Page 16 - Computer Model News Today

This yellow one, still has it coming onshore. a couple of other ones do. noticeable, other ones are offshore. thats why i said its the flip of a coin right now, will we ever get the direct impact. if we still get a category 3 storm just off the coast, were still going to have incredible wave action, numerous high tied cycles with beach erosion, that sort of thing. but we wouldnt get the catastrophic storm surge. well get a new update on this in four hours. this is our european model. this is the...

One of our more reliable ones, this yellow one, still has it coming onshore. a couple of other ones do. noticeable, other ones are offshore. thats why i said its the flip of a coin right now, will we ever get the direct impact. if we still get a category 3 storm just off the coast, were still going to have incredible wave action, numerous high tied cycles with beach erosion, that sort of thing. but we wouldnt get the catastrophic storm surge. and wind damage. from a land fall storm. well get a n...

Men and women. these are men and women from 34 states, canada, and california. >> lets go to bill. shifting direction, what might we see in coming hours as a new advisory comes out? >> we have the computer model data in from the morning runs, and now the hurricane center is looking at the information, compiling the forecast, latest data from hurricane hunters going in and out of the storm, theyre putting that out this hour. typically the last 15 minutes of the hour, between 4:45 and top of the h...

The beaches of florida. one of the models that we watch closely is our european computer model. i put pause points in at 8:00 a.m. over the next five days to track this thing. heres where its located earlier this morning. lets take this into 8:00 a.m. monday. were going to skip over tomorrow, tomorrow its still over the water. 8:00 a.m. monday. you see it right here, this is freeport here, this is why we think the northern portion of the bahamas could be in the heart of a major category for a hu...

Will happen with the storm. those its fallout? does it move inland, does it move northward and scrape the florida coastline? all these scenarios could unfold but i will tell you computer model consensus is an agreement through saturday and sunday and as we get into monday and tuesday the storm really slows down and doesnt move very quickly so this could be a harvey like situation for the florida coastline and as we get into wednesday will it finally pull northward? a lot of questions. i wish i c...

Curtain back even more, lawrence, these squiggly purple lines are the european computer model, the ensemble forecast, all this tells you and me, and everyone else, we dont know exactly where its heading, we have three days until it gets close enough to land. plenty of time for evacuations and preparations that will be needed. bill karins, thank you very much for joining us, really appreciate it. this is one of our nights when our most important story is our last story. its the story we hope yo...

Take place. where it kind of stalls out a little bit. maybe get nears the coast, scares it and kind of wiggles itself offshore. that would be the best-case scenario. its unlikely right now but its not 0%. you notice most of the lines do come across the florida peninsula. even a few would bring it back into areas of the northeastern golf. our european computer model, our most reliable long term model, this what we got this afternoon. well get a new one to come out at about 2:00, 3:00 in the morni...

Curtain back even more, lawrence, these squiggly purple lines are the european computer model, the ensemble forecast, all this tells you and me, and everyone else, we dont know exactly where its heading, we have three days until it gets close enough to land. plenty of time for evacuations and preparations that will be needed. bill karins, thank you very much for joining us, really appreciate it. this is one of our nights when our most important story is our last story. its the story we hope yo...

But some places could max out much higher than that. >> yellow is 8 inches of rain. and theres a double threat in puerto rico. storm surge and the water coming in and then the rain and flooding coming down. isnt that correct? >> thats right. whenever you have the mountains and you start getting lifting. the air goes up on the mountains and when it does, the rain becomes heavy and drops even more. it could enhance that rainfall amount. 8 inches for the computer model here. there could be large ar...

Atmospheric conditions as it continues to move closer to puerto rico. we will have to see what happens but as i mentioned the upper level winds are not conducive for a lot of strengthening. a very small storm and a lot of time to go through over the next couple days. will interact with land? interact with hispaniola, if it does it will tear the storm even further apart. there is the tropical models, the bottom line is we have to watch the next couple days. as we get into the weekend we will have...