Page 100 - Computer Models News Today

>> let me ask you this, as another way of assessing this, hurricane season is supposed to begin in june and end in november. will we know there is climate change is having an impact when we start seeing december storms sometime between december 1 and may 31st? >> thats one of the project shups that computer models put out there is that the seasons will get a little longer. i think last year we had a hurricane or a strong tropical storm in january. and we are seeing not only the seasons extend bu...

Melbourne, up toward orlando. there will still be tornado watches and warnings. this is the problem though anderson, where does it go and how can we effectively let everyone know what kind of wind gusts theyre going to have? still a category 2, moving northward, deviating east on the back edge, still getting that of course that surge coming in, wraparounding the system. the computer models have not handled this movement to the east. these modeled still want to carry it north-northwestward. thats...

Its drip towards the north, and it is generally speaking moving north fairly rapidly. that is good news, we want it to move pretty swiftly so none of these conditions linger like we saw with harvey over texas, about 16 days ago. it will move on shore and as they do well see the water come in. its going to be very dramatic, not as dramatic as some of the initial computer models were suggesting but lets give you a different overall perspective of what youre looking at. right now you can see the wi...

Under a warning. there are watches to the north that will change to warnings over time as the storm decides to move up. where is it going to make landfall. fit continues, we think its west, northwest track. it may barely make landfall in key west. fit wobbles east, 2:00 p.m. in the afternoon, give or take a couple hours, port charlotte, if it wobbles east, may not be until tomorrow evening. theres a lot of ifs right now. the storm didnt know about computer models, it could care less. i heard thi...

Crucial. that is an area thats going to pull in on the open waters and an area thats very dynamic. they could see the potential of tornadoes. in fact, numerous reports of funnel clouds, tornadoes have been reported and as i mentioned its very dynamic. as we start to see some of these bands move in across south florida theyve been gusty now, about 200,000 people without power with the system now. it has just pulled away from the coast of cuba. but lets go ahead and show you some other information...

Palm. we have seen wind gusts that really are up near hurricane force so theyre strong tropical storm wind gusts. what about that storm surge? look at that even on the eastern side. if you were second guessing yourself, why did i leave the east coast if it is affecting the west coast? because you have this flow. could expect the storm surge 6 to 8 feet, 10 to 12 feet. some of these areas on the west coast. 10 to 12 feet. as much as 20 inches of rain fall is possible. land fall could be tomorrow ...

But it doesnt really make landfall. lets move this a little bit further to the north. doesnt really make landfall until you get up towards the tampa st. pete area. is that possible? certainly looks like it. this has been one of the most fickle hurricanes. we can have all the greatest computer models in the world and they could tell us something different because the environment has changed, how it intersects with land may chang, how the sea surface temperature may change. there are all kinds of ...

>> i think its important, i had this conversation a moment ago, it is a moment to discuss the fact that you have infrastructure issues in florida because of rising sea levels and youve been in a struggle with the federal government and state officials who dont have your view of how to deal with this. >> oh, my goodness. some of my colleagues in the senate from texas and oklahoma they are climate deniers. well, look, who needs a great shout out? the national weather service, the national hurrican...

Of miami. this is a forecast radar. were going to point out a couple things here. that is, it will bounce off of cuba, start to make its way more towards the northwest and then move over to florida keys and then look what happens in the vicinity of naples. but a double landfall. so it doesnt stay on land the whole time, at least according to the computer models. theyre always being revised, they have toto keep up with the new data thats getting put into it. here some of the rainfall total estima...

Trek towards south florida. now the computer models initially earlier in the week were saying well, miami is the place that the computer models are kind of agreeing on. then they started to shift. that european model shifted just a little bit. all right. saturday around 3:00 p.m., key largo, key west, miami, towards naples. youre looking at increasing hurricane-force winds. and then we start to see that pick up more for ft. myers and west palm beach. hurricane-force winds. from the atlantic coas...