Page 23 - Computer Model News Today

Inland throughout the day today. by the time we get to the afternoon hours, it will weaken a lot. it will get closer to tropical storm intensity. but still not weakened enough. we would like to see it dissipate. whats happening in texas is fascinating. you have gulf moisture, a front and it just enhances that dangerous situation. the latest computer model shows a mess of rain. a lot of rain for texas especially into houston. you can see that the moisture just comes together from two different so...

Hose positioned over south carolina and its been there for at least three days, the plume of moisture that has a bulls-eye in south carolina and part of the problem is, we have this area of low pressure, this cut-off low and joaquin. so we have the counter clockwise motion from this hurricane and then you also have the onshore flow from the low-pressure center and it just continues to inundate south carolina. so as we go through time, the forecast radar through monday, things will start to taper...

Throughout about six high tide cycles. there are two high tide cycles each day, so today, saturday and through sunday. the water could be highest in hampton rhodes, norfolk area and virginia beach and as far as the western shore of the chesapeake. that could be sunday when we see the worst flooding there. he heres the rainfall. weve had reports in eastern carolina, pivoting through the day today and into tonight. its going to pivot back into south carolina, and thats where were concerned saturda...

The trend. so the next thing we have to watch after we get the new update in is regardless where this hurricane goes, we have a really mad possibly historic rainfall situation that could take place in the carolinas. this is our european computer model. remember the one thats predicted so far so well, very well the hurricane. ing with, its saying upwards of 10 to 20 inches of rain possible. thats, like, insane rainfall amounts, almost unimaginable. not associated with joaquin. this would be an up...

Effect along with heavy rain. one of the reasons the storm has been tins fying is we have very warm ocean waters, conditions are also ideal. the store wree is just intensifying. how will it be influenced a trough across the eastern u.s. and high pressure system across the atlantic ocean. we should see a track over the coast and potential land fall or it would stay off the coast but we are dealing with rip current, dangerous earth and beach erosion will be concerns no matter what. we have seen a ...

Heres monday morning, tuesday morning. center of the cone. highly most concentrated probability but the cone is wide, from west virginia to halfway to bermuda. lets talk about our computer models. why are they doing so poorly or changing their mind? we dont have people living in the middle of the atlantic ocean. we dont have the population density and data density as we do over the u.s. to say, is it going to rain in d.c.? if you say, is it going to rain in bermuda? you have 1,000 miles of nothi...

Quite the celebration there in the locker room. bill is here now. >> thats how we celebrate, jonathan. >> yeah, i know. im sorry im not there with you but im very much looking forward to seeing where the cone of uncertainty is today. >> yeah, it goes all the way from here to where you are, by the way. the cone of uncertainty still huge. one thing we do know, lets talk about what we do know. we still have to wait for the computer models to give us a little bit better guidance on where the storm...

Top of them. after that the track diverges. steve started the conversation with rain. that is a concern but there is a concern that this storm will hit the eastern seaboard as a hurricane. could be cat one or cat two. latest computer models trying to hook it towards the carolinas but also possibility of further north movement. one computer model brings this out to sea and that would spare a lot of rainfall and a lot of the heavier impacts. it stands alone. it is the european computer model. ther...

By saturday morning, were looking at a major hurricane, a category 3. and then thats the crucial, critical timeline. where does joaquin go after that major hurricane? one theory is it looks like it may take a jog to the west and move inland across the carolinas. that would be sunday morning to sunday afternoon as a potential strong category 2 or category 3 storm. or if it parallels the storm, it could move closer to the delmarva peninsula and around new york city as a weaker storm. but still the...

Possibility of four inches of rain. thats a lot of rain in a short period of time. hasnt rained in a long time so the ground is really hard. the runoff is going to be quick into the small streams. then tropical storm joaquin could put a big question mark over the top of this forecast. its not going to be near any land areas over the next three days. some of our computers have it going up to a hurricane. some have it remaining a tropical storm. heres the item of concern. it then gets picked up fr...