Page 104 - Computer Models News Today

Wreaking havoc there through the caribbean, karen. but all eyes on florida. when and where do we expect it to make landfall in. >> i am so glad you asked me that first. because we can tell you all the computer models and whos doing what differently and what they say. here we are early friday morning. we go into early saturday morning. still not going to make landfall. maybe saturday night, maybe sunday morning. thats our window. so theres 48 hours right there. the window is closing so fast for y...

The storms, both of them, go right through south florida. we have 48 hours for some shifts. we are very concerned with the west and the east coast. we do not yet know who will be hit the worst. the east side, were especially concerned with key largo to miami all through west palm beach. if we shift further west. on this path thats the area of greatest concern. a lot of the computer models, these are updated about every six hours. they are all pointing there. the strongest of the storm, 8:00 a.m....

Releasing -- essentially the opposite of the weather balloon, instead of going up the sonds go parachute and data back to the aircraft, temperature, gps, wind direction, wind speed.gets gath the aircraft. we transmit it to the national hurricane center. goes directly into the computer models forecasting the track which everybody in the entire southeastern u.s. is now focusing on that track. to we are dropping 33 of those sonds on our mission this evening in order to refine the accuracy of the tr...

This is the aircraft that flies across the top of the storm at 45,000 feet, and what we do, theres a key element to our mission, is that were releasing dropsondes which are essentially the opposite of a weather balloon. instead of going up, these sondes fall by parachute and send data back to the aircraft. critical temperature, gps, wind direction, wind speed. all that data gets gathered by the aircraft. we transmit it to the national hurricane center. goes directly into the computer models fore...

Little puff of smoke because we are dealing with this hurricane that is unprecedented and a lot of areas and even if he gets downgraded to a category 4, its still going to have the potential to bring devastating surge, devastated flooding and very, very strong winds that connect on buildings in south florida. here we are, this is the latest advisory, 100 sony 5-mile-per-hour sustained winds, bahamas, very sustained for you the next 24-48 hours as it continues to move westward. good agreement wit...

Crucial. that will probably allow the hurricane to maintain intensity over the warm waters as it moves to just to the north of the island. there are hurricane warnings up there. and it looks like it will remain out over the water, the most destructive portion of the eye probably offshore . >> can you walk us through the possibilities of where it hits the continental u.s.? >> well weve seen relatively consistent information coming out from the national hurricane center and also the computer model...

Data by the aircraft, critical data, like gps wind direction wind speed. and all that data gets scattered by the aircraft and we transmit it by satellite to the national hurricane center. it goes directly into the computer models that are forecasting the track. which everybody in the entire u.s. is now focusing on the track. so we are dropping 33 of the sondes on those missions in order to find the accuracy of the track. >> and in terms of what the storm is doing right now. >> the storm is actua...

Water in its path. as you can see the computer models are in very good agreement as we get into the weekend and keys and south florida. then we start to see some question marks. does it go completely over the state of florida? does it hug the coast of florida? does it make a landfall across the southeast? we still dont know yet. here is one of our reliable forecast models. thats at least a category 4 on saturday as it comes so close to south florida and the keys. this one has, you know, the stor...

Altitude hurricane hunter reconnaissance aircraft. this is the aircraft that flies across the top of the storm at 45,000 feet. and what we do, the key elements of our mission is that were releasing drop sons, which are the opposite of a weather balloon. instead of go up, they fall by parachute and transmit data back to the aircraft, critical data like pressure, temperature, gps, wind direction, wind speed. all that data gets gathered by the aircraft and we transmit it by satellite to the nationa...

Theres a possibility the storm stays offshore, continues to better the whole state of florida, but now perhaps landfall across georgia or the carolinas into tuesday. one of the computer models, still a strong category 5 storm, coming close to the keys and south florida and scraping the east coast of florida battering this area and we watch the southeast. this is a dangerous storm. i want to mention this is hard to forecast especially when it makes that hard right. that is why i want everyone to ...