Page 98 - Computer Models News Today

Are they related though, i dont think so. if you have an 8.0 like we had 11 days ago you can have one aftershock thats a 7.0 but its nowhere near that map. its well down the south where the aftershocks were. we got over 14 1/2 million with moderate shaking. strong over 15 million, 1.6 very strong and that means everything. whether you look at a 7.1 you can have one aftershock. thats ten at 6.1 and over a hundred at four. well see more damage unfold. the usg s in the computer models speck dated a...

>> whether its in our p-3 aircraft that slides down at altitude right into the eye wall or the high altitude aircraft that flies across the top of the storm. in both cases the pilots are extremely well trained to handle the situation. some of the best pilots in the world. >> can you imagine flying through that? >> no. >> we understand the risk, but its critical data that has to get into computer models to help give people as much of a heads up as possible in case it does become a threat to the e...

Because youve got a 75-mile difference from the epicenter. we have 15 and a half million feelings strong shaking and that doesnt include those that felt light, moderate, or even strong. the computer models hinted at the fact there was a 39% chance we would have 100 to a thousand fatalities. thats what were seeing now. the problem is the infrastructure thats been compromised. thousands of homes and businesses, what we have there, originally if you have a 7.1, in the future, you can heres the shak...

Everyone on this island will likely see wind gusts well in excess of hurricane strength and many in excess of 100 miles per hour. move it ahead to watch and show you the dr where it goes here. tkpheupb were can republic. the northern side of that country getting pounded by 60 to 70 miles per hour. we saw one tidal gauge. storm surpge is five feet and still going up. significant rainfall with this. places have been hurt so badly by the wind and you have to deal with water coming through as well. ...

And we provide critical data pressure, temperature, humidity, wind data that gets fed directly into the computer models weve come to know so much now. and it greatly increases the accuracy of those models. and so right now we want to reduce any uncertainty over the next few days that may exist in the future track of maria as it pushes off the coast of puerto rico and heads northward. >> and we are so grateful that you do that. this changes the whole concept. 25 years ago, this was still -- it wa...

Its going to potentially devastate and even higher than that, 130 miles per hour gusts. looking at the computer models as we go for the running time, the u.s. obviously the east coast is wondering if we are going to feel the effects of maria, there is a potential, yes as we get through wednesday and thursday as it comes close and whether or not that bermuda high builds and come out will that push these storms closer to the east coast? its still not out of the questions lets buy were watching mar...

Category 5 storm right now, it did strengthen when it made its landfall over dominica and it is going to brush the bahamas. it could affect puerto rico, hispaniola, haiti and we will watch the bahamas as well. right now we dont think it will affect the us but we have to monitor it. we could see devastating impacts for puerto rico, the virgin islands and portions of the dominican republic and haiti. here are the tropical models, perhaps a direct hit over puerto rico would be devastating, storm su...

Fatalities, again, based on computer models by the usgs, you want to see green. thats where no fatalities have occurred. this is considered shallow, so we be a 950% chance to have 100 fatalities and a 30% chance to have 100 to 1,000. lets hope thats not the case here, but it is risy quickly. hurricane maliyah barrelling right now towards puerto rico. give us the latest. >> well, the island of dominica hit very hard. sometimes, wolf, these tighter eyes are more ferocious. they mack more of a pu...

Republic and we cannot rule out a potential east coast impact. well be watching the storm but shannon, allocations are that puerto rico will take a direct hit like dominica. 12 to 24 inches of rainfall. storm suj of 11 feet will unindate the islands and the wind gusts 120 miles per hour. this could be a worst case scenario and probably will be for puerto rico. prayers are needed at this point for those folks. you look at the computer models. again coming very close here this is a model to the mi...

After that. after that, after four or five days its entirely a guess. i want to show you so far south florida not in the cone and also not in the forecast when it comes to search, eight days away in the computer models. nothing is out of the question. we saw that with irma. where does the cross happen? the yellow line is irma. the middle of this line here the red line, that is maria. over the turks and caicos, right over d.r., through punta canna and dominican republic and puerto rico where we w...