Page 105 - Computer Models News Today

And north of cuba, notice the track has shifted a bit. we do still see florida in that cone of uncertainty for the weekend. i want to show you the computer models just to let you know its a variable and changing situation. its called the spaghetti model. this is the american version. remember, these water temperatures are in the upper 80s but then notice the guidance for the bulk shifting a little farther to the east. in our discussion at 5:00 a.m., the national hurricane center did recognize th...

It was blue skies above. incredible clouds all around the airplane. >> and you flew into the eye of the hurricane. you said it was perfectly formed, the eyewall? >> yes, sir, it was just perfect. we call it a concentric eye. it was an eye within an eye. once we were in the visible center, it was one of the best eyes, the clearest eyes the folks here have seen. >> what is it that you can learn from flying into it? >> what were doing is using a radar system on this noaa aircraft, taking cat scans ...

Formed? the eye wall? >> yes, it was just perfect. we call it a concentric eye, which was actually within an eye. once we were within the visible center, it was just perfect. one of the clearest eyes in approach you have seen. >> and what is it you can learn from flying into this? >> well, what were doing is using the tail doppler radar system on this n.o.a.a. aircraft, taking scans of the weather all around the airplane. the evolution structure of the hurricane is going into the computer models...

Eye of the storm. what were doing, were dropping drop sons. instruments that fall by parachute. theyre the opposite of a weather balloon. they go down and record pressure, temperature, humidity, wind speed, wind direction. all of that data gets fed into the models that help forecast the track of the storm. were not only going to fly above the storm and through the top of the storm, were also going to fly a pattern northwest of the storm through the bahamas and east of florida in order to sample ...

Then maybe taking a turn to florida. looking at these models, they all turn this storm very much to the right. but when does that happen? does that happen over monroe county, right over miami-dade? that would be the most devastating hurricane in u.s. history. does it go over the bahamas? or does it wait and go all the way over to key west and get west of here. this is less likely, this is somewhere in the middle, and this right here is as most of the computer models are talking, a slight right t...

Not on the center of the storm, but that tone of uncertainty as we go out saturday and sunday. obviously we are concerned for florida and the keys and south florida, but there is the potential for this storm to move into the gulf of mexico. there is also the potential for this to move up toward the east coast. five days out, weve got uncertainty, but the bottom line is we have hurricane warnings posted in the red, watches in the yellow as well as the orange and were already seeing on radar some ...

Storm surges with this and even though the center may stay over water for the most part, those hurricane winds are going to knock out power and communications. as we watch it progress forward, were going to need every single day this week because there will be fluctuations in its strength interacting with land, not just the eye but most likely the outer bands will cause it to drop to a category 3. if it drops to cuba and the northern coast, could drop to a 2 but i think were going to find the wa...

There has only been one recorded in history thats been any stronger, and that was hurricane allen in 1980. we are watching this most likely make its way directly over the island of antigua. could decimate them with loss of power, loss of communications and water. as it makes its way across the u.s., virgin british isles, could make landfall there as well. if you look at the winds alone, it is going to be massive. this is going to leave a path of destruction. what is this back behind it? thats jo...

Felix. it will be a category 5 for a day or two. were dealing with the very dangerous storm. we watch puerto rico, the bahamas, cuba and there is the center of the storm. but i dont want people to pay attention to the center because there is the potential five days out that this moves south of that center or north of that center. but certainly right now florida keys, south florida making preparations now. very warm water and thats why the potential is there for it to maintain its category five s...

On many islands with loss of power communications maybe water. so as the system moves i believe the eye will stay over water. thats going to continue to sustain the strength. but again, the damage is going to be north and south of this. when you look at the track from the earth national hurricane center its been like this the last couple days. high pressure in the atlantic keeping it to the south. looking a the its forward momentum you think maybe it would move into the gulf of mexico. cant rule...