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Cliff Notes: An Abrupt Change in Expectations

The latest edition of the Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey pointed to consumer sentiment remaining near its historic lows in December, the index rising just 2.7% to 82.1 compared to a long-run average of 100.8. The probability of further rate hikes may be dwindling, but consumers find themselves under considerable financial pressure as a result of the tightening experienced to date; the cumulative hit to real incomes from inflation; and a rising tax take, the latter principally a consequence o...
New Zealand Luci Ellis European Central Bank Melbourne Institute Westpac Melbourne Institute Westpac Chief Economist Luci

RBA Statement on Monetary Policy: Early Thoughts

The RBA’s November Statement on Monetary Policy upgrades the inflation and growth forecasts even with a higher assumed path for interest rates. How this can coexist with an unusually large fall in household sector real incomes remains to be seen. Risks to the inflation forecast are also skewed to the upside. If things turn out in line with the RBA’s revised forecasts, they might not need to raise rates again. But the bar to further hikes is clearly lower now; the RBA has almost no margin for...
Matt Hassan Monetary Policy Card Tracker Westpac Senior Economist Matt Hassan

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ASB Full Year Results: Challenging Operating Environment Sees Profit Decline 11% In Second Half

ASB today reported a cash net profit after tax (NPAT) of $1,550 million for the 12 months to 30 June 2023, an increase of $132 million or 9% on the prior year. The result reflects a strong first half, with performance softening for the six months ...
New Zealand New Zealanders Waka Whaihua Vittoria Shortt Commerce Commission Institute Of Finance Professionals New Zealand

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