 years ago, 1886 before they were even named. we have a long night ahead of us. it will be downgraded as it makes its way into the carolinas but re-emerge off the coast of norfolk and become a tropical storm once again. disturbing new video we re getting from january 6. we re learning about new security concerns also at the capitol. plus others campaigning against trump s election lie. we already know that there is fraud.