Page 102 - Computer Models News Today

Warm. so we are anticipating the potential for a weakening, but still a major hurricane. landfall is possible in the florida keys. perhaps a second one on the coast of florida. this is the cone of uncertainty, evening it could move further to the east or the west. weve seen that with the computer models going back and forth. so i want to let everyone know that this line isnt the exact path of the storm. it could jog to the left or the right. the massive diameter, several hundred miles of the sto...

Happening, sunday morning on the florida keys, potentially through monday. things have slowed down with this system as it continues to work to the west and eventually turn to the northwest t. cone of uncertainty is uncertain where that eye will work its way through t. computer m. the computer models have been trending westward. so it looks like there is a better chance for that eye in the eyewall to pass through that region. but remember, this is a massive, massive hurricane. when you put the st...

Science. we get closer. we hone in on the west coast of florida. the computer models trended west. why have they trended west? the ridge of high pressure keeping irma to the south and the west was strong enough to do that. if it had weakened, we would have saw the turn happen sooner. but thats not the case. thats the things we were watching in the dynamics of the atmosphere that change moment by moment. this has been a challenging one. heres the computer models. notice the cone kind of right aro...

It magnifies the storm surge. it enhances that rise of water and we have a graphic to show you what eight feet of storm surge looks like, what 12 feet of storm surge looks like. its unimaginable to most people. tampa has not been hit directly by a hurricane since 1921. theres a consulting firm in boston, karen clark and company, they did a big study a couple years ago, a category 4 storm the size of katrina hitting tampa could produce $175 billion in damage. pinellas county second only to new or...

Miles to the west, east, could make a difference in where the eye is and where the really strong winds across much of inside the eyewall exist. heres a look at the computer models. theyre started to be more aligned as we look toward marco island, the key west area. we could see a potential landfall for hurricane irma. not to say the east coast wont be impacted. not at all. this is a very large storm. how large? lets look at florida on top of irma. this is amazing. you can really see the perspect...

Computer models. and you see that as we looked kind of toward the next 24 hours, theres more of a consensus, more tightly together. then as we start going into the forecast period, theres still a consensus, but a little movement here. i would say that they are as we speak -- before they were so spread out. were getting a better idea that the westerly track will occur. you mentioned people having to evacuate. this is the state of florida. and this is irma superimposed around it. >> 360, 370 miles...

Coming the way it is. if youre in south florida, especially that ft. myers area, naples, marco island, i would get out if i could, especially with the wind forecast. either youre prepared to be in your house without power for maybe two to three weeks, or you try to get out. those are kind of your options in those areas. i do want to show you the storm surge. we do think well get a new one of these too. that storm surge is the worst. southwest florida, ali. thats the area. finally our one map tha...

>> definitely entering that now-or-never cone. mariana, thank you so much. joining me in studio, msnbc meteorologist bonnie schneider. lets get a sense of where the >> problem is the storm hasnt moved much in the past coast. looks brutal. >> its been relentless. torrential downpours, the strong winds battering cuba over and . unfortunately its still interacting cuba, not weakening the storm much at all, bringing a lot of torrential downpours i mentioned. storm is. lets take a look at where the ....

>> thats so true. it has to do with the windfield that were seeing and cone of uncertainty. into saturday night and sunday, look what happens -- it does get wired. certainly into monday -- wider. sbor certainly on monday. people in georgia were concerned. its turning more northwest. the cone is a little bit further to the west, if youre just checking it. yesterday it was a lot further to the east. this line indicates kind of the median between where all the computer models are. thats the forecas...

Still kind of splitting the difference between the turks and caicos and cuba. it is expected to -- that upper right quadrant is expected to affect the bahamas, crooked island, cat island, eleuthera, abaco. were looking at those areas that could see devastating wind, devastating storm surge. some computer models are saying maybe 50 feet or more. but these coastal areas, don, were looking at 5 to 10 feet. but well have another update from hurricane center coming up at 2:00 eastern. >> 2:00 eastern...